Peter J. Webster Symposium

Program Chair: C. Zhang , Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Sunday, 7 January 2018

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018


WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018

Tuesday, 9 January 2018

8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 1
Overview of Peter Webster's Contributions (Invited Presentation)
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Chidong Zhang, PMEL

9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Coffee . Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 3
Tropical Dynamics and Waves (Invited Presentations)
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Shuyi Chen, Univ. of Washington
11:00 AM
3.2
Equatorial Waves and Peter Webster
Matthew C. Wheeler, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and G. N. Kiladis
11:15 AM
3.3
Spatiotemporal Variability of the Tropical Dynamical Warm Pool and Its Influence on Continental Precipitation
Carlos D. Hoyos, Univ. Nacional de Colombia, Medellin, Colombia; and D. C. Cruz and P. J. Webster
11:30 AM
3.4
11:45 AM
3.5
Tropic World
Dennis L. Hartmann, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and B. D. Dygert

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 4
Predictability and Prediction (Invited Presentations)
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Carolyn Reynolds, NRL
1:30 PM
4.1
Unified Prediction of Weather and Climate
T. N. Palmer, Univ. of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

2:00 PM
4.2
Prediction of the MJO
Hyemi Kim, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY

2:15 PM
4.3

2:30 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 5
Monsoons (Invited Presentations)
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Song Yang, Sun Yat-sen Univ.
2:30 PM
5.1
The Asian Aerosol–Monsoon Climate System: A New Paradigm
William K. M. Lau, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD

3:30 PM-3:45 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Session 6
Concluding Remarks from Peter Webster
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Chidong Zhang, PMEL

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Poster Session 1
Air–Sea Interactions and Tropical Cyclones Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Cochairs: Violeta Toma, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Hyemi Kim, SUNY
400
Inter-Annual Variability of Air–Sea Fluxes over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal; Evolution during a Monsoon Cycle and Impacts of Cyclones
Kristina Katsaros, Northwest Research Associates, Inc., Redmond, WA; and A. Bentamy, R. T. Pinker, J. Carton, W. Chen, and W. T. Liu

402
404
Direct and Indirect Ocean Feedbacks to the MJO in Four GCM Experiments
Charlotte A. DeMott, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and N. P. Klingaman, W. L. Tseng, M. A. Burt, and D. A. Randall

405
406
Hurricane Boundary Layer Observations from Dropsondes and COSMIC GPS Radio Occultation
Kevin J. Nelson, Texas A&M Univ., Corpus Christi, TX; and F. Xie

407
The Ocean-Mediated Influence of Asian Orography on Tropical Precipitation and Cyclones
Jane Wilson Baldwin, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and G. A. Vecchi and S. Bordoni


Poster Session 2
Tropical Convection and Waves Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Cochairs: Violeta Toma, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Hyemi Kim, SUNY
408
Intraseasonal Variability in a Cloud-Permitting Equatorial Aqua-Planet Model
Marat Khairoutdinov, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and K. A. Emanuel

409
Influence of the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Caribbean Low-Level Jet on East Pacific Easterly Wave Dynamics
Justin W. Whitaker, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney

410
Heating and Moistening of the MJO during DYNAMO in ECMWF Reforecasts
Chidong Zhang, PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Kim, G. N. Kiladis, and P. Bechtold

411
412
African Easterly Waves in Convection Permitting Simulations: The Role of Moist Convection
James O. H. Russell, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and A. R. Aiyyer

Handout (1.6 MB)

413
Sensitivity of Simulated African Easterly Wave Stormtrack to Orographic Effects
Joshua Dylan White, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and A. R. Aiyyer

414
A Detailed Analysis of Propagating Synoptic-Scale Systems during the 2016 DACCIWA Campaign in Southern West Africa
Andreas H. Fink, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and P. Knippertz

417
A Mechanically Induced Center of Heavy Rainfall Off the East Coast of Central America
David Zermeno, Univ. Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, Mexico; and V. O. Magaña and E. Herrera


Poster Session 3
Predictability and Prediction Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Cochairs: Violeta Toma, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Hyemi Kim, SUNY
421
Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves and the MJO in Subseasonal Forecasts from Global Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Models: Activity and Predictive Skill
Matthew Adam Janiga, UCAR, Monterey, CA; and C. J. Schreck III, J. Ridout, M. Flatau, N. Barton, W. A. Komaromi, and C. Reynolds

422
Evaluation of Model Performance over the Maritime Continent
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and N. P. Barton, S. Chen, M. K. Flatau, J. Ridout, M. A. Janiga, T. Jensen, E. J. Metzger, J. G. Richman, and D. B. Baranowski

423
Transforming Atmospheric and Remotely Sensed Information to Hydrologic Predictability in South Asia
Thomas M. Hopson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Priya, E. Riddle, D. P. Broman, J. Boehnert, K. Sampson, R. Brakenridge, C. M. Birkett, A. J. Kettner, W. Y. Y. Cheng, B. Rajagopalan, W. Young, D. C. Collins, D. Rostkier-Edelstein, A. K. M. S. Islam, F. Pappenberger, E. Zsoter, R. Emerton, D. Singh, and P. J. Webster

424
425
Hindcast of Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity Using Sea Surface Temperature from CESM Decadal Predictions
Wei-Ching Hsu, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and D. Fu, P. Chang, C. Patricola, R. Saravanan, S. Yeager, and G. Danabasoglu


Poster Session 4
Monsoons Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Cochairs: Violeta Toma, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Hyemi Kim, SUNY
427
Response of Monsoon Low Pressure Systems to a Warming Environment
Sandeep Sukumaran, New York Univ., Abu Dhabi, UAE; and A. Ravindran, W. Boos, V. Praveen, and T. P. Sabin

428
Attribution of Delayed Revival of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall
Qinjian Jin, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and C. Wang

430
Inertial Instability as a Mechanism for Latitudinal Shifts in the West African Rain Belt
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

431
The Cooling of the Arabian Sea Induces a Major Change in Monsoon Dynamics
Robert L. Grossman, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

432
Tropical Indian Ocean Warming Contributions to China Winter Climate Variations
Qigang Wu, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China; and Y. Yao and S. Liu

433
Coupling Modes of Climatological Intraseasonal Oscillation in the East Asian Summer Monsoon
Congwen Zhu Sr., Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China

434
Possible Effect of the Tibetan Plateau on the "Upstream" Climate over West Asia, North Africa, South Europe, and the North Atlantic
Mengmeng Lu, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and S. Yang, Z. Li, S. He, and Z. Wang

436
Preliminary Survey of Extreme Weather Events in Southern Brazil
Dirceu Luis Herdies, National Institute for Space Research, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and T. Steffane, C. D. S. Cardoso, L. A. de Paula, M. F. L. Quadro, and L. G. G. D. Goncalves

437
The midsummer drought: A review of the its dynamic elements
Víctor O. Magaña, Univ. Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and E. Herrera

438
Evaluating Variable Resolution-CESM for the North American Monsoon System
Sarahi Arriaga-Ramirez, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and T. A. O'Brien, A. M. Rhoades, and P. Ullrich

439
Updated Quantification of ENSO Influence on Statistical Distribution of Surface Variables
Fernando E. Hirata, Climate Forecast Applications Network, Reno, NV; and V. Toma and P. J. Webster

440
441
The Synchronized Climate System as Seen from the Instrumental Record
Peter Carl, ASWEX - Applied Water Research, Berlin, Germany

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Peter J. Webster Symposium Banquet
Location: Ballroom A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Wednesday, 10 January 2018

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Lunch Break