Session 2 Ensemble and Multimodel Forecasting — Part II: Methods and Practice

Monday, 8 January 2018: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics
Cochairs:
Judy E. Ghirardelli, NOAA/NWS/Meteorological Development Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD and Isidora Jankov, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., NOAA/GSD, Boulder, CO

Papers:
2.1
Enforcing Calibration in Ensemble Postprocessing

10:45 AM
2.2
Obtaining Consistent Probabilistic Predictions through Statistical Post-Processing of Ensembles
Nina Schuhen, Norwegian Computing Center, Oslo, Norway; and T. L. Thorarinsdottir and F. Stordal

11:00 AM
2.3
A Smart Extension of the Search Space for Use with the Analog Ensemble Technique
Laura Clemente-Harding, Pennsylvania State Univ., State College, PA; and G. S. Young, G. Cervone, L. Delle Monache, and S. E. Haupt
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
2.4
Probabilistic Forecasting of Snowfall Amounts Using a Hybrid between a Parametric and an Analog Approach
Michael Scheuerer, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.5
Performance of the 2017 Real-Time HWRF-Based Ensemble and Combined HWRF/HMON/COAMPS-TC Multimodel Ensemble
Zhan Zhang, NOAA, College Park, MD; and W. Wang, L. Zhu, B. Liu, A. Mehra, and V. Tallapragada
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.6
Initial Verification of IMPROVER: The New Met Office Post-Processing System
Jonathan Flowerdew, UKMO, Exeter, UK; and R. Crocker and R. Harbord
Recorded Presentation

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