Program: Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability (87th AMS Annual Meeting)

Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability

« Collapse View

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Sunday, 14 January 2007

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Sunday, 14 January 2007

Sun 14 Jan

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 14 January 2007

Short Course Registration

Location: East Registration (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 14 January 2007

Conference Registration

Location: East Registration (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Monday, 15 January 2007

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 15 January 2007

Mon 15 Jan

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 15 January 2007

Registration continues through Thursday, 18 January

Location: East Registration (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

9:00 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 15 January 2007

Plenary Session for the Presidential Forum (Presidential Forum will then run parallel to other sessions throughout the day)

Location: Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 15 January 2007

Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

Location: Exhibit Hall D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Tuesday, 16 January 2007

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Tuesday, 16 January 2007

Tue 16 Jan

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 16 January 2007

Exhibits Open

Location: Exhibit Hall D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Wednesday, 17 January 2007

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Wed 17 Jan

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Overview of connections between mesoscale processes and climate variability

Location: 206B (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Sponsor: Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability

Chair: F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ESRL/PSD

Papers:

8:30 AM

1.1

Mesoscale processes in precipitation systems (Invited)

Richard Rotunno, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

1.2

Multi-scale Interactions During the North American Monsoon (Invited)

Wayne Higgins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. J. Gochis

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

9:30 AM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Mesoscale and global-scale phenomena important to regional climate

Location: 206B (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Sponsor: Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability

Chair: F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ESRL/PSD

Papers:

9:30 AM

2.1

Dynamical effect of land surface processes on summer precipitation over the United States and Mexico (Invited)

Kingtse Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wu

Recorded presentation

10:00 AM

2.1A

Coffee Break

10:30 AM

2.2

Meteorological characteristics and over-land impacts of atmospheric rivers affecting the West Coast of North America based on eight years of SSM/I satellite observations (Invited)

Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, G. Wick, J. D. Lundquist, M. D. Dettinger, and D. R. Cayan

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

2.3

The diurnal cycle of warm season rainfall and its relationship to the genesis and propagation of mesoscale events. (Invited)

R. E. Carbone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. C. Chen, T. D. Keenan, A. G. Laing, V. Levizzani, A. J. Pereira, and J. D. Tuttle

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

2.4

Mesoscale disturbances on the periphery of closed anticyclones: A link between mesoscale processes and climate variability

Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

2.5

Local minimum of tropical cyclogenesis in the eastern Caribbean Sea.

Owen H. Shieh, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. J. Colucci

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

2.6

Evidence of forcing of Arctic regional climates by mesoscale processes

P. Ola G. Persson, CIRES and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and R. Stone

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

11:45 AM

2.7

An Investigation of the Climatic Variability and Forcing of Lake Champlain Lake-Effect Snow Systems

Neil Laird, Hobart & William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and J. Desrochers and M. Payer

12:00 PM

2.7A

Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)

1:30 PM

2.8

George N. Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

2.9

Westerly wind burst, MJO, and ENSO

Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Zavala-Garay

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

2.10

Interactions between oceanic tropical instability waves and the tropical atmosphere from multi-year satellite observations

Qiaoyan Wu, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and K. P. Bowman

Recorded presentation

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Coffee Break

Location: Meeting Room Foyer (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

11:00 AM-6:45 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Exhibits Open

Location: Exhibit Hall D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

2:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Poster Session 1

Poster Session

Location: Exhibit Hall C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Sponsor: Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability

Papers:

P1.1

Baroclinicity influences on storm divergence in the subtropics

Larry J. Hopper Jr., University of Louisiana at Monroe, Monroe, LA; and C. Schumacher

Poster PDF (393.0 kB)

P1.2

MJO, organized convection, momentum transport and equatorial super-rotation

Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO

P1.3

Relationship between climate variability and strong low level wind in the Gulf of Alaska

Haibo Liu, University of Alaska, Anchorage, AK; and P. Olsson and K. Volz

P1.4

Vertical structure of stratiform rain observed by profilers and the TRMM precipitation radar

Christopher R. Williams, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and K. S. Gage

P1.5

Thunderstorm Development at Vandenberg AFB

Leonard A. Wells, 30th Weather Squadron, Vandenberg AFB, CA

Poster PDF (286.5 kB)

P1.6

Cloud-to-ground lightning climatology of the lower Great Lakes

Jason M. Keeler, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, Urbana, IL; and S. M. Steiger and R. Orville

P1.7

Lake-effect Thunderstorms

Scott M. Steiger, SUNY, Oswego, NY; and R. Orville and J. Keeler

P1.8

Mapping the climatology of 0-1 hour convective initiation across the Southeastern U. S. and Central America

John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and L. Gambill, K. M. Bedka, and H. Searcy

P1.9

Causes of summertime Texas drought

Boksoon Myoung, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. W. Nielsen-Gammon

P1.10

A method to illustrate and measure the relative sensitivity of RCMs to uncertainties in the physics parameterizations and the large-scale forcing

Jian-Wen Bao, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Michelson

Poster PDF (437.0 kB)

P1.11

Parameterization of cloud physics processes in marine stratocumulus based on integral moments of drop spectra

Alexei Belochitski, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Y. Kogan

Poster PDF (286.4 kB)

P1.12

Some numerical accuracy issues relating to Klemp-Wilhelmson time differencing

Kevin C. Viner, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. C. Epifanio

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Joint Poster Session 4

Joint Poster: Climate & Extremes, Linking Weather and Climate (Joint with Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability, 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather)

Location: Exhibit Hall C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the AMS Forum: Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather; the Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability; and the Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )

Papers:

JP4.1

An examination of the relationship between North Atlantic tropical storm activity and sea surface temperature using time series modeling

Jose Maliekal, The College at Brockport, Brockport, NY

JP4.2

Implications of enhanced persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe for the occurrence and severity of temperature extremes

Jan Kysely, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic

JP4.3

Hydrological variability and trends in global reanalyses

Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich

Poster PDF (331.3 kB)

JP4.4

An investigation of ENSO-related parameters used to predict Australian tropical cyclone activity

Hamish A. Ramsay, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, M. Leplastrier, and L. M. Leslie

JP4.5A

Poster JP4.5 has been moved. New Paper number 2B.1A

JP4.6

The relationship between actual and potential intensities of tropical cyclones on an interannual time scale

Allison A. Wing, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and A. H. Sobel and S. J. Camargo

JP4.7

Observations and predictability of tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Ocean

Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. A. Ramsay, L. M. Leslie, and M. Leplastrier

JP4.8

Impact of ENSO, NAO, and PDO on monthly extreme temperature and precipitation

J. Brolley, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. O'Brien

JP4.9

Quantifying the influence of environmental conditions on the effect of winter wheat

Cynthia A. Van Den Broeke, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson

Poster PDF (861.2 kB)

JP4.10

Trends in Australia's climate means and extremes: a global context

Lisa V. Alexander, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and N. Nicholls, A. Lynch, P. Hope, D. A. Collins, and B. Trewin

JP4.11

Utilizing the statistical downscaling model to project weather extremes - a Canadian example

Gary S. Lines, EC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and L. Titus

JP4.12

A generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators

Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Furrer

JP4.13

Understanding the local and regional impacts of large wind farms

Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and D. W. Keith

JP4.14

Western Arctic storm surge and extreme cyclones: a factorial analysis of fifty years of flooding

Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and L. R. Lestak, P. Uotila, E. N. Cassano, and L. Xie

JP4.15

Weather-Climate Linkage Leading to the 24-29 June 2006 Excessive East Coast Rainfall

Edward Berry, NOAA, Dodge City, KS; and K. M. Weickmann

Poster PDF (2.7 MB)

JP4.16

Trends towards wetter hurricane basins

J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. L. Mote

JP4.17

Tornado climatology and predictability by ENSO phase in the North Central U.S.: A compositing study

Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS WFO Quad Cities IA/IL, Davenport, IA; and C. Cogil, G. Lussky, and R. Ryrholm

Poster PDF (819.9 kB)

JP4.18

The "Perfect Storms" of 1991: An intraseasonal example of a link between weather and climate

Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

JP4.19

The Impact of Local and Global Climate Variation/Change on Extreme Weather Events in the South Central Texas

Xianwei Wang Sr., The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and H. Xie Sr. and H. Sharif

JP4.20

Severe convective storms in past and future climates using a scale-spanning, multiple-model approach

Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and B. A. Halvorson, N. S. Diffenbaugh, and M. E. Baldwin

JP4.21

Predicting extreme hurricane winds in the United States

Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner

JP4.22

Interactions between flood management decisions and scientific uncertainty about the climatological risk of extreme flooding

Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and O. Wilhelmi, M. Downton, and E. Gruntfest

JP4.23

Influence of Climate Model Cloud and Convection Parameter Uncertainties on Present and Future Simulated Precipitation Extremes

Yi Deng, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and C. Jackson

JP4.24

Impacts of recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones on extratropical predictability in the Northern Hemisphere

Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. Bosart

JP4.25

Identifying patterns and trends in severe storm environments using re-analysis data.

Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gilleland, H. Brooks, and B. Brown

JP4.26

ENSO and Global Daily to 3-Hourly Precipitation Extremes

Scott Curtis, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and S. Wuensch and R. F. Adler

JP4.27

Bridging the gap between weather and climate forecasting: Research priorities for intra-seasonal prediction

Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pena and A. Vintzileos

Poster PDF (61.3 kB)

JP4.28

Relation between subseasonal and interannual variability of Indian monsoon and potential for seasonal predictability in a coupled GCM

Deepthi Achuthavarier, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and V. Krishnamurthy

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Approaches to the numerical parameterization of important physical processes

Location: 206B (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Sponsor: Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability

Chair: John Roads, SIO/Univ. of California

Papers:

4:00 PM

3.1

New approaches to including mesoscale atmospheric processes in global numerical models (Invited)

David A. Randall, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

4:30 PM

3.2

Handling convection and turbulence for weather and climate models .... Can one size fit all? (Invited)

Hua-Lu Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Han

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

Paper 3.3 moved. New Paper Number 4.2A

5:01 PM

3.4

Towards parameterizing the impacts of gravity waves exited from baroclinic jet-front systems in climate models

Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and F. Sassi, J. H. Richter, and R. R. Garcia

Recorded presentation

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Sessions end for the day

5:30 PM-6:45 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

Location: Exhibit Hall D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

7:00 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 17 January 2007

AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Location: Ballroom C123 (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Thursday, 18 January 2007

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Thur 18 Jan

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Approaches to the numerical parameterization of important physical processes (cont'd)

Location: 206B (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Sponsor: Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability

Chair: David Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL

Papers:

8:30 AM

4.1

Embracing the climate and weather connection in the development of global and regional prediction models at NCEP's Environmental Prediction Center (EMC) (Invited)

Kenneth Mitchell, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. J. Lord, H. L. Pan, M. D. Iredell, S. Saha, S. Moorthi, G. J. DiMego, M. Ek, R. Yang, H. Wei, H. Juang, and Y. T. Hou

Recorded presentation

4.2

Parameterizing organized convection for climate models (Invited)

9:30 AM

4.2A

Representing mesoscale convective organization in 10-km-grid global models

Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO

10:00 AM

4.5a

Superensemble Forecasts with a Suite of Mesoscale Models over the Continental United States

Donald F. Van Dyke III, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. Krishnamurti

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (1.2 MB)

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall C (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Joint Session 6

Haurwitz Lecture (Joint between MesoSymposium and 19 CVC)

Location: 206B (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Sponsors: (Joint between the Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability; and the 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )

Papers:

11:00 AM

J6.1

The Hurricane-Climate Connection

Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Exhibits Open

Location: Exhibit Hall D (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)

1:30 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Comparisons between high-resolution regional and global models for studying climate

Location: 206B (Henry B. Gonzalez Convention Center)

Sponsor: Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability

Chair: Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington

Papers:

1:30 PM

5.1

Orographic Effects on Precipitation and its Interannual Variations (Invited)

L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. J. Ghan and Y. Qian

2:00 PM

5.2

Interaction of weather and climate as diagnosed from hourly output 57-year dynamical downscaling of Reanalysis at 10km over California (Invited)

Masao Kanamitsu, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (287.6 kB)

2:30 PM

5.3

Downscaling climate and weather forecasts using reforecast analogs (Invited)

Jeffrey Whitaker, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Hamill

Recorded presentation

3:00 PM

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall and Raffle

3:30 PM

5.4

The enviroments of severe thunderstorms: global distribution and temporal changes (Invited)

Harold Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

5.5

Simulation of East Asian monsoon weather and climate using a high-resolution global GCM at GFDL

Ngar-Cheung Lau, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

5.6

Observed long-term California temperature-trends: coastal cooling and inland warming

B. Lebassi, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA; and J. E. Gonzles, D. Fabris, E. P. Maurer, R. Bornstein, and N. L. Miller

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (204.7 kB)

4:15 PM

5.7

A study of tropical instability waves over the Atlantic using a coupled regional atmosphere�ocean model

Jen-Shan Hsieh, Department of Oceanography, Texas A & M University, College Station, TX; and P. Chang and R. Savaranan

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (976.5 kB)

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Registration Desk Closes

4:00 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Exhibits Close

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Conference Ends

6:00 PM-9:00 PM: Thursday, 18 January 2007

Rasmusson Symposium Banquet

« Collapse View