84th AMS Annual Meeting

Session 1: Forecast Systems (Room 602/603)

Monday, 12 January 2004: 9:00 AM-4:30 PM
Room 602/603
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Cochairs:  J. Paul Dallavalle, NOAA/NWS and Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/FSL
Papers:
  9:00 AM
1.1
An Experimental Severe Weather Nowcast Algorithm Based on a Back-propagation Neural Network and a Comparison with an Algorithm Based on Multiple Linear Regression
Yerong Feng, Guangdong Provincial Meteorological Observatory, Guangzhou, China; and D. H. Kitzmiller

Poster PDF (133.8 kB)
  9:30 AM
1.2
Statistical algorithms for short-term wind energy forecasting
Kristin Larson, 3 Tier Environmental Forecast Group, Inc., Seattle, WA; and T. Gneiting

http://www.3tiergroup.com

Poster PDF (71.2 kB)
  9:45 AM
1.3
Statistical Wind Power Forecasting for U.S. Wind Farms
Michael Milligan, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and M. Schwartz and Y. H. Wan

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (358.2 kB)
  10:00 AM
1.4
Statistical models of aircraft icing
Matthew Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wolff and T. Fowler

Poster PDF (329.9 kB)
  10:15 AM
1.5
Statistical Models for 1-2 Day Warm Season Lightning Prediction for Canada and the Northern United States
William R. Burrows, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and C. Price and L. J. Wilson

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (93.7 kB)
  10:30 AM
1.6
Toward a new Canadian medium-range Perfect-Prog temperature forecast system
Bertrand Denis, MSC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and R. Verret

Poster PDF (70.6 kB)
  10:45 AM
1.7
Aviation guidance from the Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP)
Harry R. Glahn, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

  11:00 AM
1.8
Results of the application of the Canadian Updateable Model Output Statistics System to the Great Lakes marine forecast problem
Syd Peel, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and L. J. Wilson and M. Vallée

Poster PDF (376.7 kB)
  11:30 AM
1.9
Combining Global and Local Grid-Based Bias Correction for Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction
Yulia Gel, George Washington Univ., Washington, DC; and A. Raftery and T. Gneiting

  11:45 AM
1.10
Using new remotely-sensed datasets in MOS development: A step toward true high-resolution statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts
Mark S. Antolik, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Poster PDF (2.4 MB)
  12:00 PM
1.11
Severe weather as seen via a preliminary sounding climatology and a wind adjusted convective index (WACI)
Ivory J. Small, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA

Poster PDF (1013.8 kB)
  12:15 PM
1.12
An algorithm for variable selection with an application to meteorological teleconnections.
Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and W. K. -. M. Lau, A. Winter, and A. Veneros

  Recorded presentation Poster PDF (674.6 kB)
  12:30 PM
1.3a
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

  1:15 PM
1.7a
Lunch Break

  3:00 PM
1.10a
Formal Poster Session Viewing with Coffee Break

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