Session 6 Earth System and Beyond

Tuesday, 9 January 2018: 1:30 PM-3:45 PM
Room 4ABC (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Third Symposium on Multi-scale Predictability: Data-model Integration and Uncertainty Quantification for Climate and Earth System Monitoring and Prediction
Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State Univ., Center for Advanced Data Assimilation and Predictability Techniques, and Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences, State College, PA and Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

1:30 PM
2:00 PM
Earth System Prediction and Predictability: A Regional Example for the Gulf of Mexico (Invited Presentation)
Antonio Busalacchi, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR), Boulder, MA
3:00 PM
Skill of U.S. Coastal SST Forecasts from the North American Multimodel Ensemble
Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and G. Hervieux, M. Jacox, C. Stock, K. Pegion, and E. J. Becker
3:15 PM
The Practical Predictability of Storm Surge Inundation from Tropical Cyclones
Kathryn R. Fossell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Ahijevych, R. E. Morss, C. Snyder, and C. Davis
3:30 PM
Butterfly Effects of the First and Second Kinds in Lorenz Models
Bo-Wen Shen, San Diego State Univ., San Diego, CA; and R. A. Pielke Sr., X. Zeng, I. D. A. Santos, S. Faghih-Naini, J. Buchnann, and R. Atlas

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