21st Conf. on Severe Local Storms and 19th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/15th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction

Session 11: Ensembles

Thursday, 15 August 2002: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
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Organizer:  Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO
Papers:
  10:30 AM
11.1
An Examination of Regional Ensemble Forecasting Techniques during three Winter Storms
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and R. Hart

Poster PDF (81.2 kB)
  10:45 AM
11.2
Flow Dependent Background Error Covariance and Mesoscale Predictability Estimation through Ensemble Forecasting
Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. Ham and A. Aksoy

Poster PDF (671.0 kB)
  11:00 AM
11.3
Effects of nesting frequency and lateral boundary perturbations on the dispersion of limited-area ensemble forecasts
Paul Nutter, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Stensrud and M. Xue

Poster PDF (404.4 kB)
  11:15 AM
11.4
Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction of Tropical and Mid-latitude Cyclones
Mohan K. Ramamurthy, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. F. Jewett, B. Cui, and H. Liu

Poster PDF (330.5 kB)
  11:30 AM
11.5
Results of using the PSU shallow convection scheme in an ensemble mode: Effects on mass flux profiles and thermodynamic tendencies
Ricardo C. Muņoz, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and N. L. Seaman, D. R. Stauffer, and A. Deng

Poster PDF (201.3 kB)
  11:45 AM
11.6
Using adjoint-derived forecast sensitivities to characterize forecast uncertainty
Michael C. Morgan, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. T. Kleist and G. A. Postel

http://helios.aos.wisc.edu

Poster PDF (518.7 kB)
See more of: 19th Conf. on weather Analysis and Forecasting/15th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction
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