Third Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology (Expanded View)

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Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 9 January 2000
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
Monday, 10 January 2000
7:30 AM-5:00 PM, Monday
Registration Continues through Friday, 14 January
10:00 AM, Monday
Coffee Break
10:30 AM-2:00 PM, Monday
Session 1 Coupled Fire - Atmospheric Models
Organizer: David W. Goens, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT
10:30 AMConference Introduction: Dave W. Goens, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT and Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA  
10:45 AM1.1Another Look at the Weather Factors Related to the 1949 Mann Gulch Fire  
David W. Goens, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT; and W. R. Krumm
11:00 AM1.2Numerical simulation of a wildfire event  
Mary Ann Jenkins, York Univ., Toronto, ON, Canada
11:15 AM1.3Coupled atmosphere-fire model dynamics of a fireline crossing a hill  
Janice L. Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark
11:30 AMLunch Break  
1:15 PM1.4New numerical approaches for coupled atmosphere-fire models  
Jon M. Reisner, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and D. A. Knoll, V. A. Mousseau, and R. R. Linn
1:30 PM1.5Studying Complex Wildfire Behavior Using FIRETEC  
Rodman R. Linn, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. E. Bossert, F. Harlow, J. M. Reisner, and S. Smith
1:45 PM1.6Coupled atmosphere-fire behavior model sensitivity to spatial fuels characterization  
James E. Bossert, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and R. R. Linn, J. M. Reisner, J. L. Winterkamp, P. Dennison, and D. Roberts
2:00 PM-3:00 PM, Monday
Session 2 Atmospheric and Fire Dynamics
Organizer: Janice Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO
2:00 PM2.1Collection and analysis of infrared observations of fire-atmosphere dynamics  
Terry L. Clark, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Coen, L. Radke, M. Reeder, and D. Packham
2:15 PM2.2The Turbulent Structure of a Wildland Fire  
Thomas Y. Palmer, Consultant, Fallbrook, CA
2:30 PM2.3Incorporating smoldering into fire growth modelling  
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada
2:45 PM2.4Characteristics of cloud-to-ground lightning activity in the contiguous United States from 1995-1997  
Bard A. Zajac, Colorado State Univ., CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and S. A. Rutledge
3:00 PM, Monday
1 Coffee Break
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Monday
Session 3 Smoke Management and Air Quality
Organizer: Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA
3:30 PMSession Introduction: Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Services, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA  
3:45 PM3.1Definition and use of interpolated weather parameters for operational estimation and prediction of atmospheric stability  
Richard Ammons, Idaho/Montana Smoke Management, Missoula, MT; and H. Thistle, P. Thornton, and S. Running
4:00 PM3.2Climatology of Biomass Smoke in Wildland Areas of the United States  
Sue A. Ferguson, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Seattle, WA
4:15 PM3.3Airflow and diffusion modeling for forested and urbanized areas  
Ronald M. Cionco, US Army Research Lab., White Sands Missile Range, NM
4:30 PM3.4Development of a satellite-based fire and smoke analysis in NOAA/NESDIS  
John Paquette, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and T. Renkevens and M. Ruminski
4:45 PM3.5Effect of Pollution from Central American Fires on Cloud-to-Ground Lightning in the Spring of 1998  
Natalie D. Murray, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and R. E. Orville and G. R. Huffines
5:00 PM, Monday
Sessions end for the day
5:00 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
7:30 PM, Monday
Fujita Banquet
Tuesday, 11 January 2000
8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday
Session 4 Application of Mesoscale Weather Modeling for Fire Management
Organizer: Elizabeth Page, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO
8:00 AMSession Introduction: Elizabeth Page, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO  
8:15 AM4.1Operational use of mesoscale models in fire weather forecasting  
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Meyers, M. Chamberlain, and R. McAnelly
8:30 AM4.2Numerical weather prediction for fire hazards on Oahu/Hawaii  
Duane E. Stevens, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and D. Funayama and F. M. Fujioka
8:45 AM4.3Development of an Objective Spot Forecasting Tool Using a Mesoscale Model  
Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL
9:00 AM4.4Real-Time Mesoscale Model Forecasts for Fire and Smoke Management: An Update  
Sue A. Ferguson, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Seattle, WA
9:15 AM4.5Mesoscale numerical forecasting of wind changes in support of fire-fighting operations  
Graham A. Mills, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
9:30 AM4.6Very high resolution model forecasts of fire weather for the January 1994 Fires  
Lance M. Leslie, Univ. of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and M. S. Speer and R. Bunker
9:45 AM4.7Numerical modeling of the Santa Barbara Sundowner of 27 June, 1990  
Chris MacFarland, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and C. Jones and J. Michaelsen
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday
Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 10:00 a.m.-2:15 p.m.)
10:30 AM-11:15 AM, Tuesday
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture in Interdisciplinary Science (Special President's Symposium on Environmental Applications) Title: Emerging Environmental Issues: A Global Perspective Speaker: R. E. (Ted) Munn, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
11:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday
WMO PRESENTATION (Special President's Symposium on Environmental Applications) Title: Meteorology and the Environment-The WMO Perspective Speaker: John W. Zillman, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland
12:15 PM, Tuesday
Conference Luncheon Speaker: D. James Baker, Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere, Administrator for NOAA, Silver Spring, MD
2:15 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday
Session 5 Operational and Near Operational Forecast Techniques: Uses of New Technologies
Organizer: Richard Ochoa, NOAA.NWS, Boise, ID
2:15 PMSession Introduction: Richard Ochoa, NOAA/NWS, Boise, ID  
2:30 PM5.1A Web-based Spot Forecast Request and Preparation System  
Timothy W. Barker, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT; and M. Whitmore
2:45 PM5.2Evaluation and Utilization of Scripps ECPC Fire Weather Forecasts  
Beth L. Hall, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown and J. O. Roads
3:00 PM5.3Use of Model Soundings and Real-Time Radar Data to Predict Dry Microbursts  
Steve Vasiloff, NOAA/ERL/NSSL and NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
3:15 PM5.4Forecasting dry thunderstorms as a part of the fire weather outlooks at the Storm Prediction Center  
Phillip D. Bothwell, SPC, Norman, OK
3:30 PMCoffee Break  
4:00 PM5.5National fire weather outlooks issued by the Storm Prediction Center  
Phillip D. Bothwell, SPC, Norman, OK; and G. W. Carbin
4:15 PMDiscussion  
4:30 PM, Tuesday
Oral Sessions end for the day
4:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Poster Session 1 Poster Session
 P1.1Micrometeorological changes to the boreal forest following wildfires: Airborne measurements during BOREAS  
B. D. Amiro, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and J. I. MacPherson and R. L. Desjardins
 P1.2Applications of AWIPS in Fire Weather Forecasting  
Jeanne L. Hoadley, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT
 P1.3On-scene real time fire weather forecasting: A new capability  
David I. Knapp, US Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and P. A. Haines, M. S. D'Arcy, and S. F. Kirby
 P1.4The Mann Gulch Fire and the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System  
Martin E. Alexander, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada
Wednesday, 12 January 2000
8:00 AM-11:15 AM, Wednesday
Session 6 Weather Data and Forecasts for Fire Behavior Applications
Organizer: Chris Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
8:00 AMSession Introduction: Chris Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT  
8:15 AM6.1Development of a seasonal fire severity forecast for the contiguous United States  
John O. Roads, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA; and S. C. Chen, F. M. Fujioka, and R. E. Burgan
8:30 AM6.2Producing 1-km resolution atmospheric forecasts for a prototype gridded National Fire Danger Rating System  
Timothy W. Barker, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT
8:45 AM6.3Verification and Assessment of Automated NFDRS Forecasts Based on Gridded Weather Forecasts and Satellite Derived Fuel Parameters  
Larry S. Bradshaw, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT; and T. W. Barker and R. E. Burgan
9:00 AM6.4A high resolution fire danger rating system for Hawaii  
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and D. R. Weise and R. E. Burgan
9:15 AM6.5The Northeast fire danger index system  
Lawrence Bach, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY; and A. Cacciola
9:30 AM6.6An Index for Assessing the Potential Escape of a Prescribed Burn  
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and C. Fontana
9:45 AM6.7FireFamily Plus: Fire Weather and Fire Danger Climatology at your Fingertips  
Larry S. Bradshaw, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Stations, Missoula, MT; and S. Brittain
10:00 AMCoffee Break  
10:30 AM6.8Model predicted spread rates for the Sydney January 1994 fires  
Milton S. Speer, Bureau of Meteorology, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and L. M. Leslie, W. Catchpole, R. Bradstock, and R. Bunker
10:45 AMDiscussion  
11:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday
Remote Sensing Lecture Title: Remote Sensing from Space Using Occultation and Lidar Techniques Speaker: M. Patrick McCormick, Hampton Univ., Hampton, VA
12:00 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break
1:30 PM-4:45 PM, Wednesday
Session 7 Use of Forecasts for Fire Planning, Execution and Suppression
Organizer: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Riverside, CA
1:30 PMSession Introduction: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Riverside, CA  
1:45 PM7.1The September 2, 1998 Firestorm: Saving Lives Through Effective Communication  
Mark Moede, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA; and P. Curran
2:00 PM7.2The North Central Nebraska Prairie Fire of 16 March 1999  
John W. Stoppkotte, NOAA/NWS, North Platte, NE
2:15 PM7.3Providing meteorological information for controlled burns at the Savannah River Site  
Robert L. Buckley, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and C. H. Hunter
2:30 PM7.4Long-range fire assessments: procedures, products, and applications  
G. Thomas Zimmerman, USDA Forest Service, Albuquerque, NM; and M. Hilbruner, P. Werth, T. Sexton, and R. Bartlette
2:45 PM7.5Experimental daily NCEP Eta model smoke management forecasts  
Matthew G. Fearon, DRI and Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown
3:00 PMCoffee Break  
3:30 PM7.6Prospects Of Long-Lead Seasonal Wildland Fire Predictions For Oahu, Hawaii  
Pao-Shin Chu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and W. Yan and F. M. Fujioka
3:45 PM7.7The relationship between area burned by wildland fire in Canada and circulation anomalies in the mid-troposphere  
Walter R. Skinner, AES, Toronto, ON, Canada; and B. J. Stocks, D. L. Martell, B. Bonsal, and A. Shabbar
4:00 PM7.8Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and their relation to Area Burned in Canada  
Mike D. Flannigan, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and B. Todd, M. Wotton, W. R. Skinner, B. J. Stocks, and D. L. Martell
4:15 PMDiscussion  
4:30 PMSymposium Closing Remarks: Dave Goens and Sue Ferguson  
4:45 PM, Wednesday
Symposium Ends
6:00 PM, Wednesday
Reception (Cash Bar)
7:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet

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