Session 1C Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP) I

Monday, 16 April 2018: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
Champions ABC (Sawgrass Marriott)
Host: 33rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD
Nicole P. Kurkowski, NWS, STI, Silver Spring, MD

8:30 AM
8:45 AM
Recent and Future Advances in Tropical Cyclone Modeling at NOAA's National Weather Service National Center for Environmental Prediction (NWS/NCEP)
Avichal Mehra, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and V. Tallapragada, Z. Zhang, B. Liu, W. Wang, L. Zhu, H. S. Kim, D. Iredell, Q. Liu, B. Zhang, J. A. Sippel, B. Thomas, K. Wu, S. Abarca, and H. Winterbottom
9:00 AM
A Description of the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) for Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Guidance
Andrew B. Penny, Systems Research Group / National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and A. Simon, M. DeMaria, J. L. Franklin, R. J. Pasch, E. Rappaport, and D. A. Zelinsky
9:15 AM
Isolating Factors for the Northward Turn Timing and Location of Hurricane Irma
Xuejin Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. Cai, G. J. Alaka Jr., F. D. Marks Jr., L. Qi, and S. G. Gopalakrishnan
9:30 AM
Investigation of Irma & Maria Track Forecasts Using an Ensemble Approach within Basin-Scale HWRF
Ghassan J. Alaka Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and X. Zhang, S. G. Gopalakrishnan, and Z. Zhang
9:45 AM
Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction with an Analog Ensemble
Stefano Alessandrini, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. M. Rozoff, W. E. Lewis, and L. Delle Monache
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