16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations
    

Joint Session 3

 Climate Variations and Forecasting (Joint with the 16th Conference Probability and Statistics and the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
 Organizers: Rick Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Bob Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
8:30 AMJ3.1A new significance test for empirical orthogonal functions  extended abstract
M. S. Santhanam, IBM India Research Laboratory, New Delhi, India; and B. Aditya and G. A. Kumar
8:45 AMJ3.2The correlation structure of some simple indices of global climate variability and change  extended abstract
David J. Karoly, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and K. Braganza
9:00 AMJ3.3Cloudiness trends in Canada  extended abstract
Ewa J. Milewska, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada
9:15 AMJ3.4A linear approach to atmospheric predictability on the medium and extended range  
Matthew Newman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh and C. R. Winkler
9:30 AMJ3.5Do weather or climate variables and their impacts have heavy-tailed distributions?  extended abstract
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO
9:45 AMJ3.6A hazard model for tornado occurrence in the United States  extended abstract
Cathryn L. Meyer, Boston College, Boston, MA; and H. E. Brooks and M. P. Kay
10:00 AMCoffee Break in Poster Session Room  
10:30 AMJ3.7A new perspective on the climatology of tornadoes in the United States  extended abstract
Sara L. Bruening, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and M. P. Kay and H. E. Brooks
10:45 AMJ3.8Determining Fog Type in the Los Angeles Basin Using Historic Surface Observation Data  extended abstract
Jeffrey A. Baars, Terabeam, Redmond, WA; and M. Witiw, A. Al-Habash, and J. Ramaprasad
11:00 AMJ3.9Fog in the Los Angeles Basin: Influence of the El Nino Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation  
Michael R. Witiw, Terabeam, Redmond, WA; and J. A. Baars and J. Ramaprasad
11:15 AMJ3.10Experimental forecasting of dry season “storminess” over Florida and the southeast United States from the ENSO signal using multiple linear regression techniques  
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. A. Almeida
11:30 AMJ3.11Predictability of anomalous storm tracks  
Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh and C. Penland
11:45 AMJ3.12Seasonal forecasting of strong winds over Europe  extended abstract
J. P. Palutikof, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and T. Holt and T. J. Osborn
12:00 PMGrand Poster Luncheon  
2:00 PMJ3.13A Space-Time Model for Seasonal Hurricane Prediction  extended abstract
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and X. Niu and J. B. Elsner
2:15 PMJ3.14Predictive United States' hurricane climate  extended abstract
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and B. H. Bossak

Tuesday, 15 January 2002: 8:30 AM-2:30 PM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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