Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes
    

Poster Session 4

 Mesoscale Predictability and Ensembles—with Coffee Break
 P4.1Evaluation of RAMS surface wind forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay during the Coastal Marine Demonstration Project  extended abstract
Jeffery T. McQueen, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Aikman III and J. G. W. Kelley
 P4.2Gauging mesoscale predictability of an unusual high latitude snow event via a multi-model intercomparison  extended abstract
Jeffrey S. Tilley, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and R. Thoman
 P4.3The behavior of low-level vorticity and circulation surges of a modeled supercell  extended abstract
Brian J. Gaudet, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton
 P4.4Eta model forecasts for the millennium snowstorm of 30-31 December 2000  
Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs and SAIC/GSC, Beltsville, MD; and K. F. Brill
 P4.5Impact of soil moisture initialization on a simulated flash flood  extended abstract
C. Travis Ashby, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton
 P4.6Wind energy forecasts and ensemble uncertainty from the RUC  extended abstract
Kevin J. Brundage, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin and M. N. Schwartz
 P4.7Balanced initialization procedures and mesoscale predictability  
Steven E. Koch, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and F. Zhang
P4.8Quantifying the impact of observations using ensembles  extended abstract
Brian J. Etherton, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. H. Bishop
 P4.9Implementation of a Real-Time Short Range Ensemble Forecasting System at NCEP: An Update  extended abstract
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Tracton
 P4.10Evaluation of high resolution MM5 and Eta forecasts over the Northeast U.S  extended abstract
Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and J. S. Tongue and J. B. Olson
 P4.11Paper has been moved to session 8, new paper number 8.4  
 P4.12Quantifying the predictability and uncertainty of models to improve aviation forecasts  
Steven R. Silberberg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Kansas City, MO
 P4.13Dynamic selection from among an ensemble of lateral boundary conditions for limited-area models  extended abstract
Paul A. Nutter, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
 P4.14Predictability of convection at 24-48h forecast range using a very-high resolution (6 km) NWP model  
Michael A. Fowle, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and P. J. Roebber
 P4.15Numerical simulation of a right-moving storm over France  extended abstract
Katia Chancibault, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and V. Ducrocq and J. P. Lafore
 P4.16Variability in warm-season MCS rainfall predictability  
Isidora Jankov, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus
 P4.17Inertial instability: Climatology and possible relationship to severe weather predictability  
Russ S. Schumacher, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and D. M. Schultz
 P4.18The use of a 10km ensemble to improve warm season MCS rainfall prediction  
William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and M. Segal and I. Jankov
 P4.1924-48h predictability of lake-enhanced snowbands in the 2-3 January 1999 Midwest blizzard  
James E. Sieveking, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and P. J. Roebber
P4.20An Evaluation of Short Range Ensemble Forecasts (SREF) During the Intermountain Precipitation Experiment (IPEX)  
James A. Nelson Jr., NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh
 P4.21An examination of the operational predictability of mesoscale terrain-induced features in eastern Colorado from several models  extended abstract
Edward J. Szoke, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. L. Shaw

Wednesday, 1 August 2001: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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