Session 8 Verification and Validation — Part IV: S2S, Extreme Value, and Climate

Wednesday, 10 January 2018: 1:30 PM-3:45 PM
Room 19AB (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics
Zhuo Wang, Univ. of Illinois, Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, IL and Barbara Brown, NCAR, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO

1:30 PM
A New Integrated Threshold Selection Methodology for Spatial Forecast Verification of Extreme Events
Vitaly Kholodovsky, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and X. Z. Liang

1:45 PM
A Novel Method to Define Hot and Cold Spells With Extreme Value Theory
Carlos M. Minjarez-Sosa, Univ. de Sonora, Hermosillo, Mexico; and A. Jimenez and J. Montoya-Laos

2:15 PM
Systematic Error Characteristics of Weeks 3 and 4 2-m Temperature Forecasts in the NCEP GEFS Reforecast for SubX
Hong Guan, Systems Research Group Inc./EMC/NCEP/NOAA, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu, E. Sinsky, W. Li, and C. Melhauser
2:30 PM

3:00 PM
Improving Impact-Based Seasonal Outlooks for South-Central Texas
Ty Dickinson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. J. Hopper Jr. and M. Lenz
3:15 PM
A Methodology for Optimizing Free Global Climate Model Parameters Using NASA Observational Datasets
Gregory S. Elsaesser, Columbia Univ. and NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and M. van Lier-Walqui
3:45 PM
Evaluation of Extra Tropical Cyclones Using a Feature-Relative Method - Tara Jensen
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner