Poster Session 3 Poster Session III

Wednesday, 10 January 2018: 3:45 PM-5:30 PM
Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: 31st Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Papers:
941
Climate Warming Impact on Flood Discharges Time in Some Tigris River Tributaries in Iraq
Thair Mahmood Altaiee, Mosul Univ., Mosul, Iraq

942
Optimizing WRF as a Regional Climate Downscaling Tool for Hydro-Climatological Applications in the Eastern Nile Basin
Mahmoud Osman, JHU, Baltimore, MD

Synoptic and Climatological Analysis of the 1933 Trinidad Hurricane

943
Changes in West African Monsoon Precipitation: The Competition between Large-scale Dynamics and Local Thermodynamics
Weipeng Zheng, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China; and P. Braconnot, M. Gaetani, and K. Izumi

944
Improvements in the Precipitation Distribution of West Africa with a Convection-Permitting Simulation at Climate Scales
Ségolène Berthou, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; and E. J. Kendon, M. J. Roberts, D. Rowell, and R. Stratton

945
HyCRISTAL: Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Deciisons for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa
John H. Marsham, Univ. of Leeds, Leeds, U.K.; and D. Rowell, B. E. Evans, R. J. Cornforth, F. H. M. Semazzi, R. L. Wilby, and T. HyCRISTAL team

946
The CP4 Africa Control Simulation—An Initial Assessment of the Run
Rachel Stratton, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and C. Senior, S. Vosper, and M. Vellinga

947
Evaluating Climate Models with an African Lens
Michael Vellinga, Met Office, Exeter, UK; and R. James, R. Washington, B. Abiodun, G. Kay, J. Mutemi, W. Pokam, N. C. G. Hart, G. Artan, and C. Senior

948
Sahel Decadal Rainfall Variability and the Role of Model Horizontal Resolution
Michael Vellinga, Met Office, Exeter, UK; and M. J. Roberts, P. L. Vidale, M. Mizielinski, M. E. Demory, R. Schiemann, J. Strachan, and C. L. Bain

949
Rainy Season Failure in West Africa: Projected Changes and Sources of Uncertainty
Michela Biasutti, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and M. Bacci and A. Giannini

950
South Asian Summer Monsoon: SST-Based Predictability and Real-Time Forecast of the 2016 and 2017 Monsoon
Agniv Sengupta, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam and A. Ruiz-Barradas

951
Effects of Tropical Expansion on Regional Precipitation and Sea Level Pressure
Daniel F. Schmidt, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and K. M. Grise

952
Regional and Seasonal Characteristics of the Recent Expansion of the Tropics in the Northern Hemisphere
Kevin M. Grise, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and S. M. Davis and P. W. Staten

953
Analysis of Hurricane Noel (2007) Simulated by Numerical Weather Prediction Models

954
Increased in Dry Season Length Over the Congo
Yan Jiang, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Zhou, W. Hua, and A. Raghavendra

955
Long-Term Trends and Variability of Eddy Activities in the South China Sea
Hans Von Storch, Helmholtz Center, Geesthacht, Germany; and M. Zhang

Handout (516.4 kB)

West African Monsoon Decadal Variability and Surface-Related Forcings: Second West African Monsoon Modeling and Evaluation Project Experiment (WAMME II)

956
Annual Cycle of the Main Northern Extratropical Modes of Circulation Variability in Different Reanalyses
Lucie Pokorna, Faculty of Science, Charles Univ., Prague, Czech Republic; and R. Beranova and R. Huth

Handout (1.8 MB)

957
Projected Changes in the Relationship between Precipitation, African Easterly Jet and African Easterly Waves under Global Warming
Ibourahima Kebe, West African Science Service Center on Climate Change, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso

959
Assessment of NMME Skill over Southwest Asia and Horn of Africa
Ryan D Smith, U.S. Air Force, Asheville, NC; and R. M. Randall, R. B. Kiess, and J. P. Anthony

960
Impact of Climate Variability and Climate Change over Future Irrigation Requirment
Adrajow Admasu Ferede, National Meteorological Agency, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

961
Statistical Relationships between Large-Scale Oscillation Phenomena and Mesoscale Atmospheric Conditions over Central/Eastern Europe and Their Representation in CMIP5 General Circulation Models
Judit Bartholy, Eotvos Lorand Univ., Martonvasar, Hungary; and E. Kristof and R. Pongracz
Manuscript (1.2 MB)

962
Precipitation Forecasts and Their Relationship with Large-Scale Tropical Dynamics in the GFS and IFS
Maria Gehne, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. Dias and G. N. Kiladis

963
The Modulation of the Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall by Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves
Naoko Sakaeda, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. N. Kiladis and J. Dias

Poster 964 has been moved. New paper number 14A.3A

965
Temporal and Spatial Climate Variability and Trends over Abay (Upper Blue Nile) River Basin
Tadesse Terefe Zeleke, Bahir Dar Univ., Bahir Dar, Ethiopia

966
An Extreme Negative Indian Ocean Dipole Event in 2016: Dynamics and Predictability
Hong-Li Ren, Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and B. Lu

967
Anticyclonic Rossby Wave Breaking over the North Atlantic during Boreal Summer: Climatology and Impacts
Breanna L. Zavadoff, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. P. Kirtman

968
Widening of the Regional Meridional Overturning Circulation
Paul W. Staten, Indiana Univ., Bloomington, IN; and K. M. Grise

969
Characterizing Dry and Wet Spell in a Changing Climate in the Middle Belt Region of Nigeria

970
Interannual Variability of Sub-Saharan Africa Rainfall in a High-Resolution Coupled Climate Model

971
A Sub-Seasonal Forecast Multi-System for Extreme Events Prediction
Stefano Materia, Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per I Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy; and Á. Muñoz and S. Gualdi

972
Frequency and Predictability of North American and European Heat Waves
Szandra A. Peter, RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. P. Kirtman

973
Performance Evaluation of a Regional Climate Model in Simulating Rainfall over Indonesia
Ganesha T Chandrasa, Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika, Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia; and A. Montenegro

974
All India Monsoon Rainfall Variability:Large-Scale Circulations, QBO, and ENSO Impacts and Processes
Remata S. Reddy, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and F. Tuluri and M. Fadavi

975
Evaluation of Subseasonal Prediction Skill Using the Global FIM-HYCOM Coupled Model
Shan Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and R. Bleck, S. Benjamin, B. W. Green, and G. Grell

976
Austral Summer Southern Africa Precipitation Extremes Forced by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Subtropical Indian Ocean Dipole
Andrew Hoell, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and L. Cheng

977
Diurnal Cycle of West African Westerly Jet and Mesoscale Convective Systems over the Sahel
Weiran Liu, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook and E. Vizy

978
A Combined Hierarchical/Consensus Reagonalization Approach to Aid Interpretation of Circulation-Induced Climate Change in Bolivia
Azar Mohammad Abadi, Univ. of Nebraska−Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and C. M. Rowe and R. Oglesby

979
How Well Does ERA-Interim Capture ITCZ Characteristics and Precipitation?
Corey Storm Howard, Texas A&M, College Station, TX; and A. D. Rapp and K. R. Wodzicki

980
Assessing the Sources of Subseasonal to Seasonal Predictability in the Climate Forecast System Version 2
Zhuo Wang, Univ. of Illinois at Urbana−Champaign, Urbana, IL; and D. E. Miller

981
Changes in Ocean Temperature in the Barents Sea in the 21st Century
Zhenxia Long, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, Canada

982
Pushing LES and GCM Models to Higher Resolutions to Improve Climate Bias of Low Clouds when Compared with Tethered Balloons Measurements and Retrievals over the North Slope of Alaska
Erika L. Roesler, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM; and D. Dexheimer, B. R. Hillman, L. Dennis, and M. McChesney

983
The Role of Ocean and Atmosphere Heat Transport in the Arctic Amplification
Rosa M. Vargas, UCAR/NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. O. Kwon and H. Furey

984
Greenland Near-Surface Air Temperature Datasets: What Should We Use to Evaluate CMIP6?
J. E. Jack Reeves Eyre, The Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng

Handout (8.1 MB)

985
Interactions between Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover and the Troposphere Circumpolar Vortex
Gwangyong Choi, Jeju National Univ., Jeju-si, Korea, Republic of (South); and D. A. Robinson

986
Exploring Connections between Arctic Sea Ice and Tornado Activity in the United States
Robert J. Trapp, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Hoogewind

987A
Developing Capabilities for Analysis in the Arctic within the NOAA NWS Local Climate Analysis Tool
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. E. Churma, F. Horsfall, M. Coulman, and J. C. Meyers

987
A Study of Subseasonal Surface Temperature Predictability

988
Drivers of 2016 Record Arctic Warmth Assessed Using Climate Simulations Subjected to Factual and Counterfactual Forcing
Judith Perlwitz, NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and L. Sun, D. Allured, M. Hoerling, L. Smith, and D. Murray

989
Seasonal Arctic Sea Ice in the North American Multimodel Ensemble
Kirstin J. Harnos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC/Innovim, College Park, MD; and M. L'Heureux, Q. Zhang, and Q. Ding

990
Effects of Greenland Anticyclone Magnitude and Persistence on Spring Sea Ice Melt in the North Atlantic
Thomas J. Ballinger, Texas State Univ., San Marcos, TX; and E. Hanna, R. J. Hall, T. E. Cropper, J. A. Miller, M. H. Ribergaard, J. E. Overland, and J. L. Høyer

991
Understanding Internal Climate Variability and the Upper Limit of 2°C Increase of Global Mean Surface Temperature
Seunghwon Hyun, Hanyang Univ., Ansan, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. W. Yeh

992
The Impact of Arctic Atmospheric Rivers on the Arctic Surface Energy Budget and Sea Ice Growth in Fall and Winter
Bradley M. Hegyi, NASA, Hampton, VA; and P. C. Taylor

993
Hemispheric Asymmetry of Global Warming Explained by a Conceptual Model
Christoph S Funke, IARC, Bethesda, MD; and V. A. Alexeev

994
Utility of the United States National Ice Center's Interactive Multi-Sensor Snow and Ice Mapping System Data to View Arctic Variability
Sofia M. Montalvo, NESDIS, Suitland, MD; and K. Neugent, K. Nohe, D. P. McCormick, S. R. Helfrich, K. Berberich, and R. Lane
Manuscript (43.4 kB)

995
Classifying the Tropospheric Precursor Patterns of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings
Ming Bao, Nanjing Univeristy, Nanjing, China; and X. Tan, D. L. Hartmann, and P. Ceppi

996
Impact of Different Processes on Tropical Lower-Stratospheric Water Vapor as Simulated by Chemistry–Climate Models
Kevin M Smalley, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and A. E. Dessler, S. Bekki, M. Deushi, M. Marchand, O. Morgenstern, D. A. Plummer, K. Shibata, Y. Yamashita, and G. Zeng

Handout (11.4 MB)

997
Quantifying Stratospheric Polar Vortex Trends during the 20th and 21st Centuries
Carly Narotsky, Univ. of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and J. C. Furtado

998
Decadal Data Sets and Decadal Trends: Considerations Based on Radio Occultation Observation
Anthony J. Mannucci, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and C. O. Ao, P. Vergados, O. P. Verkhoglyadova, and B. A. Iijima

999
New Nuclear Winter Simulations with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model 4 (WACCM4)
Joshua L. Coupe, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and C. G. Bardeen, A. Robock, and O. B. Toon

1000
Differential Temperature Trends across Elevation within the "Warming Hole" of the Southeast United States
Ryan P. Shadbolt, Northland College, Ashland, WI; and A. W. Ellis
Manuscript (230.4 kB)

Handout (506.2 kB)

1001
Discussion of Recent Cyclical Temperature Trends Detected in the United States
Adam Theisen, Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Data Quality Office/CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Sisterson

1002
Regional Climate Impacts of Irrigation during the 2012 Central Plains Drought
Jun Wang, Univ. of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and C. Aegerter and J. Zeng

1003
Projected Sea Surface Temperatures over the 21st Century: Changes in the Mean, Varaibility, and Extremes
Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. D. Scott

1004
Impacts of Internal Variability on Temperature and Precipitation Trends in Large Ensemble Simulations
Aiguo Dai, Univ. at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. E. Bloecker

1005
High Risk of Unprecedented U.K. Rainfall
Vikki Thompson, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and R. Eade, N. Dunstone, A. A. Scaife, and D. M. Smith

1006
Increased Frequency of Extreme Heat Waves over Texas Area Tied to the Amplification of Pacific Zonal Sea Surface Temperature Gradient
Kaiqiang Deng, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China

1007
Atmospheric River Activity in a 4xCO2 Climate Simulation
Jessica Solomon, Humboldt State Univ., Arcata, CA; and S. W. Powell, J. W. Whitaker, and E. D. Maloney

1008
United States Temperature and Precipitation Extremes: Phenomenology, Large-Scale Organization, Physical Mechanisms, and Model Representation

1009
Simulation of Atmospheric Rivers: Dynamical Modulation and Resolution Dependence
Erik T. Swenson, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and J. Lu and D. M. Straus

1010
Atmospheric River Importance to Extratropical Climate and Hydrology
Deanna L. Nash, ; and D. E. Waliser, B. Guan, H. Ye, and F. M. Ralph

1011
Water Vapor Budget in Atmospheric Rivers: A Multi-Model Evaluation
Bin Guan, Univ. of California, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser and F. M. Ralph

1012
Simulation and Projection of Daily Precipitation over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin Based on Multi-Model Dynamical Downscaling and Four Bias Correction Methods
Lianyi Guo, Nanjing Univ. of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and Z. Jiang and L. Li

1013
Typhoon Season Extreme Rain Characteristics of Taiwan
Alex Henny, SUNY, Albany, NY; and M. E. Howarth, C. D. Thorncroft, H. H. Hsu, and L. F. Bosart

1014
Understanding the Role of Air–Sea Interaction on Extreme Rainfall in Aquaplanet and Earth-like CESM
Amy Clement, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and J. J. Benedict and B. Medeiros

1015
Changes in the Dynamics of a Blocking Event with Warming
Gary Lackmann, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and W. A. Robinson

1016
Floridian Heatwaves and Extreme Precipitation. Part II: Future Climate Projections
Ajay Raghavendra, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and S. R. Cloutier-Bisbee, S. M. Milrad, and A. Dai

Handout (9.7 MB)

1017
An Examination of an Inland-Penetrating Atmospheric River Flood Event under Potential Future Thermodynamic Conditions
Kelly Mahoney, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and D. Swales, M. Mueller, M. Alexander, K. M. Malloy, and M. Hughes

1018
Atmospheric Rivers: Water Extremes that Shape Our Weather and Climate
Duane E. Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA

1019
Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Northeast United States: 1979–2014
Macy E. Howarth, SUNY, Albany, NY; and A. Henny, C. D. Thorncroft, H. H. Hsu, and L. F. Bosart

1020
The Characteristics of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers during Water Year 2017 and Northern California's Record-Breaking Precipitation
Chad W. Hecht, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Ralph, J. F. Kalansky, and B. K. Kawzenuk

1021
The Relationship between Extratropical Cyclone and Atmospheric River over the Northeastern Pacific and U.S. West Coast
Zhenhai Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Ralph, D. Cayan, and M. Zheng
Manuscript (22.5 kB)

1022
Best Practices of Building and Being a Trusted Climate Communicator
Richard L. Thoman Jr., NOAA, Fairbanks, AK; and B. E. Mayes, K. V. Matthews, D. R. Kluck, J. Crouch, and D. S. Arndt

1023
Evaluation of Winter Precipitation Forecast over Northern America and Its Relation with Large-scale Climate Variability in GEOS5 Seasonal Forecast System
Zhao Li, SSAI/GMAO-NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and A. Molod and S. D. Schubert

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