Symposium on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 28 January 2006
7:30 AM-7:31 AM, Saturday
Short Course and Student Conference Registration
 
Sunday, 29 January 2006
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
 
Monday, 30 January 2006
7:30 AM-6:00 PM, Monday
Registration Continues through Thursday, 2 February
 
10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer (M1)
 
12:00 PM-1:10 PM, Monday
Plenary Session 1 AMS Forum Kick-Off Luncheon (Cash & Carry available in the Meeting Room Foyer)
Chairs: Sue Grimmond, King's College, London United Kingdom; Steven Hanna, Harvard Univ., Boston, MA; Mark Andrews, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
12:00 PMPL1.1Forum opening  
Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and M. Andrews, C. S. B. Grimmond, and S. R. Hanna
12:10 PMPL1.2How should we compare and evaluate urban land surface models?  
Martin Best, Met Office, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom
12:40 PMPL1.3THUNDERSTORM IMPACTS: A MIX OF CURSES AND BLESSINGS  
Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (M2)
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
 
7:30 PM, Monday
Holton Symposium Banquet
 
Tuesday, 31 January 2006
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (T1)
 
11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday
Exhbits Open (T)
 
12:15 PM, Tuesday
Plenary Session Presidential Forum with Boxed Lunch (Lunch will be available for purchase outside the meeting room.)
 
1:45 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, A410
Session 1 Historical Perspectives on Understanding and Forecasting Severe Convective Storms
Organizer: William A. Gallus, Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA
1:45 PM1.1Historical overview of severe convective storms research  
Charles A. Doswell III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
2:15 PM1.2Historical overview of severe convective storms forecasting  
Steven J. Weiss, Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK
2:45 PMDiscussion  
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (T2)
 
3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, A410
Session 2 Current Understanding of Supercell Tornadoes and Future Research Directions
Organizer: Yvette Richardson, Penn State University, University Park, PA
3:30 PM2.1What we've learned from storm intercepts (or, A brief history of TIME—Tornado Intercepts using Mobile Equipment)  
Howard B. Bluestein, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
4:00 PM2.2Tornadogenesis in supercell storms—what we know and what we don't know  extended abstract wrf recording
Robert Davies-Jones, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
4:30 PM2.3Future directions in tornado observational research  
Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and E. N. Rasmussen
5:00 PMDiscussion  
 
5:30 PM, Tuesday
Sessions end for the day (T)
 
Wednesday, 1 February 2006
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, A410
Joint Session 4 Joint Session: Past and Future Climatology of Severe Convective Storms (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
8:30 AMJ4.1Changes in very heavy and extreme precipitation events: what do we know?   wrf recording
Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
9:00 AMJ4.2A global view of severe thunderstorms: Estimating the current distribution and possible future changes  extended abstract wrf recording
Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
 
9:30 AM, Wednesday, A410
Joint Panel Discussion 1 What Might Climate Change Mean for the Future Distribution and Frequency of Severe Convective Storms? (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Panelists: Pasha Groisman, NCDC, Asheville, NC; Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN
Moderator: Paul Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA
 
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer (W1)
 
10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, A410
Session 3 The Dynamics, Prediction, and Detection of Severe Convective Windstorms, Nonsupercell tornadoes, and Hailstorms
Organizer: Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
10:30 AM3.1Structure and maintenance of mesoscale convective systems: A historical overview  
Robert G. Fovell, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA
11:00 AM3.2Tornadogenesis in nonsupercell thunderstorms  
Roger M. Wakimoto, NCAR, Boulder, CO
11:30 AM3.3Hail detection and nowcasting  
Dusan Zrnic, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
 
11:00 AM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Exhibits Open (W)
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (W)
 
1:30 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday, A410
Joint Panel Discussion 2 The Production and Communication of Severe Weather Warnings to the Public (Joint between the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms and the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges)
Panelists: Dennis McCarthy, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; Michael Smith, Weather Data, Inc., Wichita, KS; Charles A. Doswell, III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Michael A. Magsig, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; Eve Gruntfest, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Moderator: Erik N. Rasmussen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
1:30 PMJPD2.1The Production and Communication of Severe Weather Warnings to the Public  
Charles A. Doswell III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
2:30 PMJPD2.2What is the Private Sector's role in the warning process  
Michael R. Smith, WeatherData, Inc., Wichita, KS
3:30 PMJPD2.3Panel Discussion: Gruntfest  
Eve Gruntfest, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (W2)
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall A2
Poster Session 1 The Observation, Modeling, Theory, and Prediction of Severe Convective Storms and Their Attendant Hazards
 P1.1Verification of multi-sensor, multi-radar hail diagnosis techniques  extended abstract
Kiel L. Ortega, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. M. Smith and G. J. Stumpf
 P1.2Storm Scale Forecasts and Observations of a North Alabama Hailstorm on December 10, 2004  
Steven J. Goodman, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. Lapenta, K. La Casse, E. W. McCaul, and W. A. Petersen
 P1.3Optimal sampling strategies for hazardous weather detection using networks of dynamically adaptive Doppler radars  extended abstract
Jessica L. Proud, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. K. Droegemeier, V. T. Wood, R. A. Brown, and L. White
 P1.4A quantitative analysis of the enhanced-V signature in relation to severe weather  extended abstract
Jason Brunner, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. A. Ackerman, A. S. Bachmeier, and R. M. Rabin
 P1.5The Infrasound Network (ISNet):as a 88D Adjunct Tornado Detection Tool: A Perspective After Operations Since the Spring of 2003  
Alfred J. Bedard Jr., ETL, Boulder, CO
 P1.6Utilizing Experimental Graphical Severe Weather Warning Probabilities to Supplement the Hazardous Weather Outlook  extended abstract
J. Brad McGavock, NOAA/NWSFO, Tulsa, OK; and G. N. Mathews and J. M. Frederick
 P1.7Tornado Warnings, Lead Times and Tornado Casualties: An Empirical Investigation  
Daniel Sutter, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. M. Simmons
 P1.8The first workshop on severe weather technology for NWS warning decision making  extended abstract
M.A. Magsig, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK; and G. J. Stumpf
 P1.9Interactive Mesoscale Analysis Utilized in Assisting Local Decision Makers: A Review of the 24 March 2005 Supercell  extended abstract
J. Brad McGavock, NOAA/NWSFO, Tulsa, OK; and R. B. Darby and S. F. Piltz
 P1.10A case study of convective initiation along a retrograding dryline  
Robert E. Barbre Jr., University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski and K. R. Knupp
 P1.11Ridge rollers: mesoscale disturbances on the periphery of cutoff anticyclones  extended abstract
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart
 P1.12Meteorological aspects of high-impact tornado outbreaks  extended abstract
Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
 P1.13Ground-based remotely sensed high temporal-resolution stability indices associated with southern Great Plains tornado outbreaks  extended abstract
Timothy J. Wagner, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. F. Feltz, R. A. Petersen, and S. A. Ackerman
 P1.14Elevated convection and tropospheric inertial instability: A connection?  
John A. Knox, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and D. M. Schultz
 P1.15Discriminating Among Non Severe, Severe, and Derecho-Producing Mesoscale Convective System Environments  extended abstract
Ariel E. Cohen, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and M. C. Coniglio, S. F. Corfidi, and S. J. Corfidi
 P1.16Adiabatic lapse rates in tornadic environments  extended abstract
Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
 P1.17A numerical investigation of the synoptic environment associated with tornadic and nontornadic severe weather outbreaks  
Hamish A. Ramsay, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. A. Doswell and L. M. Leslie
 P1.18The need for an improved documentation of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in South America  extended abstract
Ernani L. Nascimento, Instituto Tecnológico SIMEPAR, Curitiba, PR, Brazil; and C. A. Doswell
 P1.19Reconstructing the frequency of tornado occurrence in the central United States  extended abstract
Matthew J. Menne, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
 P1.20Simulations of exteme convective storms in future climates: proof-of-concept tests with a retrospective event  extended abstract
Brooke A. Halvorson, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and R. J. Trapp and N. S. Diffenbaugh
 P1.21A Twelve Year Climatological Analysis of Severe Local Storms Observed by the Oklahoma Mesonet  extended abstract
James E. Hocker, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara
 P1.22A five-year climatology of elevated severe convective storms in the United States east of the Rocky Mountains  extended abstract
Katherine L. Horgan, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, Raleigh, NC; and D. M. Schultz, R. H. Johns, S. F. Corfidi, and J. E. Hales
 P1.23Why the swirl ratio is a useless parameter  
David S. Nolan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
 P1.24Tornado strength and the influence of dissipative heating  
Jerry M. Straka, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. Markowski
 P1.25Comparison of numerical model and laboratory simulator tornado wind fields with radar observations of the Spencer, South Dakota tornado  extended abstract
William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and F. L. Haan, P. Sarkar, K. Le, and J. Wurman
 P1.26Analysis of a hook echo and rear flank downdraft from a simulated supercell on 8 May 2003  extended abstract
Lewis Grasso, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Fort Collins, CO; and D. T. Lindsey
 P1.27Development of Double Moment Scheme in Very High Resolution WRF Model and Evaluate the Existing Microphysics Process and New Scheme for High-Impact Weather System  
Ju-Hye Kim, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong
 P1.28Challenges in comparing realistic, high-resolution spatial fields from convective-scale grids  extended abstract
Michael E. Baldwin, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore, D. C. Dowell, T. Fujita, L. J. Wicker, and D. J. Stensrud
 P1.29What is a bow echo?  
George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. C. Knievel
 P1.30Forecasting the speed and longevity of severe mesoscale convective systems  extended abstract
Michael C. Coniglio, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. F. Corfidi
 P1.31An examination of three Derecho events during the first week of July 2003 concurrent with BAMEX  extended abstract
Nicholas D. Metz, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart
 P1.32An examination of the long-lived MCV of 10-13 June 2003  extended abstract
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart
 P1.33An examination of flash flooding in the Binghamton, NY county warning area  
Stephen M. Jessup, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
 P1.34An analysis of severe hail swaths in the Southern Plains of the United States  extended abstract
Daniel R. Cheresnick, Oklahoma Climatological Survey and University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Basara and E. D. Mitchell
 P1.35Meso-scale pressure dips accompanied by a severe convective storm of tropical cyclones  extended abstract
Hironori Fudeyasu, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan; and S. IIzuka and T. Matsuura
 P1.36The Connection Between a Cold Front Aloft and the Extensive Squall Line of 29–30 October 2004  
Mark Stoelinga, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. D. Locatelli
 
3:45 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day (W)
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, A410
Session 4 Numerical Modeling of Severe Convective Storms
Organizer: David C. Dowell, CIMMS, Norman, OK
4:00 PM4.1The History of the Numerical Modeling of Severe Convective Storms  
Robert B. Wilhelmson, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL
4:30 PM4.2Severe local storms and computational science: What's next?  
Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
5:00 PMDiscussion  
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Reception in the Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
 
7:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
 
Thursday, 2 February 2006
12:00 AM, Thursday
Symposium Ends
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, A302
Joint Session 3 Using Numerical Models in Real-Time to Improve Forecasts of Convective Storms (Joint between the Doug Lilly Symposium and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium)
Chair: Frederick H. Carr, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
8:30 AMWelcoming Remarks  
8:45 AMJ3.2Experiences with 0-36 hour Explicit Convective Forecasting with the WRF-ARW Model: A Vision of the Future?   wrf recording
Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO
9:15 AMJ3.3Storm-scale Data Assimilation and Its Impact on Numerical Prediction of Thunderstorms   wrf recording
Juanzhen Sun, NCAR, Boulder, CO
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Th1)
 
11:00 AM-4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Open (Th)
 
12:15 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (Th)
 
3:00 PM, Thursday
Registration Desk Closes
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday
Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle (Th2)
 
4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibit Close
 
6:00 PM, Thursday
Lilly Symposium Banquet
 

Browse the complete program of The 86th AMS Annual Meeting