Session: Climate forecasting (Joint between 15th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences and 12th Conference on Applied Climatology) (Asheville Meeting)

Thursday, 11 May 2000: 8:40 AM-11:59 AM

Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; and the 12th Conference on Applied Climatology )

Organizer:

W. Matt Briggs, Doubleclick, Statistical Analysis, New York, NY

Papers:

8:40 AM

J3.1

Is Monsoon Predictability through Statistical Methods decreasing?

R. H. Kripalani, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, Maharashtra, India; and A. Kulkarni

9:00 AM

J3.2

Statistical Associations Between African Rainfall and ENSO-Monsoon Circulations

Mark R. Jury, University of Zululand, KwaDlangezwa, South Africa

J3.3

A Seasonal Climate Forecast Methodology for ITCZ-Associated Rainfall in Eastern Africa

9:20 AM

J3.4

Seasonal Forecasting of UK Winter Storminess

Steve E. George, University College London, Holmbury St. Mary, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders

9:40 AM

J3.5

Application of Markov Chain Model to Long-Range Temperature Prediction

Stephen F. Mueller, Tennessee Valley Authority, Muscle Shoals, AL; and Q. Mao

10:00 AM

J3.6

Comparative assessment of predictability over mid-latitudinal and tropical climate using statistical models: Example over North Carolina and Indonesia

Orbita Roswintiarti, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. S. Niyogi and S. Raman

10:20 AM

J3.7

Altered data distributions conditioned on seasonal climate forecasts

Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV

10:40 AM

J3.8

A methodology for adjusting error estimates during disaggregation of seasonal forecasts

Jeanne M. Schneider, USDA-ARS, El Reno, OK

11:00 AM

J3.9

Disaggregation of the CPC seasonal outlooks

Daniel S. Wilks, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY

11:20 AM

J3.5x

Coffee Break

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

- Indicates an Award Winner

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Joint Session 3 Climate forecasting (Joint between 15th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences and 12th Conference on Applied Climatology)