Handout (1.8 MB)
It is widely assumed that the circulation modes occur in all seasons. Commonly it is supposed that the modes dominating in winter remain the leading modes also in other seasons with only slight changes of their character. However, it turned out that their shape, the intensity of their action centres and the portion of circulation variability explained by individual modes vary considerably during year (Bueh and Nakamura, 2007; Clinet and Martin, 1992; Folland et al., 2009; Pokorná and Huth, 2015).
In this contribution we aim to clarify the character of two dominant modes of NH atmospheric circulation, NAO and PNA, within the year. Subsesonal changes of the modes are detected using the method of sliding seasons of the 30-day length shifting with a one-day step. Rotated principal component analysis (PCA) is applied for each sliding season separately; this allows the annual variation in the variability modes, both in terms of their spatial structure and intensity, to be captured in full detail.
The procedure was applied to three reanalyses: NCEP/NCAR, ERA-40 and JRA-55 (Japanese 55-year Reanalysis), which cover common period 1957-2002. The presence of NAO and PNA was confirmed throughout the whole year in all reanalyses. The seasonal and subseasonal changes in their character are compared among the reanalyses.
References
Beranová, R., Huth, R., 2008: Time variations of the effects of circulation variability modes on European temperature and precipitation in winter. Int. J. Climatol., 28, 139-158
Bueh, C., Nakamura, H. 2007: Scandinavian pattern and its climatic impacts. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 2117-2131
Casado, M. J., Pastor, M. A., 2012: Use of variability modes to evaluate AR4 climate models over the Euro-Atlantic region. Clim. Dyn., 38, 225–237
Chronis, T., Raitsos, D.E., Kassis, D., 2011: The summer North Atlantic oscillation influence on the Eastern Mediterranean. J. Climate, 24, 5584-5596
Clinet, S., Martin, S., 1992: 700-hPa geopotential height anomalies from a statistical analysis of the French Hemis data set. Int. J. Climatol., 12, 229-256
Cohen, J., Barlow, M., 2005: The NAO, the AO, and global warming: How closely related? Int. J. Climatol., 18, 7798-4513
Folland, C.K. et al., 2009: The summer North Atlantic oscillation: past, present and future. J. Climate, 22, 1082-1103
Hurrell, J. W., van Loon, H., 1997: Decadal variations in climate associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. Clim. Change, 36, 301–326
Ionita M., 2014: The Impact of the East Atlantic/Western Russia Pattern on the Hydroclimatology of Europe from Mid-Winter to Late Spring. Climate, 2, 296-309
Moore G. W. K., Renfrew, I. A., Pickart, R. S., 2013: Multidecadal Mobility of the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate, 26, 2453–2466
Pokorná, L., Huth, R., 2015: Climate impacts of the NAO are sensitive to how the NAO is defined. Theor. Appl. Climatol., online. DOI 10.1007/s00704-014-1116-0
Trenberth, K. E., Paolino, D. A. Jr., 1981: Characteristic patterns of variability of sea level pressure in the Northern Hemisphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 1169-1189