Session 4 Ensemble and Multimodel Forecasting — Part III: S2S

Tuesday, 9 January 2018: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics
Chair:
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO

Papers:
8:30 AM
4.1
Improving the Skill of CFSv2 Seasonal Forecast over Northern South America
Maria C. Angel, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellin, Colombia; and C. D. Hoyos
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
4.2
Prediction of Short-Term Climate Extremes Using North American Multimodel Ensemble
Emily Becker, NOAA, College Park, MD; and D. C. Collins and H. van den Dool
Recorded Presentation

4.3
Potential Forecast of Extremes using a Multimodel Ensemble (MME)

9:15 AM
4.4
Novel Extended-Range Storm Impact Outlooks for Finland
Terhi K. Laurila, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and O. Hyvärinen, A. Mäkelä, A. Vajda, and H. Gregow
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
4.5
Predicting Regime Changes in the Lorenz Model with Ensemble Spread
Erin M. Lynch, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and K. C. Eure, E. Kalnay, and S. Sharma
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
4.6
Understanding the Temporal Variability in Long Time Series of Forecast Ensemble Variance
Justin McLay, NRL, Monterey, CA; and E. A. Satterfield
Recorded Presentation

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