Session 14B New Ensemble and Probabilistic Forecasting Techniques at the Hazardous Weather Testbed

Thursday, 7 June 2018: 1:30 PM-3:30 PM
Colorado B (Grand Hyatt Denver)
Host: 25th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Christopher J. Melick, 557th Weather Wing, 16th Weather Squadron, Offutt AFB, NE and Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO

1:30 PM
Inter-model Storm-scale Comparisons from the 2017 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment
Corey K. Potvin, CIMMS, and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Carley, A. Clark, L. J. Wicker, P. S. Skinner, A. E. Reinhart, and J. S. Kain
1:45 PM
2:00 PM
Practical Predictability of Supercells: Exploring Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Initial Condition Spread
Montgomery L. Flora, University of Oklahoma, CIMMS, NSSL/NOAA, Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin and L. J. Wicker
2:45 PM
Exploring the Optimal Configuration of the High Resolution Ensemble Forecast System
Israel L. Jirak, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, B. Roberts, B. T. Gallo, and S. J. Weiss
3:00 PM
3:15 PM
The 2018 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment
Adam Clark, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak, B. Gallo, S. J. Weiss, L. J. Wicker, S. R. Dembek, M. Xue, F. Kong, K. Thomas, K. H. Knopfmeier, G. J. Creager, K. A. Brewster, Y. Jung, B. Roberts, G. Romine, C. Alexander, X. Wang, S. M. Willington, Y. Wang, A. T. Johnson, L. M. Harris, M. J. Morin, S. J. Lin, R. M. Hepper, T. A. Supinie, and A. R. Dean
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner