Session 5 Forecast evaluation

Thursday, 11 May 2000: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
Host: 15th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Organizer:
Tom Hamill, NCAR, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Papers:
1:30 PM
5.1
The Representativeness of Computed Precipitation Skill Scores
Edward I. Tollerud, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO

1:50 PM
5.2
Confidence intervals for some verification measures - a survey of several methods
Tressa L. Kane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown

2:10 PM
5.3
Application of the autologistic function with covariates to estimate an icing field
Greg S. Young, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown and J. A. Hoeting

2:30 PM
5.4
Verification of short-term forecasts from the Navy COAMPS over the Mediterranean
Jason E. Nachamkin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. M. Hodur

2:50 PM
5.5
Trends in skill of weather element forecasts in Canada
Richard Verret, EC/Canadian Meteorological Centre, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and G. Richard, G. Hardy, and C. Landry

3:10 PM
5.6
The NWS QPF Verification Program
Brett E. McDonald, NOAA/NWS/OM & UCAR/COMET, Camp Springs, MD; and T. M. Graziano

3:30 PM
5.7
Long-range forecast verification
Normand Gagnon, EC/Canadian Meteorological Centre, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and R. Verret, A. Plante, L. Lefaivre, and G. Richard

3:50 PM
5.8
Evaluation of probabilistic in-flight icing forecasts
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO

4:10 PM
5.9
Comparison of different scoring methods for TAFs and other probabilistic forecasts.
Glen R. Harris, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom

4:30 PM
5.4x
Coffee Break

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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