Joint Session 3 |
| | Climate Variations and Forecasting (Joint with the 16th Conference Probability and Statistics and the 13th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations) |
| | Organizers: Rick Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Bob Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
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| 8:30 AM | J3.1 | A new significance test for empirical orthogonal functions 
M. S. Santhanam, IBM India Research Laboratory, New Delhi, India; and B. Aditya and G. A. Kumar |
| 8:45 AM | J3.2 | The correlation structure of some simple indices of global climate variability and change
David J. Karoly, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and K. Braganza |
| 9:00 AM | J3.3 | Cloudiness trends in Canada
Ewa J. Milewska, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada |
| 9:15 AM | J3.4 | A linear approach to atmospheric predictability on the medium and extended range
Matthew Newman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh and C. R. Winkler |
| 9:30 AM | J3.5 | Do weather or climate variables and their impacts have heavy-tailed distributions?
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 9:45 AM | J3.6 | A hazard model for tornado occurrence in the United States
Cathryn L. Meyer, Boston College, Boston, MA; and H. E. Brooks and M. P. Kay |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break in Poster Session Room
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| 10:30 AM | J3.7 | A new perspective on the climatology of tornadoes in the United States
Sara L. Bruening, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and M. P. Kay and H. E. Brooks |
| 10:45 AM | J3.8 | Determining Fog Type in the Los Angeles Basin Using Historic Surface Observation Data
Jeffrey A. Baars, Terabeam, Redmond, WA; and M. Witiw, A. Al-Habash, and J. Ramaprasad |
| 11:00 AM | J3.9 | Fog in the Los Angeles Basin: Influence of the El Nino Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Michael R. Witiw, Terabeam, Redmond, WA; and J. A. Baars and J. Ramaprasad |
| 11:15 AM | J3.10 | Experimental forecasting of dry season “storminess” over Florida and the southeast United States from the ENSO signal using multiple linear regression techniques
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. A. Almeida |
| 11:30 AM | J3.11 | Predictability of anomalous storm tracks
Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh and C. Penland |
| 11:45 AM | J3.12 | Seasonal forecasting of strong winds over Europe
J. P. Palutikof, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and T. Holt and T. J. Osborn |
| 12:00 PM | | Grand Poster Luncheon
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| 2:00 PM | J3.13 | A Space-Time Model for Seasonal Hurricane Prediction
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and X. Niu and J. B. Elsner |
| 2:15 PM | J3.14 | Predictive United States' hurricane climate
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and B. H. Bossak |