Session 3B ENSO Dynamics, Diversity, Prediction, and Impacts—Part I

Monday, 8 January 2018: 2:00 PM-4:15 PM
616 AB (Hilton) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change
R. Saravanan, Texas A&M Univ., Dept. of Atmospheric Science, College Station, TX and Gudrun Magnusdottir, Univ. of California, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA

2:00 PM
ENSO and the Response to Global Warming
Dennis L. Hartmann, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and T. Kohyama
2:30 PM
A Two-Year Forecast for a 60–80% Chance of La Niña in 2017–18
Pedro DiNezio, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and C. Deser, A. Karspeck, S. Yeager, Y. M. Okumura, G. Danabasoglu, N. Rosenbloom, J. Caron, and G. A. Meehl
2:45 PM
3:00 PM
Contrasting Impacts of Slow and Fast Wind Variations on ENSO
Antonietta Capotondi, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh
3:15 PM
Influence of Westerly Wind Events Stochasticity on El Niño Amplitude: The case of 2014 vs. 2015.
Martin PUY, Institute for Geophysics, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and J. Vialard, M. Lengaigne, E. Guilyardi, P. DiNezio, A. Voldoire, M. A. Balmaseda, G. Madec, C. Menkes, and M. J. McPhaden
3:30 PM
Trans-Pacific ENSO Teleconnections Pose a Correlated Risk to Global Agriculture
Weston Anderson, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and R. Seager, M. A. Cane, and W. Baethgen
3:45 PM
A Tropical Ecological Forecasting Strategy for ENSO Based on a Global Modeling Framework
Forrest M. Hoffman, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and M. Xu, N. O. Collier, P. Levine, and J. T. Randerson
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