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Compact View of Conference

Monday, 11 September 2000
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Monday Conference Registration
Tuesday, 12 September 2000
	7:15 AM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Conference Registration
	8:15 AM-8:30 AM, Tuesday Introductory Remarks
	8:30 AM-9:00 AM, Tuesday Session Keynote Address
8:30 AM Perspectives on the future of severe local storms research and operations   James F. Kimpel, Director, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
	9:00 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday Session 1 3 May 1999 Oklahoma/Kansas Tornado Outbreak
Organizers: Kevin J. Pence, NOAA/NWS, Calera, AL; Donald W. Burgess, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
9:00 AM 1.1 Warning Decision Making Process During the 3 May 1999 Tornado Outbreak   Elizabeth M. Quoetone, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; and D. L. Andra and W. F. Bunting 9:15 AM 1.2 Damage Survey of the Moore, Oklahoma Tornado   Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Company, Dallas, TX 9:30 AM 1.3 Analysis of tornado damage on May 3rd, 1999 using remote sensing and GIS methods on high-resolution satellite imagery   Michael A. Magsig, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Dickens-Micozzi and M. Yuan 9:45 AM 1.4 Evolution of the surface meteorological fields on May 3, 1999   Michael P. Foster, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX; and A. R. Moller, J. K. Jordan, and K. C. Crawford
	10:00 AM, Tuesday Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-11:59 AM, Tuesday Session 2 3 May 1999 Oklahoma/Kansas Tornado Outbreak: Forecasting And Nowcasting
Organizers: Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; Alan R. Moeller, NOAA/NWSFO, Fort Worth, TX
10:30 AM 2.1 Mesoscale Model Ensemble Forecasts of the 3 May 1999 Tornado Outbreak   Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud 10:45 AM 2.2 Beyond the nowcast range: 24-h forecast guidance concerning convective initiation and mode for the Great Plains tornado outbreak of 3 May 1999   Paul J. Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and D. Schultz and R. Thompson 11:00 AM 2.3 A past and future look at the Rapid Update Cycle for the 3 May 1999 severe weather outbreak   Tracy Lorraine Smith, NOAA/OAR/FSL and CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, B. E. Schwartz, G. Grell, P. Bothwell, and J. Hart 11:15 AM 2.4 Formation, movement and decay of the dryline during the May 1999 Oklahoma tornado episode   Mukut B. Mathur, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD 11:30 AM 2.5 Nowcasting the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma tornado outbreak using the AERI ground-based interferometer   John R. Mecikalski, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin and Space Science and Engineering Center, Madison, WI; and W. F. Feltz 2.6 Explicit Prediction of the Moore, OK Tornadic Supercell Using Single-Doppler Retrieved Fields Obtained from WSR-88D Level-II Data   Jason J. Levit, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Weygandt, R. Carpenter, A. Shapiro, K. Brewster, G. Bassett, and K. Droegemeier 11:45 AM 2.6A A Comparison of Rapid Update Cycle (RUC-2) Model (Also being presented in a poster session, Poster P12.4)   Richard L. Thompson, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Edwards
	12:00 PM, Tuesday Lunch Break
	1:00 PM-1:20 PM, Tuesday Daily Weather Briefing
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday Session 3 3 May 1999 Oklahoma/Kansas Tornado Outbreak: Observations
Organizers: Michael A. Magsig, NOAA/NWS/OSF, Norman, OK; Richard L. Thompson, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK
1:30 PM 3.1 Tornadic Supercells on May 3, 1999 Viewed from Space during an Overpass of the NASA TRMM Observatory   Steven J. Goodman, NASA/MSFC and the Global Hydrology and Climate Center/Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. E. Buechler, K. Driscoll, D. W. Burgess, and M. A. Magsig 1:45 PM 3.2 Mobile Doppler radar observations of a tornado near Verden, Oklahoma on 3 May 1999   Howard B. Bluestein, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. L. Pazmany 2:00 PM 3.3 Understanding WSR-88D signatures for the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City tornado   Donald W. Burgess, NOAA/NWS/OSF, Norman, OK; and M. A. Magsig 2:15 PM 3.4 Integration and application of multiple radars to May 3rd 1999 severe storms: An assesment of the "VIPIR" performance   Gregory S. Wilson, Baron Services Inc., Huntsville, AL; and L. R. Lemon 2:30 PM 3.5 An Examination of tornadic Signatures Associated with the May 3, 1999 Outbreak Using a New WSR-88D Scaning Strategy   J. William Conway, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and W. D. Zittel 2:45 PM 3.6 Enhanced detection of tornadoes on 3 May 1999 using prototype fine-resolution WSR-88D measurements   Rodger A. Brown, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and V. T. Wood
	3:00 PM, Tuesday Coffee Break
	3:30 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday Session 4 Mesoscale Convective Systems I
Organizers: David O. Blanchard, NOAA/NWS, Flagstaff, AZ; Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO
3:30 PM 4.1 Observations of the Formation and Early Evolution of Bow Echoes   Brian A. Klimowski, NOAA/NWSFO, Rapid City, SD; and R. Przybylinski, G. Schmocker, and M. R. Hjelmfelt 3:45 PM 4.2 Simulation of a progressive derecho using composite initial conditions   Michael C. Coniglio, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. J. Stensrud 4:00 PM 4.3 A Detailed Look at Extreme Wind Damage in Derecho Events   Daniel J. Miller, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; and R. H. Johns 4:15 PM 4.4 Characteristics of circulations associated with the 29 June 1998 derecho in eastern Iowa   Ray A. Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Davenport, IA
	4:30 PM, Tuesday Oral Sessions End for the Day
	4:30 PM-6:30 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 1 3 May 1999 Oklahoma/Kansas Tornado Outbreak: Warnings, Forecasts, And Observations
P1.1 Initiation of Storm A (3 May 99) along a Possible Horizontal Convective Roll   Roger Edwards, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. L. Thompson and J. G. LaDue P1.2 Uncovering the Physical Mechanisms Responsible for the "Mystery" Boundary on May 3   Todd M. Crawford, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein   P1.3 Warning Response and Risk Behavior in the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City Long Track Violent Tornado   Matthew D. Biddle, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK   P1.4 Verification of the tornado events in the Norman Oklahoma NWSFO county warning area for the May 3, 1999 severe weather outbreak   Gregory J. Stumpf, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Speheger and D. W. Burgess   P1.5 Use of vehicles to flee the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City Tornado: Reasons and relative injury rates   Barbara Hammer, Kent State Univ., Kent, OH; and T. Schmidlin   P1.6 Lightning relative to other tornadic storm parameters on 3 May 1999   Donald R. MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and E. Spencer, K. Cummins, and J. Cramer
	4:30 PM-6:30 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 2 Convective Initiation
P2.1 Estimating boundary-relative flow in forecasting convection   James G. LaDue, WSR-88D, NOAA/NWS/OSF, Norman, OK; and A. Wood P2.2 Observations of the Interaction of a Tornadic Mini Supercell with a Preexisting Meso-Gama Surface Boundary   Albert E. Pietrycha, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and P. C. Burke, G. J. Stumpf, and A. L. Doggett   P2.3 Simulating deep convection initiation by misocyclones   Bruce D. Lee, Univ. of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and C. A. Finley and R. B. Wilhelmson   P2.4 Initiation and evolution of severe convection in the 19 April 1996 Illinois Tornado Outbreak   Brian F. Jewett, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. D. Lee and R. B. Wilhelmson   P2.5 Numerical simulation of the interaction between the dryline and horizontal convective rolls   Steven E. Peckham, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson, L. J. Wicker, and C. L. Ziegler   P2.6 Severe thunderstorm initiation along the dryline: A mesoscale case study   Carl E. Hane, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. M. Rabin, T. M. Crawford, H. B. Bluestein, and M. E. Baldwin
	4:30 PM-6:30 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 3 Climatological Studies Of Severe Local Storms
P3.1 Severe Local Storms in Southern Brazilian Non-Line Convective Systems   Sanjar Abdoulaev, Univ. Estadual do Norte Fluminense, Macae, RJ, Brazil; and A. Starostin and O. Lenskaia   P3.2 Severe Storm Climatology for Southern New England From 1993 to 1999   James E. Lee, NOAA/NWSFO, Taunton, MA; and T. J. Trundel   P3.3 High Wind Climatology for Southern New England From 1993 to 1999   James E. Lee, NOAA/NWSFO, Taunton, MA; and D. Myrick   P3.4 Using GIS to Generate Spatial Statistics for Tornado Occurrences   Steve Weinbeck, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and R. Peterson, A. Doggett IV, and K. Mulligan   P3.5 The tornado climatology of the St. Louis Weather Forecast Office county warning area   Mark F. Britt, NOAA/NWSFO, St. Charles, MO; and F. H. Glass P3.6 Map of All Known North American Killer Tornadoes, 1700-1999   Thomas P. Grazulis, The Tornado Project, St. Johnsbury, VT; and M. D. Biddle   P3.7 A radar signature climatology using WSR-88D Level II data   E. DeWayne Mitchell, NOAA/OAR/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore, K. Angle, C. Hannon, and N. J. Eckstein   P3.8 A Climatology of the South Plains Retreating Dryline   Mark R. Conder, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson   P3.9 TORNADOES IN FINLAND DURING THE YEARS 1997–1999   Jenni. J. Teittinen, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland
	4:30 PM-6:30 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 4 Tornadoes And Tropical Cyclones
P4.1 Examination of Tornadic Supercells in Tropical Cyclone Earl (1998) using Conventional and WSR-88D Data Suites   Roger Edwards, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and G. V. Rao and J. Scheck   P4.2 Tornado Outbreak in the middle and upper Florida Keys associated with Tropical Storm Mitch   Guy E. Rader, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and J. Gross   P4.3 A Comparison of Outer and Inner Rainband Mesocyclone Characteristics in Hurricane Georges   John E. Wright, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and J. Aguirre-Echevarria
	4:30 PM-6:30 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 5 Lightning Studies
P5.1 Lightning in tornadic thunderstorms over the Northeastern United States   Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and S. F. Honikman, A. C. Cacciola, L. F. Bosart, K. D. LaPenta, J. S. Quinlan, and G. Wiley   P5.2 An Exploratory Study of Lightning Activity on Southeast and South of Brazil   Sanjar Abdoulaev, Univ. Estadual do Norte Fluminense, Macaé, RJ, Brazil; and V. da Silva Marques, F. M. A. Pinheiro, E. F. A. Martinez, and O. Lenskaia   P5.3 THE ALMENA KANSAS TORNADIC SUPERCELL OF 3 JUNE 1999: A LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL WITH VERY LITTLE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING   Eugene W. McCaul Jr., USRA, Huntsville, AL; and D. E. Buechler   P5.4 The lightning program at National Weather Service Pueblo   Stephen Hodanish, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO
	5:30 PM-8:00 PM, Tuesday Welcome Reception (Cash Bar)/Viewing of Posters from both the Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, & Aerospace Meteorology and 20th Conference on Severe Local Storms)
Wednesday, 13 September 2000
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday Session 5A Climatological studies (Parallel with Session 5b)
Organizers: Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Thomas P. Grazulis, The Tornado Project, St. Johnsbury, VT
8:00 AM 5A.1 Tornadoes in the United States as Related to the Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature   Joseph T. Schaefer, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and C. Marzban 8:15 AM 5A.2 Some Mesoscale features in Canadian Lightning Data   Patrick W. S. King, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and W. R. Burrows 8:30 AM 5A.3 An Investigation of Population Bias in Tornado Records   John T. Snow, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Richman, K. Nixon, and C. Levision 8:45 AM 5A.4 The Climatology of Severe Thunderstorms: What We Can Know   Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK 9:00 AM 5A.5 Using Doppler radar vortex detection algorithms to develop synthetic tornado climatologies   Gregory J. Stumpf, NOAA/ERL/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. Marzban 9:15 AM 5A.6 On the climatological distribution of tornadoes within quasi-linear convective systems   Sarah A. Tessendorf, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. J. Trapp 9:30 AM 5A.7 Tornadoes of the Former Soviet Union   Richard E. Peterson, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX 9:45 AM 5A.8 A composite synoptic climatology of Florida peninsular tornado outbreaks   Christopher Mello, NOAA/NWS, Hanford, CA; and C. H. Paxton and C. M. Hartnett
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday Session 5B Storm electrification, lightning, and STEPS (Parallel with Session 5A)
Organizers: Walter A. Lyons, FMA Research Inc., Ft. Collins, CO; Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL
8:00 AM 5B.1 An overview of the Severe Thunderstorm Electrification and Precipitation Study (STEPS)   Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. J. Miller 8:15 AM 5B.2 Lightning and other electrical observations in STEPS   Donald R. MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and W. D. Rust, P. Krehbiel, A. Detwiler, J. Helsdon, S. A. Rutledge, L. Carey, and W. Beasley 8:30 AM 5B.3 Results from the SPRITES'99 and STEPS 2000 Field Programs   Walter A. Lyons, FMA Research, Inc., Fort Collins, CO; and T. E. Nelson and J. Fossum 8:45 AM 5B.4 Influence of the local environment on 2 June 1995 supercell cloud-to-ground lightning polarity   Matthew S. Gilmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Boulder, CO and Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and L. J. Wicker 9:00 AM 5B.5 Lightning Distributions over the Florida Peninsula   Todd P. Lericos, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and A. I. Watson 9:15 AM 5B.6 Cloud-to-ground lightning in linear MCS archetypes without trailing stratiform precipitation   Matthew D. Parker, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson and S. A. Rutledge 9:30 AM 5B.7 Numerically simulated lightning production in severe storms   Edward R. Mansell, Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. R. MacGorman, J. M. Straka, and C. L. Ziegler 9:45 AM 5B.8 Predicting Convective Rainfall Amounts from Lightning Flash Density   Kerry R. Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada
	10:00 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday Session 6 Mesoscale Convective Systems II
Organizers: Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Ray A. Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Davenport, IA
10:30 AM 6.1 The Severe Bow Echo Event of 14 June 1998 over the Mid-Mississippi Valley Region: A Case of Vortex Development near the Intersection of a Preexisting Boundary and a Convective Line   Gary K. Schmocker, NOAA/NWSO, St. Charles, MO; and R. W. Przybylinski and E. N. Rasmussen 10:45 AM 6.2 A Study of Storm and Vortex Morphology during the 'Intensifying Stage' of Severe Wind Mesoscale Convective Systems   Ron W. Przybylinski, NOAA/NWSO, St. Charles, MO; and G. K. Schmocker and Y. J. Lin 11:00 AM 6.3 WSR-88D reflectivity and velocity trends of a damaging squall line event on 20 April 1996 over south-central Indiana and central Kentucky   Van L. DeWald, NOAA/NWSFO, Louisville, KY; and T. W. Funk 11:15 AM 6.4 A bow-echo event on a squall line in the Netherlands   Rob Groenland, Meteo Consult, Wageningen, Netherlands 11:30 AM 6.5 Investigation of an Unusual Storm Structure Associated with Weak to Occasionally Strong Tornadoes over the Eastern United States   Bryan P. McAvoy, NOAA/NWS, Greer, SC; and W. A. Jones and P. D. Moore 11:45 AM 6.6 Profiler observations of squall lines and linear convective systems   Kevin R. Knupp, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. Walters
	12:00 PM, Wednesday Lunch Break
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 6 Observations And Studies Of Tornadoes And Tornadic Storms
P6.1 Case study of an unforecasted mini-supercell with a high-top in Colorado   Stephen J. Hodanish, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO; and G. J. Stumpf   P6.2 VORTEX 95 High precision barogram obtained near the Allison, TX tornado   Emmett Redd, Southwest Missouri State Univ., Springfield, MO   P6.3 High resolution single-Doppler observations of two tornadoes   Michael I. Biggerstaff, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX   P6.4 Observations of tornadogenesis with a 3-mm-wavelength mobile Doppler radar   Howard B. Bluestein, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. L. Pazmany   P6.5 Close Range WSR-88D Observations Of Several Tornadic Storms   Fred H. Glass, NOAA/NWS, St. Charles, MO; and M. F. Britt   P6.6 South Florida 1998 Groundhog Day tornado outbreak   Kim O. Brabander, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL   P6.7 A case study of a well-documented tornadic thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California   Theodore B. Schlaepfer, San Francisco State Univ., San Francisco, CA; and J. P. Monteverdi   P6.8 First WSR-88D documentation of an anticyclonic supercell with anticyclonic tornadoes: the Sunnyvale/Los Altos tornadoes of 4 May 1998   John P. Monteverdi, San Francisco State Univ., San Francisco, CA; and W. Blier, G. J. Stumpf, W. Pi, and K. Anderson   P6.9 The tornadic supercell of 8 April 1998 across Alabama and Georgia   Kevin J. Pence, NOAA/NWS, Birmingham, AL; and B. E. Peters   P6.10 A Tornadic Thunderstorm in the Complex Terrain of Southcentral New Mexico   Jeffrey E. Passner, U.S. Army Research Lab., White Sands Missle Range, NM; and J. A. Rogash   P6.11 The Saint James Tornado: A Case Study of Boundary Interaction   James L. Taggart, NOAA/NWSFO, Springfield, MO   P6.12 An overview of a cool season tornadic supercell over central Mississippi   Alan E. Gerard, NOAA/NWSFO, Jackson, MS; and G. R. Garrett and C. Morgan   P6.13 Supercell differentiation and organization for the 19 April 1996 Illinois tornado outbreak   Bruce D. Lee, Univ. of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and B. F. Jewett and R. B. Wilhelmson   P6.14 Cincinnati, Ohio Tornadic Outbreak 9 April 1999—A Case Study   Gregory A. Tipton, NOAA/NWSFO, Wilmington, OH; and J. T. DiStefano and G. J. Stumpf   P6.15 Paper moved to 17.1A     P6.16 Numerical simulation of secondary vortex development in a tornadic vortex   Catherine A. Finley, Univ. of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and B. D. Lee and W. R. Cotton   P6.17 Estimates of rear-flank downdraft buoyancy as a predictor of tornadogenesis   William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and C. J. Anderson and A. E. Frederick   P6.18 On the Nature of Highly Deviant Supercell Motion   Matthew J. Bunkers, NOAA/NWSFO, Rapid City, SD; and J. W. Zeitler   P6.19 An investigation of topographic influence on tornades in Georgia   Scott A. Lawrimore, Georgia Institute of Technology and The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and J. C. St. John, G. Beeley, and T. Murphy
	1:00 PM-1:20 PM, Wednesday Daily Weather Briefing
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday Session 7 Tornadoes And Tornadic Storms
Organizers: James G. LaDue, NOAA/NWS/OSF, Norman, OK; David C. Dowell, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
1:30 PM 7.1 Landspouts at lake breeze fronts in southern Ontario   David M. L. Sills, EC, King City, ON, Canada; and P. W. S. King 1:45 PM 7.2 Doppler wind profiler observations in and near a tornadic supercell   Gregor S. Lehmiller, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein, P. J. Neiman, F. M. Ralph, and W. F. Feltz 2:00 PM 7.3 Surface thermodynamic characteristics of RFDs as measured by a mobile mesonet   Paul Markowski, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. N. Rasmussen and J. Straka 2:15 PM 7.4 A Case Study of Supercell Propagation   Huaqing Cai, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and R. M. Wakimoto 2:30 PM 7.5 Conceptual models of cyclic supercell tornadogenesis   David C. Dowell, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein 2:45 PM 7.6 A numerical study of cyclic tornadogenesis: The 8 June 1995 VORTEX Case   Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. C. Dowell
	3:00 PM, Wednesday Coffee Break
	3:30 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday Session 8 Tornadoes And Tornadogenesis (Parallel with Joint Session J1)
Organizers: John T. Snow, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; David C. Lewellen, West Virginia Univ., Morgantown, WV
3:30 PM 8.1 A simple thermodynamical theory for tornadoes   Nilton Renno, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 3:45 PM 8.2 Nonaxisymmetric, unsteady tornadic corner flows   David C. Lewellen, West Virginia Univ., Morgantown, WV; and W. S. Lewellen and J. Xia 4:00 PM 8.3 Can the hook echo instigate tornadogenesis barotropically?   Robert Davies-Jones, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK 4:15 PM 8.4 Preliminary investigation of tornadogenesis within quasi-linear convective systems   R. Jeffrey Trapp, NOAA/NSSL, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Weisman
	4:30 PM, Wednesday Oral Sessions End for the Day
	4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 6 Formal Poster Viewing Continued
	5:00 PM, Wednesday Meet at Front Entrance of the Radisson Hotel to board bus for Universal Studios (for banquet)
	7:30 PM-10:30 PM, Wednesday Conference Banquet at Universal Studios
Thursday, 14 September 2000
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday Session 9 Current And Proposed Future Directions of Severe-Storm Research, Operations, And Disaster Mitigation
Organizers: Lans P. Rothfusz, NOAA/NWS, Tulsa, OK; Michael D. Eilts, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
8:00 AM 9.1 A new tool for atmospheric research   Michael I. Biggerstaff, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and J. Guynes 8:15 AM 9.2 Paper transferred to Poster Session 12, poster # P12.13   8:16 AM 9.3 Verification of probabilistic severe storm forecasts at the SPC   Michael P. Kay, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks 8:30 AM 9.4 Graphically Depicting the Hazardous Weather Outlook for East Central Florida   John C. Pendergrast, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and D. W. Sharp and D. L. Jacobs 8:45 AM 9.5 Maintaining an Effective Rural County Skywarn Group in the Southeastern United States   Barry C. Roberts, Lawrence County Tennessee Skywarn Association, St. Joseph, TN; and J. E. Baxter 9:00 AM 9.6 The Tornado Damage Risk Assessment Predicting the Impact of A Big Outbreak in Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas   Scott Rae, North Central Texas Council of Governments, Arlington, TX; and J. Stefkovich 9:15 AM 9.7 An analysis of the public response to the east central florida tornado outbreak of 22–23, february 1998   Earl J. Baker, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and T. W. Troutman 9:30 AM 9.8 Tornado shelter-seeking behavior and shelter options among mobile home residents   Thomas W. Schmidlin, Kent State Univ., Kent, OH; and B. Hammer, Y. Ono, and P. King
	10:00 AM, Thursday Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday Session 10 Warnings, Dissemination, And Verification
Organizers: Elizabeth M. Quoetone, NOAA/NWS/OSF, Norman, OK; Stephen Parker, NOAA/NWS, Morristown, TN
10:30 AM 10.1 Impact of severe weather warnings on the hearing impaired   Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. A. Weisman 10:45 AM 10.2 Categorical thunderstorm and tornado warnings in the National Weather Service   Stephan B. Smith, NOAA/NWS/TDL, Silver Spring, MD 11:00 AM 10.3 National Weather Service warnings: comparing expectations with reality   Lans P. Rothfusz, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA 11:15 AM 10.4 Tornado Warning Situations for East Central Florida   David W. Sharp, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and P. F. Blottman and T. W. Troutman 11:30 AM 10.5 Southwest Georgia tornado outbreak of 13–14 February 2000: An overview   Kenneth J. Gould, NOAA/NWS, Tallahassee, FL; and T. J. Turnage, J. D. Fournier, A. I. Watson, R. C. Goree, R. L. Block, and M. C. Trexler 11:45 AM 10.6 The Warning Polygon Verification Project: An alternative verification scheme for severe storm warnings   Richard D. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX
	12:00 PM, Thursday Lunch Break
	1:00 PM-1:20 PM, Thursday Daily Weather Briefing
	1:30 PM, Thursday Panel Discussion 11 Panel Discussion On Lead Time, False Alarms, And Probabilistic Severe-Weather Warnings
Panelists: Thomas R. Stewart, SUNY, Albany, NY; Terry Schenk, Chief Fire Administrator; Charles A. Doswell, III, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Dennis Decker, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL Organizer: R. Jeffrey Trapp, NOAA/NSSL, Boulder, CO
	3:00 PM, Thursday Coffee Break
	3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday Session 12 Mesoscale Convective Vortices/Mesoscale Convective Systems
Organizers: Robert H. Johns, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; Brian A. Klimowski, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD
3:30 PM 12.1 A long-lived convectively generated mesoscale vortex associated with heavy rainfall   Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis and J. D. Tuttle 3:45 PM 12.2 The Local wind of an MCS and a vorticity budget for the mesoscale convective vortex within it   Jason C. Knievel, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO 4:00 PM 12.3 A potential vorticity streamer and its role in the development of a week-long series of mesoscale convective systems. Part I: Severe weather and precipitation   Edward I. Tollerud, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and F. Caracena and A. Marroquin 4:15 PM 12.4 MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS IN MEXICO DURING 96–98   Arturo Valdes-Manzanilla, Instituto Mexicano de Tecnología del Agua, Jiutepec, Morelos, Mexico; and J. J. Pastrana 4:30 PM 12.5 Toward improved prediction of MCS dissipation   Joseph J. Gale, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus and K. A. Jungbluth 4:45 PM 12.6 An Examination of a Local Mesoscale Model's Performance of a Midwestern Squall Line   James M. O'Sullivan, Saint Louis Univ., St. Louis, MO; and Y. J. Lin and R. W. Przybylinski
	5:00 PM, Thursday Oral Sessions End for the Day
	5:00 PM-6:30 PM, Thursday Poster Session 7 Severe Storm Detection
P7.1 Operational Use of Cell Trends as a Predictor of Non-Mesocyclone Tornadogenesis   Jay L. Michaels, Cocoa High School, Cocoa, FL   P7.2 Observations of a tornadic and non-tornadic circulation near the KDVN WSR-88D associated with the 19 June 1998 squall line   Ray A. Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Davenport, Iowa   P7.3 Radar Observations of Northeastern United States Tornadoes   Kenneth D. LaPenta, NOAA/NWSFO, Albany, NY; and G. J. Maglaras, J. S. Quinlan, H. W. Johnson, L. F. Bosart, and T. J. Galarneau   P7.4 A WSR-88D TDA performance evaluation using Level II data from the western/intermountaion U.S.   E. DeWayne Mitchell, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. R. Lee   P7.5 WSR-88D mesocyclone characteristics of selected thunderstorms during the Southwest Georgia Tornado Outbreak of 13–14 February 2000   T. J. Turnage, NOAA/NWS, Tallahassee, FL; and R. R. Lee and E. D. Mitchell   P7.6 An analysis of NSSL WDSS circulation parameters during 1999–2000 tornado events in the NWS Jackson, Mississippi, county warning area   Eric E. Carpenter, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS; and A. E. Gerard and E. R. Agre   P7.7 Improved detection of WSR-88D mesocyclone signatures during the Oklahoma tornado outbreak of 3 May 1999   Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. A. Brown   P7.8 An evaluation methodology applied to the Damaging Downburst Prediction and Detection Algorithm   Travis M. Smith, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. A. Myers and K. L. Elmore   P7.9 The WSR-88D hail detection algorithm: A performance update   Arthur Witt, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK P7.10 Integrated tornado detection and warning   Emmett Redd, Southwest Missouri State Univ., Springfield, MO
	5:00 PM-6:30 PM, Thursday Poster Session 8 Mesoscale Convective Systems And High Wind Events
P8.1 Observational study of a Midwestern severe wind Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) on 29 June 1998: a single Doppler analysis study   Jason T. Martinelli, Saint Louis Univ., St. Louis, MO; and R. W. Przybylinski and Y. J. Lin   P8.2 The role of jet couplet dynamics in the lifecycle of a short-duration, severe mid-latitude squall line within an elevated, marginally unstable environment   Michael A. Jamski, NOAA/NWS, Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Wool and A. I. Watson   P8.3 Utilizing established techniques in forecasting the potential for derecho development   Timothy W. Troutman, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and M. A. Rose and L. M. Trapasso   P8.4 A Localized severe weather event over southwest Ohio on 24 August 1996   Stephen C. Wilkinson, NOAA/NWSFO, Wilmington, OH; and J. T. DiStefano   P8.5 Synoptic-scale conditions associated with the 31 May 1998 Derecho   Walker S. Ashley, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson and C. M. Rowe   P8.6 Environmental shear and upper-level features associated with derecho-producing convective systems   Michael C. Coniglio, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart   P8.7 Genesis and evolution of the 4 June 1999 derecho   Jeffry S. Evans, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and S. F. Corfidi   P8.8 The derecho of July 5, 1999 in Quebec: a rare event   Serge Mainville, EC, Ville St-Laurent, PQ, Canada; and R. Heroux and P. Vaillancourt   P8.9 Narrow streaks of "straight-line" wind damage: Do tornadoes or microbursts produce them?   Kevin R. Knupp, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL   P8.10 Laboratory Simulation of Downbursts   Taiichi Nagata, Keio Univ., Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and S. Obiand and S. Masuda   P8.11 Severe local windstorm associated with the record-breaking 10 November 1998 mid-latitude cyclone   Augustine J. Iacopelli, WeatherData, Incorporated, Wichita, KS; and J. A. Knox
	5:00 PM-6:30 PM, Thursday Poster Session 9 Tornado and Severe Storm Warnings and Damage
P9.1 Evaluating warning verification statistics and methodologies for displaced real-time (DRT) scenarios   Andrew C. Wood, NOAA/NWS/OSF and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. M. Quoetone   P9.2 Damage and Radar Analysis of the Nashville, TN Tornado   Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX; and T. Troutman   P9.3 Using the Destruction Potential Index (DPI) to compare tornado outbreaks in 1998 and 1999   Michael D. Vescio, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. L. Thompson   P9.4 Wind tunnel tests of the stability of vehicles in severe winds   Thomas Schmidlin, Kent State Univ., Kent, OH; and B. Hammer, Y. Ono, L. S. Miller, G. Thumann, and P. King
	8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Thursday Video/Slide Presentation
Friday, 15 September 2000
	8:00 AM-11:40 AM, Friday Joint Session 1 Advances in Weather Radar Support for Severe Local Storms Research and Aviation (Joint between Ninth Aviation Conference and 20th Severe Local Storms Conference)
Organizers: Robert E. Saffle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; Steve Shema, FAA, Washington, DC
8:00 AM J1.1 NEXRAD Open Systems–Progress and Plans   Robert E. Saffle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and L. D. Johnson 8:20 AM J1.2 The NEXRAD enhancements product development team: A Program Update   J. William Conway, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK 8:40 AM J1.3 Continued progress in the development of the WSR-88D OPUP   K. Hondl, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and E. Ciardi 9:00 AM J1.4 Progress in the Use of Weather data from Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Radars in combination with the WSR-88D   Robert E. Saffle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Istok, S. Shema, S. M. Holt, and L. D. Johnson 9:20 AM J1.5 The THOR Project Improved thunderstorm forecasts for aviation and the general public   Stephan B. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD 9:40 AM J1.6 The utility of the TDWR data in weather forecast offices   J. T. Johnson, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and D. J. Miller, M. D. Eilts, and R. E. Saffle 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:20 AM J1.7 Operational Experience with Weather Products Generated through Joint Use of FAA and NWS Weather Radar Sensors   James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA 10:40 AM J1.8 FAA Weather Processors use the WSR-88D Data to improve Air Traffic Control Operations   Kevin Young, FAA, Washington, DC; and J. Peyrebrune and T. Lehane 11:00 AM J1.9 FAA’s Weather and Radar Processor (WARP) Convective Storm Demonstration   Benn Deans, FAA, Washington, DC; and T. Hicks, R. Graff, and S. Walden 11:20 AM J1.10 FAA Surveillance Radar Data as a complement to the WSR-88D network   Mark E. Weber, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA J1.11 The FAA's Medium Intensity Airport Weather System (MIAWS)   Steve Shema, FAA, Washington, DC; and B. Bumgarner and G. Rappa
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Friday Session 13 Joseph G. Galway Session On Severe Storms Forecasting (Parallel with Joint Session J2)
Organizers: Charles A. Doswell, III, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Edward J. Szoke, NOAA, Boulder, CO
8:00 AM 13.1 RUC-2 Supercell Proximity Soundings, Part I: An Examination of Storm-Relative Winds Normalized to Supercell Depth   Richard L. Thompson, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Edwards 8:15 AM 13.2 RUC-2 Supercell Proximity Soundings, Part II: An Independent Assessment of Supercell Forecast Parameters   Roger Edwards, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. L. Thompson 8:30 AM 13.3 Development of an index of storminess as a proxy for dry season severe weather in Florida and its relationship with ENSO   Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL 8:45 AM 13.4 An assessment of Rapid Update Cycle short-range forecast fields related to convective development   Barry Schwartz, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. J. Weiss and S. G. Benjamin 9:00 AM 13.5 Properties of the convection scheme in NCEP's Eta Model that affect forecast sounding analysis   Michael E. Baldwin, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and M. P. Kay and J. S. Kain 9:15 AM 13.6 Parameterized updraft mass flux as a predictor of convective intensity   John S. Kain, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS, Norman, OK; and M. E. Baldwin 9:30 AM 13.7 Northeast severe weather distribution as a function of flow regime   Alicia C. Cacciola, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, S. F. Honikman, T. J. Galarneau, K. D. LaPenta, and J. S. Quinlan 9:45 AM 13.8 Documentation of high based thunderstorms developing on a boundary which became tornadic   Stephen Hodanish, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO
	10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Friday Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Friday Session 14 Flash Floods, Heavy Rain Events, And Hailstorms (Parallel with Joint Session J2)
Organizers: Tracy Lorraine Smith, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; Catherine A. Finley, Univ. of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO
10:30 AM 14.1 The Redbank Creek Flash Flood of 19 July 1996   Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA 10:45 AM 14.2 Examination of a Training Cold Season Heavy Rain Event Over the Ohio River Valley   James T. Moore, Saint Louis Univ., St. Louis, MO; and J. P. Gagan 11:00 AM 14.3 Impact of improved initialization of mesoscale boundaries on heavy rainfall forecasts in 10 km Eta simulations   William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and M. Segal and S. Aves 11:15 AM 14.4 Importance of cold pools and associated outflows to the evolution of a convective outbreak in northeastern Spain   Romualdo Romero, NOAA/ERL/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. A. Doswell 11:30 AM 14.5 Development of a Radar-based Hail-Detection-Product   Iwan Holleman, KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands; and H. R. A. Wessels, J. R. A. Onvlee, and S. J. M. Barlag 11:45 AM 14.6 Multiple Bounded Weak Echo Regions in the 16 July 1996 Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, Hailstorm Supercell   Patrick J. McCarthy, MSC, Winnipeg, MB, Canada; and A. Erfani and D. Patrick
	12:00 PM, Friday Lunch Break
	1:00 PM-1:20 PM, Friday Daily Weather Briefing
	1:30 PM-3:10 PM, Friday Joint Session 2 Thunderstorm Impacts (Joint Session between Ninth Conference on Aviation, Range, & Aerospace Meteorology and the 20th Conference on Severe Local Storms)
Organizer: Kevin Knupp, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
1:30 PM J2.1 Evaluation of the NCAR Thunderstorm Auto-Nowcast System   Cynthia K. Mueller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Saxen, R. Roberts, and J. Wilson 1:50 PM J2.2 Exploring the Possibility of a Low Altitude Gravity Wave Encounter as the Cause of a General Aviation Accident near Norman Oklahoma on December 6, 1998   David W. Miller, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Dallas Field Site, Dallas, TX 2:10 PM J2.3 Global thunderstorm guidance forecasts from the AVN Model from the VVSTORM Algorithm   Donald W. McCann, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO 2:30 PM J2.4 Use of a new Thunderstorm Potential Index for 12-hour forecasts using mesoscale model data   David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and G. Brooks 2:50 PM J2.5 Ensemble Cloud Model Applications to Thunderstorm Forecasting   Kimberly L. Elmore, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and K. C. Crawford
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Friday Session 15 Mesoscale And Synoptic-Scale Processes And Severe Convection I
Organizers: Henry E. Fuelberg, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; William A. Gallus, Jr., Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA
1:30 PM 15.1 Topographic and synoptic influences on cold season California severe weather: regional patterns in convective storms   Jeffrey N. Brown, California State Univ., Northridge, CA; and S. LaDochy 1:45 PM 15.2 The role of synoptic patterns and temperature and moisture distribution in determining the locations of strong and violent tornado episodes in the north central United States: a preliminary examination   Robert H. Johns, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and C. Broyles, D. Eastlack, H. Guerrero, and K. Harding 2:00 PM 15.3 Eta model forecasts of return moisture flow   Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. E. Mitchell and S. J. Weiss 2:15 PM 15.4 A potential vorticity streamer and its role in the development of a week-long series of mesoscale convective systems, part II: mesoanalysis of a prominent storm in the series   Fernando Caracena, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and A. Marroquin and E. I. Tollerud 2:30 PM 15.5 Representation of the 12–14 March 1993 "Storm of the Century" in a high resolution and dynamically adjusted version of the ECHAM4 General Circulation Model   Hans-Stefan Bauer, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany; and L. Bengtsson 2:45 PM 15.6 Impact of Graupel on the Structure and Bulk Microphysical Aspects of a Vigorous Narrow Cold-Frontal Rainband in 3-D Simulation Experiments   Robert E. Schlesinger, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
	3:00 PM, Friday Coffee Break
	3:30 PM-4:30 PM, Friday Session 16 Tornado And Severe-Storm Environments
Organizers: Gregory J. Stumpf, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; John P. Monteverdi, San Francisco State Univ., San Francisco, CA
3:30 PM 16.1 Forecasting Synoptic and Mesoscale Environments for Tornadoes and Derechos in the Northeast United States   Sheryl F. Honikman, SUNY, Albany, NY; and A. C. Cacciola, T. J. Galarneau, L. F. Bosart, and K. D. LaPenta 3:45 PM 16.2 The role of mid-level dry intrusions in tornadogenesis associated with landfalling tropical cyclones in the western Gulf of Mexico   Lon Curtis, KWTX-TV, Waco, TX 4:00 PM 16.3 Convective and shear parameters associated with northern and central California tornadoes during the period 1990–1994   Gary S. Lipari, San Francisco State Univ., San Francisco, CA; and J. P. Monteverdi 4:15 PM 16.4 Shear parameter thresholds for forecasting California tornadic thunderstorms   John P. Monteverdi, San Francisco State Univ., San Francisco, CA; and C. A. Doswell and G. S. Lipari
	4:30 PM, Friday Oral Sessions End for the Day
	4:30 PM-6:30 PM, Friday Poster Session 10 Hail And Hailstorms
P10.1 An example of a left-split supercell producing 5-inch hail: The Big Spring, Texas Storm of 10 May 1996   George N. Mathews, NOAA/NWS, Midland, TX; and T. J. Turnage   P10.2 A series of thunderstorm activities: environmental conditions and storm track analysis   Jing-Shan Hong, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. M. Deng P10.3 Vertically integrated liquid density as an indicator of hail size   Mark A. Rose, NOAA/NWSFO, Nashville, TN; and T. W. Troutman   P10.4 The use of the Storm-Structure-Severity method for improved hailfall estimation in South Africa   Petrus J. M. Visser, METSYS, South African Weather Bureau, Bethlehem, South Africa
	4:30 PM-6:30 PM, Friday Poster Session 11 Flash Floods And Heavy Rain Events
P11.1 Sensitivity of a flash flood simulation to convective and boundary layer parameterization schemes   Ahsha N. Tribble, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud   P11.2 The 21 June 1997 flood: storm scale simulations and implications for operational forecasting   Paul J. Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and J. Eise   P11.3 Meteorological and hydrological precursors to widespread flash flooding across southeast Ohio on 26–28 June 1998   Josh Korotky, NOAA/NWSFO, Coraopolis, PA   P11.4 The 19 July 1996 Monongalia county west virginia flash flood: an insight to how future warnings may be even more precise   Joseph M. Palko, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA; and L. A. Giordano and R. S. Davis
	4:30 PM-6:30 PM, Friday Poster Session 12 Severe Storms Forecasting
P12.1 The Supercell Composite Parameter (SCP)   John Hart, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK   P12.2 A severe weather threats checklist to determine the Pre-storm environment   Timothy W. Troutman, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and D. B. Elson and M. A. Rose   P12.3 A preliminary look at deep layer shear and middle level lapse rates associated with major tornado outbreaks   Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK   P12.4 A Comparison of Rapid Update Cycle (RUC-2) Model Soundings with Observed Soundings in Supercell Environments (Also to be presented in an oral session, Paper 2.6A)   Richard L. Thompson, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Edwards   P12.5 Some remarkable supercell simulations from a quasi-operational local-scale model: skill or "shear" luck?   Edward J. Szoke, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and A. Marroquin   P12.6 Transition Severe Convective Events over South-Central Arizona   G. Douglas Green, NOAA/NWS, Phoenix, AZ   P12.7 Forecasting severe weather along the Mogollon Rim Convergence Zone   David O. Blanchard, NOAA/NWS, Flagstaff, AZ   P12.8 Short-term forecasting of tornadic environments in the complex terrain of western North Carolina   Harry Gerapetritis, NOAA/NWS, Greer, SC   P12.9 The Role of Stratospheric Air in a Severe Weather Event: Analyses of PV and Total Ozone   Melissa A. Goering, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus, M. A. Olsen, and J. L. Stanford   P12.10 Nowcasting Convective Initation with the Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI)   Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI   P12.11 Comparing two methods for wind analysis: Numerical simulations of a severe convective event   Phillip L. Spencer, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and J. M. Fritsch   P12.12 The 09 December 1999 thundersnow event in west Texas   Patrick S. Market, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and C. E. Halcomb   P12.13 Utilizing the NSSL Next Generation Warning Decision Support System in real-time warning operations at the Jackson, Mississippi National weather service (Formerly Paper 9.2)   Alan E. Gerard, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS; and J. W. Conway
	8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Friday Video/Slide Presentation
Saturday, 16 September 2000
	8:00 AM-9:43 AM, Saturday Session 17 Severe storm numerical modeling
Organizers: David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Yvette P. Richardson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
17.1 Sensitivity of modelled cyclic mesocyclogenesis to microphysics parameterizations   Robert W. Carver, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. M. Straka 8:00 AM 17.1A The role of low-level shear, mid-level shear, and buoyancy in the intensity of modelled low-level mesocyclones (Formerly Paper P6.15)   Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. W. Carver 17.2 A numerical simulation of cyclic tornadogenesis   Edwin J. Adlerman, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. K. Droegemeier 8:14 AM 17.3 THE SENSITIVITY OF SIMULATED STORM STRUCTURE AND INTENSITY TO THE LIFTED CONDENSATION LEVEL AND THE LEVEL OF FREE CONVECTION   Eugene W. McCaul Jr., USRA, Huntsville, AL; and C. Cohen 8:28 AM 17.4 The Influence of Horizontal Variations in Vertical Shear and Low-Level Moisture on Numerically Simulated Convective Storms   Yvette P. Richardson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. K. Droegemeier and R. P. Davies-Jones 8:43 AM 17.5 Numerical simulation of an HP supercell—bow echo transition   C. A. Finley, Univ. of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and W. R. Cotton and R. A. Pielke 8:58 AM 17.6 Numerical Simulation of a Mini-Supercell over Kanto Plain on 19 September 1990   Hiroshi Niino, Ocean Research Institute, Univ. of Tokyo, Nakano, Tokyo, Japan; and A. Noda 9:13 AM 17.7 Differences in evolution of multiple storms in 8 June 1995 simulation   Brian J. Gaudet, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton 9:28 AM 17.8 A numerical simulation of precipitation enhancement as a result of storm-storm interactions   Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton
	10:00 AM, Saturday Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Saturday Session 18 Mesoscale And Synoptic Scale Processes And Severe Convection II
Organizers: Nolan T. Atkins, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; Harald Richter, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
10:30 AM 18.1 An analysis of low-level moisture flux convergence prior to the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City tornadoes   Ralph A. Petersen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. F. Feltz, J. Schaefer, and R. Schneider 10:45 AM 18.2 The role of storm/boundary anchoring in the development of supercells in high bulk richardson number environments   Adam L. Houston, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson 11:00 AM 18.3 The suppression of deep moist convection near the southern plains dryline   Harald Richter, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. F. Bosart 11:15 AM 18.4 Airborne Doppler analysis of a dryline-outflow boundary intersection and subsequent convection   Christopher C. Weiss, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein 11:30 AM 18.5 The vertical distribution of humidity: a crucial factor in the organization of convection   George H. Bryan, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. M. Fritsch 11:45 AM 18.6 The evolution of two tornadic supercells into an intense bow echo over southwest Nebraska and northwest Kansas   Eric Martello, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS
	12:00 PM, Saturday Conference Ends

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