Session 7B Ensemble Modeling

Wednesday, 27 June 2007: 2:00 PM-4:00 PM
Summit B (The Yarrow Resort Hotel and Conference Center)
Host: 22nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/18th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair:
Jan Paegle, University of Utah, Atmospheric Sciences Dept, Salt Lake City, UT

Papers:
2:00 PM
7B.1
Diagnosis and Optimization of Ensemble Forecasts
Tomislava Vukicevic, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and I. Jankov and J. A. McGinley
Recorded presentation

2:15 PM
7B.2
A Simple Method for Calibrating Ensemble Variability to Represent Meteorological Model Uncertainty
Walter C. Kolczynski Jr., Penn State University, University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer and S. E. Haupt
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (226.0 kB)

2:30 PM
7B.3
The ensemble forecast system at Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center and maritime high wind probability forecasts
Michael Sestak, FNMOC, Monterey, CA

2:45 PM
7B.4
ECO-RAP, Part 1: A new adaptive error covariance localization tool for 4-dimensional ensemble data assimilation
Daniel Hodyss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. H. Bishop
Recorded presentation

3:00 PM
7B.5
ECO-RAP, Part 2: Inexpensive huge ensembles
Craig H. Bishop, NRL, Monterey, CA; and W. F. Campbell, D. Hodyss, and J. G. McLay
Recorded presentation

3:15 PM
7B.6
Probabilistic QPF using a multi-physics WRF ensemble
Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and L. Brieger
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (86.6 kB)

3:30 PM
7B.7
A WRF and MM5 Mesoscale Ensemble Analysis and Prediction System (MEAPS) developed for ATEC operational applications
Yubao Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Hacker, M. Xu, T. Warner, and S. Swerdlin
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (573.2 kB)

3:45 PM
7B.8
Supplemental NWP for the Hydrometeorological Testbed Project
Paul Schultz, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (161.3 kB)

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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