18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 28 January 2006
7:30 AM-7:31 AM, Saturday
Short Course and Student Conference Registration
 
Sunday, 29 January 2006
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
 
Monday, 30 January 2006
7:30 AM-6:00 PM, Monday
Registration Continues through Thursday, 2 February
 
9:00 AM-12:15 PM, Monday, A314
Session 1 Observed Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability: Part I
Chair: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
9:00 AM1.1Surface humidity and temperature trends in Canada for 1953–2004  extended abstract
Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and W. A. Van Wijngaarden
9:15 AM1.2A global, 2-hourly atmospheric precipitable water dataset from ground-based GPS measurements for diurnal cycle and other climate studies  
Junhong Wang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Zhang and A. Dai
9:30 AM1.3Ten Years of Measurements of Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Water Vapor by the MOZAIC: Climatology, Variability, Transport and Relation to Deep Convection  extended abstract wrf recording
Zhengzhao Luo, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. Kley and R. H. Johnson
9:45 AM1.4Upper tropospheric water vapor and clouds: new evidence from EOS MLS satellite observations  
Hui Su, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and W. G. Read, J. H. Jiang, and J. W. Waters
10:00 AMPaper 1.5 has been moved, New Paper number is 5.14A  
10:15 AM1.5ACross-tropopause transport over the Tibetan Plateau and its ambient regions during late summer/early fall 2004  
Yuanlong Hu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu, J. H. Jiang, W. G. Read, M. J. Filipiak, and J. W. Waters
10:30 AMCoffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer  
11:00 AM1.6Trends and variability of snowfall and snow cover across North America and Eurasia. Part 2: What the data say  extended abstract wrf recording
David A. Robinson, Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ; and R. R. Heim
11:15 AM1.7Temporal and spatial variability of large U.S. snowstorms 1950-2000  
David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and S. Changnon
11:30 AM1.8Synoptic analysis of 2001-2005 significant snowfall events on Mt. Kilimanjaro  
Rebecca Chan, Univ. of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA
11:45 AM1.9U.S. Forts Daily Data and the Frequency of Extreme Events in the 19th Century  
Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and K. E. Kunkel and J. R. Angel
12:00 PM1.10Trends in temperature extremes for Southern New Zealand  
Paula J. Brown, Univ. of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand; and L. Kavalieris
 
12:00 PM-1:10 PM, Monday
Plenary Session 1 AMS Forum Kick-Off Luncheon (Cash & Carry available in the Meeting Room Foyer)
Chairs: Sue Grimmond, King's College, London United Kingdom; Steven Hanna, Harvard Univ., Boston, MA; Mark Andrews, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
12:00 PMPL1.1Forum opening  
Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and M. Andrews, C. S. B. Grimmond, and S. R. Hanna
12:10 PMPL1.2How should we compare and evaluate urban land surface models?  
Martin Best, Met Office, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom
12:40 PMPL1.3THUNDERSTORM IMPACTS: A MIX OF CURSES AND BLESSINGS  
Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL
 
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, A313
Joint Session 1 LAND-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTIONS: Soil Moisture Feedback and Modeling Studies (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
1:30 PMJ1.1High-Resolution Convective Modeling using WRF and GCE coupled to LIS  
Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. -. K. Tao, S. V. Kumar, J. L. Eastman, X. Zeng, S. E. Lang, Y. Tian, and P. R. Houser
1:45 PMJ1.2(INVITED) Research Issues raised by looking at the dependence of Tibetan climate on albedo from perspective of a Global Climate Model   wrf recording
Robert Dickinson, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and M. Shaikh and L. Zhou
2:00 PMJ1.3Numerical Simulation of the 2004 North American Monsoon sensitivity to surface data  
Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. D. Chern, K. R. Arsenault, P. R. Houser, and J. D. Radakovich
2:15 PMJ1.4Reducing the wintertime warm bias in NCAR GCMs through the use of a new snow cover fraction scheme  
Zong-Liang Yang, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and G. Y. Niu
2:30 PMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
4:00 PMJ1.5Land-atmosphere coupling and climate variability in future-climate scenarios for the European continent  
Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zuerich, Switzerland; and D. Luthi, P. Vidale, and C. Schar
4:15 PMJ1.6An assessment of simulated warm-season rainfall variability over the Great Plains and associated land surface conditions  
Wanru Wu, Georgia Tech, Atlanta, GA; and R. Dickinson
4:30 PMJ1.7Soil moisture—atmosphere interactions during the 2003 European summer heatwave  extended abstract wrf recording
Erich M. Fischer, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and S. Seneviratne, D. Luethi, C. Schaer, and P. Vidale
4:45 PMJ1.8Impact of soil moisture feedback and vegetation feedback on seasonal prediction of precipitation over North America  
Yeonjooo Kim, Univ. of Connecticut, Storrs Mansfield, CT; and G. Wang
5:00 PMJ1.9Effects of solar dimming on soil moisture trends  
Alan Robock, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and H. Li
5:15 PMJ1.10Assessing Land Memory in the GSWP2 Simulations and Association to Global Recycling Estimates  
C. Adam Schlosser, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and P. A. Dirmeyer and K. L. Brubaker
 
1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Monday, A314
Session 2 AMS Bernhard Haurwitz and Walter Orr Roberts Lectures
1:30 PM2.1Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture: Testing Global Warming Models in the Face of Uncertainty   wrf recording
Peter H. Stone, MIT, Cambridge, MA
2:30 PMFormal Poster Viewing  
4:00 PM2.2Walter Orr Roberts Lecture: Climate and Ecosystem Variability: The Role of Forcings and Feedbacks  
Antonio Busalacchi, University of Maryland, College Park, MD
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall A2
Poster Session 1 Observed climate change
 P1.1The role of the atmospheric circulation in very extensive summer sea ice in the Ross Sea, Antarctica in 2003  extended abstract
S. A. Harangozo, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 P1.2Monitoring Ice Variability and Change through an Ice Reduction Date  
Andrew Molthan, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson and B. Jackson
 P1.3Variations in melt conditions in the Arctic through use of surface energy proxy  
Bryan Jackson, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and A. Molthan and M. R. Anderson
 P1.4The impact of an observationally based surface emissivity dataset on the simulation of Microwave Sounding Unit Temperatures  
Justin J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and L. Litten, B. D. Santer, and J. R. Christy
 P1.5Kernel PCA Analysis for remote sensing data  extended abstract
John A. Tan, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and R. Yang and M. Kafatos
 P1.6Diurnal cycles of the surface radiation budget data set  extended abstract
Pamela E. Mlynczak, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith, P. W. Stackhouse, and S. K. Gupta
 P1.7Measurements of the Radiative Surface Forcing of Climate  extended abstract
W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and E. Puckrin
 P1.8Changes in the air-sea temperature difference of the North Atlantic for the past 50 years  extended abstract
Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/OAR/CDC, Boulder, CO; and R. J. Murnane and J. K. Eischeid
 P1.9Seasonal and Diurnal Cycles in Climate Change and Variability  
Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and N. C. Grody and A. Robock
 P1.10The effect of radiosonde instrument changes on climate trends of global atmospheric precipitable water  extended abstract
Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX
 P1.11North America climate extremes monitoring system  extended abstract
Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, T. C. Peterson, and N. S. Stroumentova
 P1.12Assessment of US climate variations using the US Climate Extremes Index and the US Greenhouse Climate Response Index  
David J. Karoly, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Ruppert, D. R. Easterling, and J. H. Lawrimore
 P1.13Observational evidence of sensitivity of surface climate changes to land types and urbanization  
Young-Kwon Lim, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai, E. Kalnay, and L. Zhou
 P1.14Statistical trend detection of a global change signal in regional climate over the U.S.  
Airong Cai, Univ. of Illinois, Chicago, IL; and K. Hayhoe, G. C. Tiao, and D. J. Wuebbles
 P1.15Decadal Wind Trends at the Savannah River Site  extended abstract
Allen H. Weber, Savannah River National Laboratory (retired), North Augusta, SC; and R. L. Buckley and M. J. Parker
P1.16Effects of biomass burning-derived aerosols on precipitation and clouds in the Amazon Basin: a satellite-based empirical study  
John C. Lin, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and T. Matsui, R. A. Pielke, and C. Kummerow
 P1.17Long-term variations in global and tropical precipitation derived from the GPCP monthly product  
Robert Adler, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Gu and G. J. Huffman
 
5:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, A314
Session 2A Report on U.S. Climate Science Program
5:00 PM2A.1Report on the U.S. Climate Science Program November 2005 Workshop on Climate Science in Support of Decision Making  
James Mahoney, NOAA, Washington, DC; and M. Glackin and A. N. Tribble
 
5:30 PM, Monday
Sessions end for the day (M)
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
 
7:30 PM, Monday
Holton Symposium Banquet
 
Tuesday, 31 January 2006
8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday, A312
Joint Session 2 Distributed Earth Science Information Systems (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)
Cochairs: Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; Stephen M. Holt, Mitretek Systems, Falls Church, VA
8:30 AMJ2.1Surface data integration at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center: data format, processing, QC, and product generation  extended abstract wrf recording
Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. N. Lott, S. K. Hawkins, R. Baldwin, D. D. Anders, R. Ray, D. Dellinger, P. Jones, and F. Smith
8:45 AMJ2.2Recent advances in in-situ data access, summarization, and visualization at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center  extended abstract wrf recording
J. Neal Lott, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Baldwin and D. D. Anders
9:00 AMJ2.3Process Management and Improvement for CLASS System Development and Maintenance  extended abstract wrf recording
Anita K. Konzak, NOAA/NESDIS, Suitland, MD; and R. G. Reynolds and C. Martinez
9:15 AMJ2.4MI3: the NCDC's master station history  extended abstract wrf recording
Jeffrey D. Arnfield, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
9:30 AMJ2.5Evolving EO-1 Sensor Web Testbed Capabilities in Pursuit of GEOSS  
Dan Mandl, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. W. Frye
9:45 AMJ2.6BeringClimate: An Evolving View of Ecosystem Change in the Bering Sea  
James E. Overland, NOAA/OAR/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and S. Rodionov and N. N. Soreide
 
8:30 AM-12:30 PM, Tuesday, A314
Joint Session 3 Land-Atmosphere Interactions: Land Data, Land Cover, and Land Use Studies (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)
Cochairs: Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
J3.1Observed vegetation-climate feedbacks in the United States  extended abstract
Michael Notaro, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and Z. Liu and J. W. Williams
8:30 AMJ3.2(INVITED) Land-atmosphere interactions on North American basins estimated from North American Regional Reanalysis products  
Ernesto Hugo Berbery, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Y. Luo, K. E. Mitchell, and A. K. Betts
8:45 AMJ3.3State of the ground: Climatology and changes during the past 65 years over Northern Eurasia for snow cover, dry, wet, and frozen ground conditions  
Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Knight, V. N. Razuvaev, O. N. Bulygina, and T. R. Karl
9:00 AMJ3.4The seasonal evolution of the diurnal variation of the low-level winds around the Gulf of California. Is there a link to vegetation green-up during the wet season?  extended abstract wrf recording
Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia, J. M. Galvez, R. Orozco, and J. Murillo
9:15 AMJ3.5The climate sensitivity of land cover change and its thermodynamic characterization  
Axel Kleidon, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD
9:30 AMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
10:45 AMJ3.6Deforestation and dry season rainfall in northern Mesoamerica: Implications for forest sustainability  extended abstract wrf recording
Ronald M. Welch, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. K. Ray, R. O. Lawton, and U. S. Nair
11:00 AMJ3.7How important is land cover change for simulating future climates?  
Johannes Feddema, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and L. O. Mearns, K. Oleson, G. Bonan, L. Buja, G. Meehl, and W. M. Washington
11:15 AMJ3.8The influence of vegetation on the global climate: an analysis of teleconnection processes using a coupled atmosphere-biosphere model  
Peter K. Snyder, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL
J3.9Climate scenario of the 21st century with interactive coupling between a land use model and a GCM  
Aurore Voldoire, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and J. F. Royer
11:30 AMJ3.9APotential impacts of aerosol-land-atmosphere interaction on the Indian  
Dev Niyogi, Purdue University and Indiana State Climate Office, West Lafayette, IN; and H. I. Chang, L. Gu, S. Menon, and R. A. Pielke
11:45 AMJ3.10Impact of land-use and land-cover changes on mineral dust emission in Central and East Asia  
Kremena Darmenova, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and I. N. Sokolik
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall A2
Joint Poster Session 1 Land-Atmosphere Interactions (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)
 JP1.1Regional climate modelling of European summer climate variability over the period 1958–2001  
Erich M. Fischer, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and S. I. Seneviratne, P. Vidale, D. Luethi, and C. Schaer
 JP1.2Soil temperature and moisture errors in Eta model analyses  extended abstract
Christopher M. Godfrey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and L. M. Leslie
 JP1.3Evaluation of interannual variability simulation over South America using a dynamic downscaling approach  
Fernando H. De Sales, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Xue
 JP1.4Impacts of the satellite-derived leaf area index on GCM simulation of near-surface climate  
Hyun-Suk Kang, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. K. Xue and G. J. Collatz
 JP1.5Effects of Soil Moisture Variations on Boundary Layer Characteristics: Numerical Simulations using WRF  
Ning Zhang, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and D. Lu and H. Liu
 JP1.6The Role of the CLM2 in Seasonal Dynamical Downscaling for Crop Model Application  
Dong-Wook Shin, COAPS, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. G. Bellow, S. Cocke, T. LaRow, and J. J. O'Brien
 JP1.7The impact of soil moisture initialization on seasonal precipitation in West Africa  
Andrea M. Sealy, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and E. Joseph and C. H. Lu
 JP1.8Hydroclimatological Predictions Based on Basin's Humidity Index  extended abstract
Hatim Sharif, Univ. of Texas, San Antonio, TX; and N. L. Miller
 JP1.9High-resolution CRM simulations from IHOP: Land-atmosphere interactions  
Stephen E. Lang, SSAI and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and X. Zeng, W. -. K. Tao, C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. L. Eastman, S. V. Kumar, and Y. Tian
 Poster JP1.10 Moved. New Paper number J3.9A  
 JP1.11Impact of cross effects between soil temperature and moisture states and soil water vapor fluxes on global climate  
Nicole Mölders, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and G. Kramm
 JP1.12A diagnostic study on atmospheric moisture budget over the continental United States for wet and dry years  
Xinmin Zeng, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and H. Liu
 JP1.13A Soil Moisture Monitoring Network: The Oklahoma Mesonet Perspective  
Bradley G. Illston, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, C. A. Fiebrich, R. L. Elliott, D. K. Fisher, E. D. Hunt, and J. R. Kilby
 JP1.14Advanced computing, data access and distribution technologies, and interoperable tools enable high resolution coupled land-atmosphere prediction  
Sujay V. Kumar, UMBC/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, W. K. Tao, Y. Tian, J. Eastman, X. Zeng, S. E. Lang, and P. R. Houser
 JP1.15Biogeography of cloud forests: Use of satellite remote sensing and numerical modeling  
U. S. Nair, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. K. Ray, S. Asefi, R. M. Welch, and R. O. Lawton
 JP1.16Verification case studies within the 12km North American land data assimilation system (NLDASE) project  extended abstract
Charles J. Alonge, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. A. Cosgrove
 JP1.17Impact of green vegetation fraction on atmosphere/land-surface models  
Vince C. K. Wong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell and G. Gayno
 JP1.18The impact of wind speed on nighttime microscale temperature gradients  extended abstract
Matthew J. Haugland, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
 JP1.19Reduced atmospheric CH4 consumption by temperate forest soils under elevated CO2  
Lindsay Dubbs, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and S. C. Whalen and E. N. Fischer
 JP1.20Lower Tropospheric Analysis of the Daily Cycle of the Wind for the East Coast of the Gulf of California during NAME 2004  
Luna M. Rodriguez, Senior, Universidad de Puerto Rico- Recinto de Rio Piedras, Physics, San Juan, Puerti Rico; and L. M. Hartten
 JP1.21How the congo basin deforestation and the equatorial monsoonal circulation influences the regional hydroloical cycle  extended abstract
Willis O. Shem, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. E. Dickinson
 JP1.22Impact of lowland deforestation on South West Indian tropical wet forests: cloud cover and rainfall  
Deepak K. Ray, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. M. Welch, U. S. Nair, R. O. Lawton, and R. A. Pielke
 JP1.23The impact of a controlled burn on surface and atmospheric conditions on a tallgrass prairie  extended abstract
Amanda J. Schroeder, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara
 JP1.24Radiative scaling of the nocturnal boundary layer  
Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT
 JP1.25The effect of vegetation type on the seasonal and diurnal cycles of soil temperature  
Thomas Atkins, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. Robock
 JP1.26Climate variability in a simple model of land-atmosphere interaction  extended abstract
Jiangfeng Wei, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. E. Dickinson and N. Zeng
 JP1.27The Effects of Frozen Soil on Snowmelt Runoff and Soil Water Storage  
Guo-Yue Niu, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang
 JP1.28The influence of soil transport processes upon temperature and moisture profiles in a snowpack  
Yi-Ching Chung, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. W. England
 JP1.29Modelling dust transport over Central Eastern Australia  
Lance M. Leslie, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
 JP1.30A Physical Based Forest Fuel Moisture Scheme for High-Resolution Fire Modeling  
Yongqiang Liu, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, USDA Forest Service, Athens, GA
 JP1.31Attribution of seasonal soil moisture prediction uncertainties  
Zaitao Pan, St. Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and R. Horton, B. Tentinger, and M. Segal
 JP1.32Simulating water and energy fluxes using a coupled groundwater, surface water, land surface and regional climate model.  
Reed M. Maxwell, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and S. J. Kollet, Q. Duan, and F. K. Chow
 Poster JP1.33 Moved. New number J5.5A  
 JP1.34The role of land surface schemes on land-atmosphere coupling strength in weather and climate models  
Zhichang Guo, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer and R. D. Koster
 
11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday
Exhbits Open (T)
 
11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Tuesday, A313
Session 3 Observed Climate Change in the Atmosphere and Oceans: Part 1
Cochairs: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
11:00 AM3.1State of the climate for 2005  extended abstract wrf recording
Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, D. H. Levinson, A. M. Waple, C. Tankersley, and S. Stephens
11:15 AM3.2Is the tropopause a sensitive indicator of climate change?   wrf recording
Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and W. J. Randel
11:30 AM3.3Geographical distribution of the vertical temperature profile trends derived from radiosonde observations  extended abstract wrf recording
Hong Li, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Cai, E. Kalnay, and J. Woollen
11:45 AM3.4Analysis of tropospheric temperature gradients via radiosonde wind data in the western tropical Pacific  extended abstract wrf recording
Robert J. Allen, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT; and S. C. Sherwood
12:00 PM3.5A new lower tropospheric temperature dataset using microwave sounding unit measurements  extended abstract
Carl. A. Mears, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. J. Wentz
 
12:15 PM, Tuesday
Plenary Session Presidential Forum with Boxed Lunch (Lunch will be available for purchase outside the meeting room.)
 
1:45 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday, A313
Joint Session 5 Land-Atmosphere Interactions: Coupled Model Development, Data Assimilation, Predictability, and Process Studies (Joint with 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 20th Conference on Hydrology)
Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA
J5.1Noah LSM surface layer formulations used in the operational mesoscale NAM (WRF-NMM) model  
M. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Suitland, MD; and K. Mitchell and G. Gayno
1:45 PMJ5.2Influence of land surface parametrizations on climate simulations at high latitudes  
Diana L. Verseghy, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and P. A. Bartlett
2:00 PMJ5.3Testing a coupled biophysical/dynamic vegetation model (SSiB-4/TRIFFID) in different climate zones using satellite-derived and ground-measured data  
Yongkang Xue, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Deng and P. M. Cox
2:15 PMJ5.4Recent results from the 12km North American land data assimilation system (NLDASE) project  extended abstract wrf recording
Brian A. Cosgrove, NASA/GSFC and SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. J. Alonge
J5.5Impact of the new Noah Land Surface Model on the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS)  
Helin Wei, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and C. Lu, K. E. Mitchell, and C. -. J. Meng
2:30 PMJ5.5AUsing GLDAS/LIS to derive global land climatology for the NOAA Climate Test Bed  
Jesse Meng, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell and H. Wei
2:45 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall  
3:15 PMJ5.6PILPS semi-arid experiment: preliminary results  extended abstract wrf recording
Luis A. Bastidas, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and E. Rosero and B. Nijssen
3:30 PMJ5.7(INVITED) Examination of the Bouchet-Morton complementarity relationship throughout a period of increasing irrigation  
Guido Salvucci, Boston University, Boston, MA; and M. Ozdogan
3:45 PMJ5.8Using observed spatial correlation structures of rainfall and temperature to improve the skill of subseasonal forecasts relying on land surface moisture initialization  
Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. J. Suarez
4:00 PMJ5.9(INVITED) Do Global Models Properly Represent the Feedback Between Land and Atmosphere?  
P. A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and Z. Guo and R. D. Koster
4:15 PMJ5.10Assessing the land-surface, boundary layer and cloud-field coupling in ERA-40  
Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT; and P. Viterbo
4:30 PMJ5.11Impact of fine-scale landscape and soil-moisture variability in the initiation of deep convection  
Fei Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO
4:45 PMJ5.12Influence of variations in low-level moisture and soil moisture on the organization of summer convective systems in the US Midwest  extended abstract wrf recording
Jimmy O. Adegoke, University of Missouri, Kansas City, MO; and S. Vezhapparambu, C. L. Castro, R. Pielke, and A. M. Carleton
5:00 PMJ5.13Evaluation of the impact of land surface heterogeneity representations on mesoscale fluxes  
Sujay V. Kumar, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. Eastman, Y. Tian, and P. R. Houser
 
1:45 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, A314
Session 4 Observed Climate Change in the Atmosphere and Oceans: Part 2
Chairs: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
1:45 PM4.1Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe: an update through 2004  extended abstract
Russell S. Vose, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. R. Easterling and B. Gleason
2:00 PM4.2At what horizontal scale can significant surface warming be detected?  
David J. Karoly, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Q. Wu
2:15 PM4.3Abrupt global temperature change and the instrumental record  extended abstract wrf recording
Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
2:30 PM4.4Rehabilitating the Canadian Climate Reference Network  
Yves Durocher, EC, Downsview, ON, Canada
2:45 PM4.5A comparison of the original United States Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) and USHCN v2  extended abstract wrf recording
Claude N. Williams Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. J. Menne
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall  
3:30 PM4.6Atlantic hurricanes and global warming: Observational evidence  
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
3:45 PM4.7Frequency, duration and intensity of tropical cyclonic storms in a warming environment  
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, and H. R. Chang
4:00 PM4.8How unnatural are the observed Tropical SST trends over the last 50 years ?  
Cecile Penland, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. Sardeshmukh
4:15 PM4.9Characterization of Changing Precipitation Regimes  extended abstract wrf recording
John Hallett, DRI, Reno, NV; and R. Rasmussen
4:30 PM4.10Global “warming holes” and regional land surface-atmosphere interactions  
Zaitao Pan, St. Louis Univ., St. Louis, MO; and M. Segal, W. Gutowski, E. S. Takle, and C. J. Anderson
4:45 PM4.11Recent rainfall trends across tropical West Africa: Observations and potential causes  
Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and P. Susan and K. Simone
5:00 PM4.12Continued research on observed changes in cloudiness and air pollution over China and their relationships with other meteorological variables  
Dale Kaiser, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN; and Y. Qian, R. S. Vose, and B. Sun
5:15 PM4.13An algorithm to derive snowfall from snow depth observations  extended abstract wrf recording
Alexandre Fischer, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and Y. Durocher
 
5:30 PM, Tuesday
Sessions end for the day (T)
 
Wednesday, 1 February 2006
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, A410
Joint Session 4 Joint Session: Past and Future Climatology of Severe Convective Storms (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
8:30 AMJ4.1Changes in very heavy and extreme precipitation events: what do we know?   wrf recording
Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
9:00 AMJ4.2A global view of severe thunderstorms: Estimating the current distribution and possible future changes  extended abstract wrf recording
Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
 
8:30 AM-5:00 PM, Wednesday, A313
Session 5 Climate Modeling: Studies of climate change
Chairs: G. L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA; Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
8:30 AM5.1New Climate Change Findings and Future Plans  
Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meehl, J. Arblaster, and H. Teng
8:45 AM5.2Future changes of El Nino  
Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Teng and G. Branstator
9:00 AM5.3Climate change detection and attribution in the upper air  extended abstract wrf recording
Stephen S. Leroy, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and J. G. Anderson and J. A. Dykema
9:15 AM5.4The causes and uncertainty of future summer drying over Europe  
David P. Rowell, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and R. Jones
9:30 AM5.5A comparison of model produced maximum and minimum temperature trends with observed trends for the 20th and 21st centuries  extended abstract wrf recording
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and B. E. Gleason, R. S. Vose, and R. Stouffer
9:45 AM5.6Stratospheric trends in IPCC model simulations  
Eugene Cordero, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and F. Snively
10:00 AMCoffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer  
10:30 AM5.7Rainfall and Its seasonality over the Amazon in the 21st century as assessed by the Coupled Models for the IPCC AR4  
Wenhong Li, Georgis Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Fu and R. E. Dickinson
10:45 AM5.8Differences in the frequency and the distribution of intense extratropical cyclone events in a model simulated doubled CO2 environment  extended abstract
Kristopher L. Wile, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
11:00 AM5.9Assessment of Twentieth-century regional surface temperature trends using the GFDL CM2 coupled models   wrf recording
Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. L. Delworth, K. W. Dixon, I. M. Held, J. Lu, V. Ramaswamy, D. Schwarzkopf, G. Stenchikov, and R. J. Stouffer
11:15 AM5.10An analysis of model tropospheric response to various forcings  
Justin J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. R. Christy
11:30 AM5.11Changes in synoptic weather patterns in the polar regions in the 20th and 21st centuries, Part 2: Antarctic   wrf recording
Amanda Lynch, Monash Univ., Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and P. Uotila and J. J. Cassano
11:45 AM5.12Comparison of Satellite Observed and Model Simulated Sea Ice: Evaluation for the 4th IPCC Assessment   wrf recording
Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. J. Cavalieri and C. L. Parkinson
12:00 PMLunch Break (Cash and Carry will be available in the Exhibit Hall)  
1:30 PM5.13A global analysis of variability and trends of soil moisture  
Zhichang Guo, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer
1:45 PMPaper 5.14 has been moved, New Number is Poster P3.20  
2:00 PM5.14AUpper-air temperature changes in models and radiosonde observations  
Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Lanzante and D. J. Seidel
2:15 PM5.15Changes in snow cover and snow water equivalent due to global warming simulated by a 20km-mesh global atmospheric model  
Masahiro Hosaka, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and D. Nohara and A. Kitoh
2:30 PM5.16Multi-model multi-signal climate change detection at regional scale  
Xuebin Zhang, Meteorological Service of Canada, Downsview, Ontario, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers and P. Stott
2:45 PMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
4:15 PM5.17Bayesian climate change assessment using multi-AOGCM ensembles: global and regional surface temperatures  extended abstract
Seung-Ki Min, Univ. of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and A. Hense
4:30 PM5.18Observed and modeled climate variability over the United States associated with major teleconnection patterns  
Anne Hertel, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Hayhoe, A. Cai, and D. J. Wuebbles
4:45 PM5.19Verification and application of the Analogue-Method to project local scale precipitation from different GCM scenarios: a case study within the US Sierra Nevada and the European Alps  
Christoph Matulla, MSC, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and X. Zhang, X. Wang, J. Wang, S. Wagner, and E. Zorita
 
9:30 AM, Wednesday, A410
Joint Panel Discussion 1 What Might Climate Change Mean for the Future Distribution and Frequency of Severe Convective Storms? (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Panelists: Pasha Groisman, NCDC, Asheville, NC; Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN
Moderator: Paul Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, A314
Session 6 Climate Prediction on Seasonal to Interannual Timescales
10:30 AM6.1Value of climate forecasts in simple decision-making process  
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWSFO, Davenport, IA; and R. E. Livezey
10:45 AM6.2Teleconnections and climate in the Peruvian Andes  
Elsa Nickl, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; and C. Willmott
11:00 AM6.3Prediction of Extratropical Storminess  
Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh, M. A. Alexander, and J. D. Scott
11:15 AM6.4An examination of the bias in the NCEP GFS, CFS simulations associated with the marine stratus clouds  extended abstract wrf recording
Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang, W. Higgins, P. Arkin, M. Cronin, and R. A. Weller
11:30 AM6.5Bred vectors and forecast error in the NASA coupled general circulation model  extended abstract
Shu-Chih Yang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. Kalnay, M. Rienecker, M. Cai, and J. Ballabrera
11:45 AM6.6Tier-one Seasonal Prediction with CES Coupled GCM  
Jong-Seong Kug, Climate Environment System Research Center, Seoul, South Korea; and I. S. Kang and -. D. H. Choi
 
11:00 AM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Exhibits Open (W)
 
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, A314
Session 7 Observed seasonal to interannual climate variability: Part II
Chair: Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO
7.1Annual cycle of cloud forcing of surface radiation budget  
Anne C. Wilber, AS&M, Hampton, Virginia; and G. L. Smith, S. K. Gupta, and P. W. Stackhouse
1:30 PM7.2Interannual variability of arctic radiation balance in July  extended abstract
T. Dale Bess, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith
7.3Coherent pattern of African dust and Precipitation over tropical Atlantic  
Xiaoyu Liu, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
1:45 PM7.4Two flavors of drought in the Pacific Northwest: recent examples  
Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
2:00 PMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
3:30 PM7.5North Pacific oscillation's impact on Arctic sea-ice and North American hydroclimate  
Megan Linkin, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam
3:45 PM7.6A diagnostic study of the southern Africa rainy season during the 1997–98 El Nino  
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and S. J. Mason
4:00 PM7.7Two distinctive ENSO cycles and associated extratropical atmospheric anomalies  
Hui Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and W. Li and R. Fu
4:15 PM7.8Wintertime influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on mid-latitude precipitation via changes in the thermodynamic balance  
Mathew A. Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA
4:30 PM7.9Interdecadal Variations od East Asia Summer Monsoon Northward Progressing and Its Influences on Summer Precipitation Over East China  
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and S. Yang
4:45 PM7.10The influence of pre-seasonal land surface condition on South American Monsoon Onset and Its Interannual Variability  
Rong Fu, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and W. Li
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall A2
Poster Session 2 Observed seasonal to interannual climate variability and climate applications
 P2.1Relationships between Changes in Annual Frequency of Heavy Precipitation in Japan and ENSO  extended abstract
Hironori Higashi, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Matsuura
 P2.2Development of nor'easters during El Niño years  extended abstract
Lynne M. Hoppe, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith
 P2.3ENSO signal in wind roses across the southeast United States  
Joanne C. Culin, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and P. W. Leftwich and J. J. O'Brien
 P2.4ENSO, PNA and NAO Scenarios for extreme storminess, rainfall and temperature variability during the Florida dry season  extended abstract
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, Florida
P2.5Harbingers for La Nina and El Nino events  
Wilbur Y. Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
 P2.6Dynamics of the Eastern Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone  
Violeta E. Toma, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster
 P2.7Empirical Study of Atmospheric Responses to the Tropical SST Forcing  
Qigang Wu, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly
 P2.8The Daily Cycle in and below the Lower Troposphere Along the Gulf of California During the North American Monsoon  
Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and C. W. King and R. J. Zamora
P2.9Nonlinear association between Northern Hemisphere winter geopotential height and the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation  
Xuhui Pan, The Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and K. Hamilton
 Poster P2.10 has been moved, New number is Paper 1.5A  
P2.11Access to the Global Upper Air Sounding Archive at NCAR  
Joseph L. Comeaux II, NCAR, Boulder, CO
 P2.12Access to global radiosonde and surface station observations including ERA-40 Assimilation Model Metadata from NCAR  extended abstract
Douglas Schuster, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Comeaux and S. J. Worley
 P2.13Development of climate monitoring indices for California  
Laura M. Edwards, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. T. Redmond
 P2.14Detection of local climate change  extended abstract
Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, Univ. of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico, PR; and O. Julcas
 P2.15Analyzing seasonal to interannual extreme weather and climate variability with the extremes toolkit  extended abstract
Eric Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. W. Katz
 P2.16Analysis of surface heating trends from 1994 to 2004 using Oklahoma Mesonet data  extended abstract
Scott E. Stevens, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and B. Illston and J. B. Basara
 P2.17Trends and Variability in Long-term Precipitation over the Mississippi Region  
R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and P. Chigbu and M. M. Watts
 P2.18Trends and variability of snowfall and snow cover across North America and Eurasia. Part 1: data quality and homogeneity analysis  extended abstract
Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. A. Robinson
 P2.19Precipitation Estimation in Canada using Archival Climate Data  extended abstract
William A. Van Wijngaarden, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada
 P2.20Characterization of land surface properties of active dust sources using MODIS and MISR data.  
Drexel G. Waggoner, SRA International, Macon, GA; and D. I. N. Sokolik
 P2.21The 2003 Australian bushfires: A case study  
L.M. Tryhorn, Monash Univ., Clayton, Victoria, Australia
 P2.22A method for computing the monthly Palmer Drought Index on a weekly basis: comparing data estimation techniques  extended abstract
Richard Heim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
 
3:45 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day (W)
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Reception in the Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
 
7:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
 
Thursday, 2 February 2006
8:45 AM-4:30 PM, Thursday, A313
Session 8 Incorporating climate information and forecasts into the decision making process in the water resource and energy sectors
Chairs: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; Mathew A. Barlow, University of Massachusetts - Lowell, Lowell, MA
8:45 AM8.1Design criteria for a national climate service: insights from a RISA program (INVITED PRESENTATION)   wrf recording
Edward L. Miles, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. K. Snover and L. Whitely Binder
9:15 AM8.2The use of climate information in water resources management (INVITED PRESENTATION)  
Holly Hartmann, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
9:45 AMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
11:00 AM8.3Three-tier operational precipitation and hydrological forecasting of large-scale un-gauged river basins: Developing a basis for strategic and tactical decisions for water management, agricultural planning and disaster mitigation (INVITED PRESENTATION)  
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and T. M. Hopson and C. D. Hoyos
11:30 AM8.4Using climate information for river basin management in Sri Lanka (INVITED PRESENTATION)  
Lareef Zubair, IRI, Palisades, NY
12:00 PMLunch Break (Cash and Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)  
1:30 PM8.5(INVITED) Measuring the performance of hydrological forecasts for hydropower production at BC Hydro and Hydro-Québec  extended abstract
Frank Weber, BC Hydro, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and L. Perreault and V. Fortin
2:00 PM8.6Critical climate controls and information needs for environmental assessment and adaptive management in the Grand Canyon region  
Shaleen Jain, NOAA/CIRES and Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Pulwarty, T. Melis, D. Topping, and J. K. Eischeid
2:30 PM8.7Improved Operation of Reservoir Systems – Utility of Seasonal and Monthly Updated Climate Forecasts  
Sankar Arumugam, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and U. Lall
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle  
3:30 PM8.8Climate-informed decision tools for the water and energy sector (INVITED PRESENTATION)  
Casey Brown, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and U. Lall and S. Arumugam
4:00 PM8.9An integrated approach to the efficient management of scarce freshwater resources in tropical West Africa: the IMPETUS project  
Michael Christoph, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink and P. Speth
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall A2
Poster Session 3 Climate Modeling and Diagnostic Studies
 P3.1Evaluating a stochastic shortwave radiation routine using a single-column model  extended abstract
Dana E. Veron, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and M. Foster and J. M. Secora
 P3.2Estimating response to various forcings in an aquaplanet GCM  
Vladimir Alexeev, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and P. L. Langen
 P3.3Model Parameter Evaluation using Linear Inverse Modeling  
John A. Dykema, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and B. F. Farrell, S. S. Leroy, and J. G. Anderson
 P3.4Equilibrium Phases in a energy-relative enstrophy Statistical Mechanics model of barotropic flows on a rotating sphere—non-conservation of angular momentum  extended abstract
Xueru Ding, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY; and C. Lim
 P3.5Phase transitions of barotropic flow on the sphere by the Bragg method  extended abstract
Rajinder Singh Mavi, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY; and C. Lim
 P3.6The Australian summer monsoon—a model intercomparison study  
Andrew G. Marshall, Monash Univ., Clayton, Victoria, Australia; and A. Lynch and K. Görgen
 P3.7Nature of Asian monsoon precipitation: Intraseasonal to interannual time-scales  
Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster, R. A. Houze, and C. Schumacher
 P3.8Nocturnal Stratiform Cloudiness during the West African monsoon  extended abstract
Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and S. Augustyn and A. H. Fink
 P3.9Long-term seasonal rainfall predictions over the southeast U.S. using the FSU Global Spectral Model  
Dawn C. Petraitis, Florida State University/COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and T. E. LaRow and J. J. O'Brien
P3.10Transient response of an atmospheric general circulation model to sea ice and SST anomalies in the North Atlantic  
Clara Deser, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Tomas
 P3.11Regional Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources over Eastern Mediterranean: Euphrates-Tigris Basin  
Baris Onol, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and F. Semazzi
 P3.12Diagnostic analysis of the East Asian cold surges: Terrain effect  
Jun Jian, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Webster
 P3.13Cloud amount simulated by the coupled model MRI-CGCM2.3  
Shoji Kusunoki, Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
 P3.14Characteristics of the Simulated East-Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation in the RegCM3  extended abstract
E.-Hyung Park, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea
 P3.15Impact of land-use changes on water cycle properties in various scales using fully coupled CCSM2.0.1  
Zhao Li, Geophysical Institute, UAF, Fairbanks, AK; and N. Mölders
 P3.16Effect of the Tibetan Plateau on the East Asian Monsoon Circulations: A Regional Climate Model Study  extended abstract
Jee-Hey Song, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong and Y. H. Byun
 P3.17A Model Ensemble Assessment of the Enhancement of Arctic Warming by Sea Ice Retreat  
Colin P. Murray, IARC, Fairbanks, AK; and J. E. Walsh
 P3.18Warm Season Precipitation Prediction over North American using the Eta Regional Climate Model  
Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell
 P3.19Circulation-induced changes in Antarctic precipitation in the 20th and 21st centuries based on IPCC model data  
Petteri Uotila, Monash University, Monash University, VIC, Australia; and A. Lynch, J. J. Cassano, and R. I. Cullather
 P3.20Distribution function of a spurious trend in finite-length dataset and detectability of the true trend  
Seiya Nishizawa, Kyoto Univ., Kyoto, Japan; and S. Yoden and T. Nozawa
 P3.21The relation between global warming and poleward heat transport of climate models  
Christelle Castet, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai
 
11:00 AM-4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Open (Th)
 
11:00 AM-4:30 PM, Thursday, A314
Session 9 Climate Model Analysis and Improvement
Cochairs: Sumant Nigam, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
11:00 AM9.1Running a climate model in forecast mode to identify the source of tropical climate errors: With specific reference to the dry bias error over the Maritime Continent in an atmosphere only GCM  extended abstract wrf recording
Jane Strachan, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and P. M. Inness, J. M. Slingo, and G. M. Martin
11:15 AM9.2The importance of tropical Pacific SST changes between the warm pool and the cold tongue  
Prashant Sardeshmukh, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo
11:30 AM9.3Attribution of atmospheric variations in the 1997-2003 period to SST anomalies in the Pacific and Indian Ocean basins  
Ngar-Cheung Lau, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and A. Leetmaa and M. J. Nath
11:45 AM9.4An Assessment of Future Caribbean Climate Changes using the BAU Scenario by Coupling a Global Circulation Model with a Regional Model  extended abstract wrf recording
M.E. Angeles, Univ. of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and J. E. Gonzalez, D. J. Erickson, and J. Hernández
12:00 PM9.5Relative cooling of the N. Indian Ocean: Its relation to aerosols and Indian/sub-Saharan Africa rainfall trends  
C. E. Chung, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan
12:15 PMLunch Break (Cash and Carry available in Exhibit Hall)  
1:30 PM9.6Assimilating precipitation to improve simulations of the North American summer circulation  
Ana M. B. Nunes, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. O. Roads and M. Kanamitsu
1:45 PM9.7Dynamical amplification of polar warming  
Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL
2:00 PM9.8The response of extratropical precipitation and moisture transport to increased CO2.  
David J. Lorenz, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and E. DeWeaver
2:15 PM9.9Climate change impacts on the hydrology of the Upper Mississippi River Basin as determined by an ensemble of GCMs  extended abstract wrf recording
Eugene S. Takle, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and M. Jha, C. J. Anderson, and P. W. Gassman
2:30 PM9.10Potentially predictable components of African summer rainfall in SST-forced GCM simulations  
Michael K. Tippett, Internation Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and A. Giannini
2:45 PM9.11A Simple Conceptual Model of Lower Troposphere Stability and Marine Stratus and Stratocumulus Cloud Fraction  extended abstract wrf recording
Yanping He, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Dickinson
3:00 PMCoffee Break in the Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle  
3:30 PM9.12How and why to upgrade cloud microphysics in climate models  extended abstract wrf recording
Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville
9.13Solar radiation budget derived by integrating ground-based and satellite observations with a Monte Carlo radiation model  extended abstract
Dohyeong Kim, Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan, A. Ohmura, and E. G. Dutton
3:45 PM9.14Future projection of precipitation extremes with 20km-mesh Atmospheric General Circulation Model  
Kenji Kamiguchi, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and A. Kitoh, T. Uchiyama, R. Mizuta, and A. Noda
4:00 PM9.15Some considerations of climate feedback  
J. Ray Bates, Univ. College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
4:15 PM9.16Difficulties in simulating the phase of diurnal water and energy cycles  
A.C. Ruane, ECPC, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads and M. Kanamitsu
 
3:00 PM, Thursday
Registration Desk Closes
 
4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibit Close
 
5:30 PM, Thursday
Conference Ends
 
6:00 PM, Thursday
Lilly Symposium Banquet
 

Browse the complete program of The 86th AMS Annual Meeting