Poster Session 3 Poster Session III

Wednesday, 10 January 2018: 3:45 PM-5:30 PM
Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Changes in West African Monsoon Precipitation: The Competition between Large-scale Dynamics and Local Thermodynamics
Weipeng Zheng, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China; and P. Braconnot, M. Gaetani, and K. Izumi

Improvements in the Precipitation Distribution of West Africa with a Convection-Permitting Simulation at Climate Scales
Ségolène Berthou, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; and E. J. Kendon, M. J. Roberts, D. Rowell, and R. Stratton

HyCRISTAL: Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Deciisons for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa
John H. Marsham, Univ. of Leeds, Leeds, U.K.; and D. Rowell, B. E. Evans, R. J. Cornforth, F. H. M. Semazzi, R. L. Wilby, and T. HyCRISTAL team

The CP4 Africa Control Simulation—An Initial Assessment of the Run
Rachel Stratton, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and C. Senior, S. Vosper, and M. Vellinga

Evaluating Climate Models with an African Lens
Michael Vellinga, Met Office, Exeter, UK; and R. James, R. Washington, B. Abiodun, G. Kay, J. Mutemi, W. Pokam, N. C. G. Hart, G. Artan, and C. Senior

Sahel Decadal Rainfall Variability and the Role of Model Horizontal Resolution
Michael Vellinga, Met Office, Exeter, UK; and M. J. Roberts, P. L. Vidale, M. Mizielinski, M. E. Demory, R. Schiemann, J. Strachan, and C. L. Bain

Rainy Season Failure in West Africa: Projected Changes and Sources of Uncertainty
Michela Biasutti, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and M. Bacci and A. Giannini

South Asian Summer Monsoon: SST-Based Predictability and Real-Time Forecast of the 2016 and 2017 Monsoon
Agniv Sengupta, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam and A. Ruiz-Barradas

Effects of Tropical Expansion on Regional Precipitation and Sea Level Pressure
Daniel F. Schmidt, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and K. M. Grise

Regional and Seasonal Characteristics of the Recent Expansion of the Tropics in the Northern Hemisphere
Kevin M. Grise, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and S. M. Davis and P. W. Staten

Increased in Dry Season Length Over the Congo
Yan Jiang, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Zhou, W. Hua, and A. Raghavendra

Long-Term Trends and Variability of Eddy Activities in the South China Sea
Hans Von Storch, Helmholtz Center, Geesthacht, Germany; and M. Zhang

Handout (516.4 kB)

Annual Cycle of the Main Northern Extratropical Modes of Circulation Variability in Different Reanalyses
Lucie Pokorna, Faculty of Science, Charles Univ., Prague, Czech Republic; and R. Beranova and R. Huth

Handout (1.8 MB)

Projected Changes in the Relationship between Precipitation, African Easterly Jet and African Easterly Waves under Global Warming
Ibourahima Kebe, West African Science Service Center on Climate Change, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso

Assessment of NMME Skill over Southwest Asia and Horn of Africa
Ryan D Smith, U.S. Air Force, Asheville, NC; and R. M. Randall, R. B. Kiess, and J. P. Anthony

Impact of Climate Variability and Climate Change over Future Irrigation Requirment
Adrajow Admasu Ferede, National Meteorological Agency, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

Precipitation Forecasts and Their Relationship with Large-Scale Tropical Dynamics in the GFS and IFS
Maria Gehne, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. Dias and G. N. Kiladis

The Modulation of the Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall by Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves
Naoko Sakaeda, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. N. Kiladis and J. Dias

Poster 964 has been moved. New paper number 14A.3A

Temporal and Spatial Climate Variability and Trends over Abay (Upper Blue Nile) River Basin
Tadesse Terefe Zeleke, Bahir Dar Univ., Bahir Dar, Ethiopia

An Extreme Negative Indian Ocean Dipole Event in 2016: Dynamics and Predictability
Hong-Li Ren, Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and B. Lu

Anticyclonic Rossby Wave Breaking over the North Atlantic during Boreal Summer: Climatology and Impacts
Breanna L. Zavadoff, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. P. Kirtman

Widening of the Regional Meridional Overturning Circulation
Paul W. Staten, Indiana Univ., Bloomington, IN; and K. M. Grise

A Sub-Seasonal Forecast Multi-System for Extreme Events Prediction
Stefano Materia, Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per I Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy; and Á. Muñoz and S. Gualdi

Frequency and Predictability of North American and European Heat Waves
Szandra A. Peter, RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. P. Kirtman

Performance Evaluation of a Regional Climate Model in Simulating Rainfall over Indonesia
Ganesha T Chandrasa, Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika, Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia; and A. Montenegro

All India Monsoon Rainfall Variability:Large-Scale Circulations, QBO, and ENSO Impacts and Processes
Remata S. Reddy, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and F. Tuluri and M. Fadavi

Evaluation of Subseasonal Prediction Skill Using the Global FIM-HYCOM Coupled Model
Shan Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and R. Bleck, S. Benjamin, B. W. Green, and G. Grell

Diurnal Cycle of West African Westerly Jet and Mesoscale Convective Systems over the Sahel
Weiran Liu, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook and E. Vizy

A Combined Hierarchical/Consensus Reagonalization Approach to Aid Interpretation of Circulation-Induced Climate Change in Bolivia
Azar Mohammad Abadi, Univ. of Nebraska−Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and C. M. Rowe and R. Oglesby

How Well Does ERA-Interim Capture ITCZ Characteristics and Precipitation?
Corey Storm Howard, Texas A&M, College Station, TX; and A. D. Rapp and K. R. Wodzicki

Assessing the Sources of Subseasonal to Seasonal Predictability in the Climate Forecast System Version 2
Zhuo Wang, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana−Champaign, Urbana, IL; and D. E. Miller

Changes in Ocean Temperature in the Barents Sea in the 21st Century
Zhenxia Long, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, Canada

Pushing LES and GCM Models to Higher Resolutions to Improve Climate Bias of Low Clouds when Compared with Tethered Balloons Measurements and Retrievals over the North Slope of Alaska
Erika L. Roesler, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM; and D. Dexheimer, B. R. Hillman, L. Dennis, and M. McChesney

The Role of Ocean and Atmosphere Heat Transport in the Arctic Amplification
Rosa M. Vargas, UCAR/NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. O. Kwon and H. Furey

Greenland Near-Surface Air Temperature Datasets: What Should We Use to Evaluate CMIP6?
J. E. Jack Reeves Eyre, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng

Handout (8.1 MB)

Interactions between Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover and the Troposphere Circumpolar Vortex
Gwangyong Choi, Jeju National Univ., Jeju-si, Korea, Republic of (South); and D. A. Robinson

Exploring Connections between Arctic Sea Ice and Tornado Activity in the United States
Robert J. Trapp, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Hoogewind

Developing Capabilities for Analysis in the Arctic within the NOAA NWS Local Climate Analysis Tool
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. E. Churma, F. Horsfall, M. Coulman, and J. C. Meyers

Drivers of 2016 Record Arctic Warmth Assessed Using Climate Simulations Subjected to Factual and Counterfactual Forcing
Judith Perlwitz, NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and L. Sun, D. Allured, M. Hoerling, L. Smith, and D. Murray

Seasonal Arctic Sea Ice in the North American Multimodel Ensemble
Kirstin J. Harnos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC/Innovim, College Park, MD; and M. L'Heureux, Q. Zhang, and Q. Ding

Effects of Greenland Anticyclone Magnitude and Persistence on Spring Sea Ice Melt in the North Atlantic
Thomas J. Ballinger, Texas State Univ., San Marcos, TX; and E. Hanna, R. J. Hall, T. E. Cropper, J. A. Miller, M. H. Ribergaard, J. E. Overland, and J. L. Høyer

Understanding Internal Climate Variability and the Upper Limit of 2°C Increase of Global Mean Surface Temperature
Seunghwon Hyun, Hanyang Univ., Ansan, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. W. Yeh

Hemispheric Asymmetry of Global Warming Explained by a Conceptual Model
Christoph S Funke, IARC, Bethesda, MD; and V. A. Alexeev

Utility of the United States National Ice Center's Interactive Multi-Sensor Snow and Ice Mapping System Data to View Arctic Variability
Sofia M. Montalvo, NESDIS, Suitland, MD; and K. Neugent, K. Nohe, D. P. McCormick, S. R. Helfrich, K. Berberich, and R. Lane
Manuscript (43.4 kB)

Classifying the Tropospheric Precursor Patterns of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings
Ming Bao, Nanjing Univeristy, Nanjing, China; and X. Tan, D. L. Hartmann, and P. Ceppi

Impact of Different Processes on Tropical Lower-Stratospheric Water Vapor as Simulated by Chemistry–Climate Models
Kevin M Smalley, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and A. E. Dessler, S. Bekki, M. Deushi, M. Marchand, O. Morgenstern, D. A. Plummer, K. Shibata, Y. Yamashita, and G. Zeng

Handout (11.4 MB)

Quantifying Stratospheric Polar Vortex Trends during the 20th and 21st Centuries
Carly Narotsky, Univ. of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and J. C. Furtado

Decadal Data Sets and Decadal Trends: Considerations Based on Radio Occultation Observation
Anthony J. Mannucci, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and C. O. Ao, P. Vergados, O. P. Verkhoglyadova, and B. A. Iijima

New Nuclear Winter Simulations with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model 4 (WACCM4)
Joshua L. Coupe, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and C. G. Bardeen, A. Robock, and O. B. Toon

Differential Temperature Trends across Elevation within the "Warming Hole" of the Southeast United States
Ryan P. Shadbolt, Northland College, Ashland, WI; and A. W. Ellis
Manuscript (230.4 kB)

Handout (506.2 kB)

Discussion of Recent Cyclical Temperature Trends Detected in the United States
Adam Theisen, Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Data Quality Office/CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Sisterson

Regional Climate Impacts of Irrigation during the 2012 Central Plains Drought
Jun Wang, Univ. of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and C. Aegerter and J. Zeng

High Risk of Unprecedented U.K. Rainfall
Vikki Thompson, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and R. Eade, N. Dunstone, A. A. Scaife, and D. M. Smith

Atmospheric River Activity in a 4xCO2 Climate Simulation
Jessica Solomon, Humboldt State Univ., Arcata, CA; and S. W. Powell, J. W. Whitaker, and E. D. Maloney

Simulation of Atmospheric Rivers: Dynamical Modulation and Resolution Dependence
Erik T. Swenson, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and J. Lu and D. M. Straus

Atmospheric River Importance to Extratropical Climate and Hydrology
Deanna L. Nash, ; and D. E. Waliser, B. Guan, H. Ye, and F. M. Ralph

Water Vapor Budget in Atmospheric Rivers: A Multi-Model Evaluation
Bin Guan, Univ. of California, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser and F. M. Ralph

Typhoon Season Extreme Rain Characteristics of Taiwan
Alex Henny, SUNY, Albany, NY; and M. E. Howarth, C. D. Thorncroft, H. H. Hsu, and L. F. Bosart

Understanding the Role of Air–Sea Interaction on Extreme Rainfall in Aquaplanet and Earth-like CESM
Amy Clement, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and J. J. Benedict and B. Medeiros

Changes in the Dynamics of a Blocking Event with Warming
Gary Lackmann, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and W. A. Robinson

Floridian Heatwaves and Extreme Precipitation. Part II: Future Climate Projections
Ajay Raghavendra, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and S. R. Cloutier-Bisbee, S. M. Milrad, and A. Dai

Handout (9.7 MB)

An Examination of an Inland-Penetrating Atmospheric River Flood Event under Potential Future Thermodynamic Conditions
Kelly Mahoney, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and D. Swales, M. Mueller, M. Alexander, K. M. Malloy, and M. Hughes

Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Northeast United States: 1979–2014
Macy E. Howarth, SUNY, Albany, NY; and A. Henny, C. D. Thorncroft, H. H. Hsu, and L. F. Bosart

The Characteristics of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers during Water Year 2017 and Northern California's Record-Breaking Precipitation
Chad W. Hecht, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Ralph, J. F. Kalansky, and B. K. Kawzenuk

The Relationship between Extratropical Cyclone and Atmospheric River over the Northeastern Pacific and U.S. West Coast
Zhenhai Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Ralph, D. Cayan, and M. Zheng
Manuscript (22.5 kB)

Best Practices of Building and Being a Trusted Climate Communicator
Richard L. Thoman Jr., NOAA, Fairbanks, AK; and B. E. Mayes, K. V. Matthews, D. R. Kluck, J. Crouch, and D. S. Arndt

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner