Numerical Modeling V: Operational Forecasts and Evaluation

Friday, 22 April 2016: 11:00 AM-1:30 PM
Ponce de Leon C (The Condado Hilton Plaza)
Host: 32nd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair:
Xuejin Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, University of Miami/CIMAS, Miami, FL

Papers:
11:00 AM
18D.1
Evaluating Medium-Range Tropical Cyclone Forecasts
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Ahijevych
Recorded Presentation

Handout (9.1 MB)

11:15 AM
18D.2
COAMPS® Monthly Prediction of the MJO and Tropical Cyclone 05 (2011)
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds and J. Doyle
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
18D.3
Assessment of CMIP5 and post-CMIP5 Representation of Tropical Cyclones in Forced Atmosphere Simulations - Understanding Dynamical Constraints
Malcolm J. Roberts, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and P. L. Vidale, J. Camp, C. Kodama, R. Roehrig, M. Wehner, Y. Yamada, and M. Zhao
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
18D.4
Simulation and prediction of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes in the high-resolution GFDL HiFLOR coupled climate model
Hiroyuki Murakami, Princeton AOS/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and G. A. Vecchi, T. L. Delworth, A. T. Wittenberg, S. Underwood, W. Anderson, J. H. Chen, R. Gudgel, L. Harris, S. J. Lin, and F. Zeng
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM
18D.5
Evaluation of Hurricane Forecast Skills of NCEP GFS Retrospective Experiments for the FY2016 Implementation
Fanglin Yang, NOAA, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

Handout (3.9 MB)

12:15 PM
18D.6
Impact of Parameterized Physical Processes on Simulated Tropical Cyclone Characteristics in Community Atmosphere Model
Fei He, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and D. J. Posselt
Recorded Presentation

12:30 PM
18D.7
Hybrid Mass Flux Cumulus Scheme (HYMACS) as a Step to Unified Cumulus Parameterization and Its Application to Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction
Hing Ong, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and H. C. Kuo
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (493.1 kB)

12:45 PM
18D.8
A Numerical Study on the Typhoon Cyclonic Deflection Tracks near the Terrain
Li-Huan Hsu, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, National Applied Research Laboratories, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. H. Su, H. C. Kuo, and R. G. Fovell
Recorded Presentation

1:00 PM
18D.9
The Impact of Taiwan Terrain on Tropical Cyclone Track
Kuan-Chieh Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu
Recorded Presentation

18D.10
Feedback effect of tropical cyclone on the western Pacific Subtropical high

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Submission entered in competition
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