Session 15C Tropical Cyclones - Forecast Evaluation and Guidance

Thursday, 9 May 2024: 1:45 PM-3:15 PM
Beacon B (Hyatt Regency Long Beach)
Host: 36th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chairs:
Lisa Bucci, PhD, AOML, Boulder, CO and Andrew Hazelton, AOML, Miami, FL

Papers:
1:45 PM
15C.1
A Parametric Model Incorporated with Satellite Wind for Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Speed Assessment
Yi-Pin Chang, National Central University, Taoyuan, Taiwan, Taiwan; and S. C. Yang and K. J. Lin

2:00 PM
15C.2
Augmenting the Tropical Cyclone Logistical Guidance for Genesis (TCLOGG) By Introducing a Most Likely Time of Genesis
Ryan Michael Remondelli, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart and D. J. Halperin
Manuscript (381.9 kB)

2:15 PM
15C.3
2:30 PM
15C.4
Verification of National Hurricane Center Tropical Cyclone Size Forecasts
Brad James Reinhart, NHC, Miami, FL; and J. P. Cangialosi

2:45 PM
15C.5
Model and NHC Forecast Biases, Past and Present
Eric S. Blake, NHC, Miami, FL; and J. P. Cangialosi, A. Dennis, and J. Heming

3:00 PM
15C.6
A Dynamically Adapting Forecast Cone Based on Ensemble Spread
Michael Nicholas Barletta, UAlbany, North massapequa, NY

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