84th AMS Annual Meeting

Session 5: Ensemble Forecasting (Room 602/603)

Wednesday, 14 January 2004: 1:30 PM-4:30 PM
Room 602/603
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Cochairs:  Laurence J. Wilson, MSC and Richard W. Katz, NCAR
Papers:
 
5.1
Using Ensemble DMOS to produce probabilistic forecasts

  1:45 PM
5.2
Pre-processing of Atmospheric Forcing for Ensemble Streamflow Prediction
John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Perica, M. Mullusky, J. Demargne, E. Welles, and L. Wu

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (374.3 kB)
  2:00 PM
5.3
Model Consensus and Ensemble Weighting for spot forecasts
Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (52.0 kB)
  2:15 PM
5.4
Impact of Model Error and Imperfect IC Perturbation on Evolution of Ensemble-based PDFs in NWP model
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

  2:30 PM
5.5
Ensemble Re-Forecasting: Improving Medium-Range Forecast Skill Using Retrospective Forecasts
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and X. Wei

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (604.7 kB)
  2:45 PM
5.6
Calibration of Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts from the ECMWF EPS by an Artificial Neural Network
Steven L. Mullen, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and R. Buizza

  Recorded presentation
  3:00 PM
5.7
Toward a nonlinear ensemble filter for high-dimensional systems
C. Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Bengtsson and D. Nychka

  3:15 PM
5.4a
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Exhibits open 1:30–7:30 P.M.)

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