Peter J. Webster Symposium

Program Chair: C. Zhang , Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

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Sunday, 7 January 2018

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12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018


WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 7 January 2018


Plenary Session 1
18th Presidential Forum: Transforming Communication in the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise—Focusing on Challenges Facing Our Sciences
Location: Ballroom D (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
4:00 PM
PL1.1
Transforming Communication in the Environmental Sciences: Some Thoughts from a Reluctant Participant (Invited Presentation)
Richard B. Alley, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA

Tuesday, 9 January 2018

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8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 1
Overview of Peter Webster's Contributions (Invited Presentation)
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Chidong Zhang, PMEL
8:30 AM
1.1
Peter Webster’s Contributions to Theory, Observations, and Practice of Tropical and Monsoon Meteorology
Robert A. Houze Jr., Univ. of Washington/PNNL, Seattle, WA
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 2
Air–Sea Interactions and Tropical Cyclones (Invited Presentations)
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Carol Anne Clayson, WHOI
9:00 AM
2.1
Tropical Cyclones and Global Warming: Science, Communication, and Politics
Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
2.2
The Invigoration of the Tropical Hydrological Cycle: A Demonstration of the Relevance of Some Old Webster Ideas
Graeme Stephens, JPL, Pasadena, CA
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
2.3
The Indian Ocean Dipole, Wyrtki Jets, and Their Impacts on Coastal Sea Level of India and Bangladesh
Weiqing Han, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Coffee . Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 3
Tropical Dynamics and Waves (Invited Presentations)
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Shuyi Chen, Univ. of Washington
10:30 AM
3.1
Tropical and Monsoon Dynamics Revealed via Field Campaigns: The Visionary Leadership of Peter Webster
Richard H. Johnson, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
3.2
Equatorial Waves and Peter Webster
Matthew C. Wheeler, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and G. N. Kiladis
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
3.3
Spatiotemporal Variability of the Tropical Dynamical Warm Pool and Its Influence on Continental Precipitation
Carlos D. Hoyos, Univ. Nacional de Colombia, Medellin, Colombia; and D. C. Cruz and P. J. Webster
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
3.4
Inferences from Simple Models of Tropical Convection
Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
3.5
Tropic World
Dennis L. Hartmann, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and B. D. Dygert
Recorded Presentation

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 4
Predictability and Prediction (Invited Presentations)
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Carolyn Reynolds, NRL
1:30 PM
4.1
Unified Prediction of Weather and Climate
T. N. Palmer, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

2:00 PM
4.2
Prediction of the MJO
Hyemi Kim, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY

2:15 PM
4.3
Tactical Adaptation to Extreme Weather and Climate Events in the Developing World
Violeta Toma, Climate Forecast Applications Network, Reno, NV
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Recording files available
Session 5
Monsoons (Invited Presentations)
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Song Yang, Sun Yat-sen Univ.
2:30 PM
5.1
The Asian Aerosol–Monsoon Climate System: A New Paradigm
William K. M. Lau, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM
5.2
Predictable Patterns of the Atmospheric Low-Level Circulation over the Indo-Pacific Region in Project Minerva: Seasonal Dependence and Intra-Ensemble Variability
Tuantuan Zhang, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and S. Yang and B. Huang
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
5.3
Predictability of Indian Monsoon Rainfall in the Context of the Recent Global Warming
Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and J. Li
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM-3:45 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Session 6
Concluding Remarks from Peter Webster
Location: Ballroom G (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Chair: Chidong Zhang, PMEL

3:45 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Poster Session 1
Air–Sea Interactions and Tropical Cyclones Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Cochairs: Violeta Toma, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Hyemi Kim, SUNY
400
Inter-Annual Variability of Air–Sea Fluxes over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal; Evolution during a Monsoon Cycle and Impacts of Cyclones
Kristina Katsaros, Northwest Research Associates, Inc., Redmond, WA; and A. Bentamy, R. T. Pinker, J. Carton, W. Chen, and W. T. Liu

401
Atmosphere–Ocean Coupling from TOGA COARE and Beyond: A Tribute to Peter Webster’s Contribution to Earth System Science
Shuyi S Chen, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA

402
Diurnal Sea Surface Temperature Variabiilty and Air–Sea Interaction
Carol Anne Clayson, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA

403
Atmospheric Teleconnection Patterns and Climate Anomalies Associated with the Variations of Mid-Oceanic Troughs in the Northern Hemisphere
Song Yang, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and K. Deng, M. Lu, and M. Ting

404
Direct and Indirect Ocean Feedbacks to the MJO in Four GCM Experiments
Charlotte A. DeMott, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and N. P. Klingaman, W. L. Tseng, M. A. Burt, and D. A. Randall

405
Convective Characteristics of the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation over and around the South China Sea
Steven A. Rutledge, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and W. Xu

406
Hurricane Boundary Layer Observations from Dropsondes and COSMIC GPS Radio Occultation
Kevin J. Nelson, Texas A&M Univ., Corpus Christi, TX; and F. Xie

407
The Ocean-Mediated Influence of Asian Orography on Tropical Precipitation and Cyclones
Jane Wilson Baldwin, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and G. A. Vecchi and S. Bordoni


Poster Session 2
Tropical Convection and Waves Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Cochairs: Violeta Toma, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Hyemi Kim, SUNY
408
Intraseasonal Variability in a Cloud-Permitting Equatorial Aqua-Planet Model
Marat Khairoutdinov, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and K. A. Emanuel

409
Influence of the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Caribbean Low-Level Jet on East Pacific Easterly Wave Dynamics
Justin W. Whitaker, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney

410
Heating and Moistening of the MJO during DYNAMO in ECMWF Reforecasts
Chidong Zhang, PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Kim, G. N. Kiladis, and P. Bechtold

411
Best Pressure Level/Latitude Band to Track Easterly Waves Over Different Regions Using NCEP–NCAR Reanalysis
Sachin Thapa, Univ. of Louisiana, Monroe, LA; and K. D. Leppert II

412
African Easterly Waves in Convection Permitting Simulations: The Role of Moist Convection
James O. H. Russell, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and A. R. Aiyyer

Handout (1.6 MB)

413
Sensitivity of Simulated African Easterly Wave Stormtrack to Orographic Effects
Joshua Dylan White, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and A. R. Aiyyer

414
A Detailed Analysis of Propagating Synoptic-Scale Systems during the 2016 DACCIWA Campaign in Southern West Africa
Andreas H. Fink, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and P. Knippertz

415
Vertical Heating Structure over the Amazon: Its Influence on Realistic Rainfall Simulation and Atmospheric Circulations in GCMs
Hedanqiu Bai, ; and C. Schumacher

416
Analysis of the Orographic Influences of the Topography in the Structure of the Convective Precipitative Systems near the Tropical Andes of South America
Manuel D. Zuluaga, Colombia; and M. Zapata, S. Gomez, and C. D. Hoyos

417
A Mechanically Induced Center of Heavy Rainfall Off the East Coast of Central America
David Zermeno, Univ. Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, Mexico; and V. O. Magaña and E. Herrera

418
The Coupling between Gravity Waves and Moisture: A Mechanistic Picture

419
Seasonal Cycle of Cross Equatorial Flow in the Central Equatorial Indian Ocean
Michael J. McPhaden, PMEL, Seattle, WA

420
Thorough Survey of Zonal Mean Influence of the Stratospheric QBO on the Tropospheric Circulations and Convection
Shigeo Yoden, Kyoto Univ., Kyoto, Japan; and E. Nishimoto


Poster Session 3
Predictability and Prediction Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Cochairs: Violeta Toma, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Hyemi Kim, SUNY
421
Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves and the MJO in Subseasonal Forecasts from Global Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Models: Activity and Predictive Skill
Matthew Adam Janiga, UCAR, Monterey, CA; and C. J. Schreck III, J. Ridout, M. Flatau, N. Barton, W. A. Komaromi, and C. Reynolds

422
Evaluation of Model Performance over the Maritime Continent
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and N. P. Barton, S. Chen, M. K. Flatau, J. Ridout, M. A. Janiga, T. Jensen, E. J. Metzger, J. G. Richman, and D. B. Baranowski

423
Transforming Atmospheric and Remotely Sensed Information to Hydrologic Predictability in South Asia
Thomas M. Hopson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Priya, E. Riddle, D. P. Broman, J. Boehnert, K. Sampson, R. Brakenridge, C. M. Birkett, A. J. Kettner, W. Y. Y. Cheng, B. Rajagopalan, W. Young, D. C. Collins, D. Rostkier-Edelstein, A. K. M. S. Islam, F. Pappenberger, E. Zsoter, R. Emerton, D. Singh, and P. J. Webster

424
Hydroclimate Variability and Change over the Mekong River Basin: Modeling, Predictability, and Policy Implications
Sumant Nigam, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Ruiz-Barradas

425
Hindcast of Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity Using Sea Surface Temperature from CESM Decadal Predictions
Wei-Ching Hsu, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and D. Fu, P. Chang, C. Patricola, R. Saravanan, S. Yeager, and G. Danabasoglu


Poster Session 4
Monsoons Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Peter J. Webster Symposium
Cochairs: Violeta Toma, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Hyemi Kim, SUNY
426
The Indo-Gangetic Low-Level Jet

427
Response of Monsoon Low Pressure Systems to a Warming Environment
Sandeep Sukumaran, New York Univ., Abu Dhabi, UAE; and A. Ravindran, W. Boos, V. Praveen, and T. P. Sabin

428
Attribution of Delayed Revival of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall
Qinjian Jin, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and C. Wang

429
On the Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall Near the Western Ghats during the Indian Summer Monsoon: Influences of the Low-Level Atmosphere and Land Surface
Wendilyn J. Flynn, Univ. of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and S. W. Nesbitt and P. Garg

430
Inertial Instability as a Mechanism for Latitudinal Shifts in the West African Rain Belt
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

431
The Cooling of the Arabian Sea Induces a Major Change in Monsoon Dynamics
Robert L. Grossman, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

432
Tropical Indian Ocean Warming Contributions to China Winter Climate Variations
Qigang Wu, FuDan Univ., Shanghai, China; and Y. Yao and S. Liu

433
Coupling Modes of Climatological Intraseasonal Oscillation in the East Asian Summer Monsoon
Congwen Zhu Sr., Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China

434
Possible Effect of the Tibetan Plateau on the "Upstream" Climate over West Asia, North Africa, South Europe, and the North Atlantic
Mengmeng Lu, Sun Yat-sen Univ., Guangzhou, China; and S. Yang, Z. Li, S. He, and Z. Wang

435
The South American Monsoon System

436
Preliminary Survey of Extreme Weather Events in Southern Brazil
Dirceu Luis Herdies, National Institute for Space Research, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and T. Steffane, C. D. S. Cardoso, L. A. de Paula, M. F. L. Quadro, and L. G. G. D. Goncalves

437
The midsummer drought: A review of the its dynamic elements
Víctor O. Magaña, Univ. Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and E. Herrera

438
Evaluating Variable Resolution-CESM for the North American Monsoon System
Sarahi Arriaga-Ramirez, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and T. A. O'Brien, A. M. Rhoades, and P. Ullrich

439
Updated Quantification of ENSO Influence on Statistical Distribution of Surface Variables
Fernando E. Hirata, Climate Forecast Applications Network, Reno, NV; and V. Toma and P. J. Webster

440
"Monsoon Climate": A GCM-Based Topological Foundation of the Present-Day Climate Regime on Earth
Peter Carl, ASWEX - Applied Water Research, Berlin, Germany

441
The Synchronized Climate System as Seen from the Instrumental Record
Peter Carl, ASWEX - Applied Water Research, Berlin, Germany

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Tuesday, 9 January 2018


Peter J. Webster Symposium Banquet
Location: Ballroom A (ACC) (Austin, Texas)

Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Sunday | Tuesday | Wednesday | top

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 10 January 2018


Lunch Break
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