Session 1B Process-Oriented Model Evaluation and Prediction

Friday, 28 July 2017: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
Constellation F (Hyatt Regency Baltimore)
Host: 30th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, 24th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, and the 16th Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair:
Tara Jensen, NCAR/RAL and Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO

Papers:
Irradiance Levels and Hourly Temperature: Evidence from the Arctic

1B.1
Using Land-Atmosphere Coupling for Process Oriented Model Evaluation

8:30 AM
1B.1A
Bias Correction to Improve the Skill of Summer Precipitation Forecasts as Produced by North American Multi-Model Ensemble System over Contiguous United States
Bala Narapusetty, CPC, College Park, MD; and D. C. Collins and J. Gottschalck
Recorded Presentation

Handout (3.3 MB)

8:45 AM
1B.2
Evaluation of Extra-Tropical Cyclones Using a Feature-Relative Method
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and J. Halley Gotway, P. A. Kucera, and B. A. Colle
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
1B.3
Projection of Dynamically Downscaled Precipitation using a Newly Developed Feature-tracking Algorithm
Jiali Wang, ANL, Lemont, IL; and W. Chang, Z. Zobel, and R. Kotamarthi
Recorded Presentation

Handout (3.3 MB)

9:15 AM
1B.4
Constraining and Estimating Microphysical Parameterization Uncertainty using Polarimetric Radar Observations and the Bayesian Observationally-constrained Statistical-physical Scheme (BOSS), a Novel Probabilistic Microphysics Framework
Marcus van Lier-Walqui, Columbia Univ. & NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and M. R. Kumjian, C. Martinkus, H. Morrison, and O. P. Prat
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1B.5
The Effect of Model Parameters on the Spatial Structure of Forecast Fields
Caren Marzban, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. Tardif, S. A. Sandgathe, C. Jones, X. Du, N. Li, N. Hryniw, N. Lederer, J. Doyle, and Y. Jin
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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