84th AMS Annual Meeting

Session 5: Ensemble Forecasting (Room 602/603)

Wednesday, 14 January 2004: 1:30 PM-4:30 PM
Room 602/603
Cochairs:  Laurence J. Wilson, MSC and Richard W. Katz, NCAR
Using Ensemble DMOS to produce probabilistic forecasts

  1:45 PM
Pre-processing of Atmospheric Forcing for Ensemble Streamflow Prediction
John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Perica, M. Mullusky, J. Demargne, E. Welles, and L. Wu

  2:00 PM
Model Consensus and Ensemble Weighting for spot forecasts
Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC

  2:30 PM
Ensemble Re-Forecasting: Improving Medium-Range Forecast Skill Using Retrospective Forecasts
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and X. Wei

  3:00 PM
Toward a nonlinear ensemble filter for high-dimensional systems
C. Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Bengtsson and D. Nychka

  3:15 PM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Exhibits open 1:307:30 P.M.)