Operations and Landfall II

Friday, 22 April 2016: 11:00 AM-1:30 PM
Ponce de Leon B (The Condado Hilton Plaza)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair:
John A. Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO

Papers:
11:00 AM
18C.1
Evaluation of an Experimental Potential Gale Force Wind Swath Using GPCE to Account For JTWC Forecast Confidence
Brian Strahl, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI
Recorded Presentation

Handout (3.3 MB)

11:15 AM
18C.2
Evaluation of Hurricane Wind Field Forecasts from Global Models Within the TIGGE Archive
Michael E. Kozar, Risk Management Solutions, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Powell
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
18C.3
Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Errors in the 2015 NCEP Global Ensemble Model
Frank P. Colby Jr., Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA
Recorded Presentation

18C.4
Insights into Hurricane Track and Intensity Verification Results through Temporally Homogeneous Samples

12:00 PM
18C.5
Investigating the Variability in Skill of Statistical RI Prediction Models
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria and C. M. Peirano
Recorded Presentation

12:15 PM
18C.6
Tropical cyclone statistical rainfall climatology and experimental guidance derived from NCEP Stage IV data
Tristan J. Hall, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. Hart
Recorded Presentation

12:30 PM
18C.7
Environmental Interactions during a Sudden Extreme Rain Event, following the landfall of Tropical Cyclone Bilis(2006)
Difei Deng, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and N. E. Davidson, K. J. Tory, M. C. N. Hankinson, and S. Gao
Recorded Presentation

12:45 PM
18C.8
Impacts of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Genesis Pathways on Tropical Cyclone Predictability in the GEFS Reforecasts Version-2
Weiwei Li, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang, M. S. Peng, and R. McTaggart-Cowan

1:00 PM
18C.9
Objective Partitioning of 5-day Ensemble Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones
Jenni L. Evans, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and A. Kowaleski
Recorded Presentation

1:15 PM
18C.10
Sensitivity Study of Tropical Cyclone Initial Perturbations for GEFS
Xiaqiong Zhou, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and B. Fu and Y. Zhu

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Submission entered in competition
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