1 Second Symposium on Environmental Applications

« Collapse View
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Sunday, 9 January 2000

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 9 January 2000


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 9 January 2000


Conference Registration

7:00 PM-8:30 PM: Sunday, 9 January 2000


1
Welcome Reception

Monday, 10 January 2000

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

8:30 AM-3:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


Session 1
Natural hazard mitigation strategies
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: William H. Hooke, NOAA/OAR
8:30 AM
1.1
Mitigation of Natural Disasters: WMO's Contributions to Societal Needs in the New Millennium
Godwin O. P. Obasi, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland

9:00 AM
1.2
Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: Hurricanes
Jerry D. Jarrell, NOAA/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL

9:15 AM
1.3
Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: Hurricanes
Lacy Suiter, FEMA, Washington, DC

9:30 AM
1.4
Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: The Oklahoma Tornado of 3 May 1999. Part 1: The Historical Foundation
Kenneth C. Crawford, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. A. Morris

9:45 AM
1.5
Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: The Oklahoma Tornado of 3 May 1999. Part 2: Rural Applications of Modern Weather Information During a Disaster
Dale A. Morris, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Honigsberg, J. Lewis, and B. Springfield

10:00 AM
1.6
Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: Seasonal/Interannual
Ants Leetmaa, NOAA, Washington, DC

10:15 AM
1.7
Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: Seasonal/Interannual
Richard Andrews, EQE International, Oakland, CA

10:30 AM
1.8
Panel Discussion: Trends in Hazard Mitigation. Robert Ryan, WRC-TV (Changing Private Sector Roles), Brent Woodworth, IBM Corp. (Business Recovery Systems), and Nancy Maynard, NASA (Links to Climate Change)

11:30 AM
1.9
OK-FIRST: An Innovative Information-Support System for Public-Safety Agencies
Dale A. Morris, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. C. Crawford, H. L. Johnson, R. A. McPherson, M. A. Shafer, and J. M. Wolfinbarger

11:45 AM
1.10
Applying Environmental Data to Aid Decision Making During Hazardous Weather Events
Kevin A. Kloesel, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. C. Crawford, R. A. McPherson, D. A. Morris, R. Jesuroga, and C. Subramaniam

12:00 PM
1.11
An independent evaluation of the OK-FIRST decision-support system
Thomas E. James, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. O. Long and M. A. Shafer

12:15 PM
1.12
Midwestern Ice Storms: Frequency, Amounts, and Associated Weather
James R. Angel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and R. Fisher

12:30 PM
1.13
Distance criteria for safe operations when lightning is present
Tamara L. Parsons, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright Patterson AFB, OH; and G. R. Huffines and C. C. Cox

12:45 PM
1.5A
Coffee Break

1:15 PM
1.8A
Lunch Break

2:45 PM
1.13A
Coffee Break

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


Session 2
Development and Applications of Warning Systems to Protect Human Health
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizers: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware; Robert Livezey, NOAA/NCEP
3:30 PM
2.1
Climate Change: Vulnerability, Adaptation and Human Health
Rosina M. Bierbaum, Office of Science and Technology Policy, Washington, DC

4:00 PM
2.2
Evaluation of heat/health watch-warning systems: implications for practical development and application
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. S. Kalkstein

4:15 PM
2.3
Observed Trends in Summertime Extreme Heat Events in the U.S. and China
Dian J. Gaffen, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Ross and J. X. L. Wang

4:30 PM
2.4
The Showcase Projects on Heat/Health Warning Systems: International Collaboration Within the Climate Agenda
Paul D. Llanso, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland; and L. S. Kalkstein and S. C. Sheridan

4:45 PM
2.5
Philadelphia action plan to mitigate heat related death and illness
Lawrence Robinson, Philadelphia Dept. of Public Health, Philadelphia, PA; and J. H. Libby

5:00 PM
2.6
What really happened in Chicago in July, 1995?
Steven S. Whitman, Chicago Dept. of Public Health, Chicago, IL; and G. D. Good and N. D. Benbow

5:15 PM
2.7
Estimating wet bulb globe temperature using standard meteorological measurements
Charles H. Hunter, Westinghouse Savannah River Co., Aiken, SC; and C. O. Minyard

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 January 2000


1
Sessions end for the day

Tuesday, 11 January 2000

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

8:00 AM-10:29 AM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Session 3
Human Health: Use of Environmental Data and Information for Societal Needs
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizers: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware; Joel Scheraga, EPA
8:00 AM
3.1
Integrating assessment of human health and ecosystem health
Joel D. Scheraga, EPA, Washington, DC; and A. E. Grambsch

3.2
Title to be determined

8:30 AM
3.3
Predicting Hantaviral Disease Outbreaks in Southwestern United States
Gregory E. Glass, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD

8:45 AM
3.4
Climate Tools For Public Health: A Synthesis Of Enso Experiment Research Findings
Juli Trtanj, NOAA, Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD

9:00 AM
3.5
Using Environmental Information to Improve Air Quality
Darrell A. Winner, EPA, Washington, DC

9:15 AM
3.6
A Year-Round Comfort Index That Incorporates Multiple Meteorological Parameters
Daniel Kottlowski, AccuWeather, Inc., State College, PA; and M. A. Steinberg

9:30 AM
3.7
The New Summer Simmer Index - A Comfort Index for the New Millennium
John W. Pepi, Maynard, MA

9:45 AM
3.2A
A Physiologically-based Framework to Evaluate Possible Risk Factors for Heat-Related Illnesses
Kristie L. Ebi, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; and N. Y. Chan, M. T. Stacey, and T. F. Wilson

10:00 AM
3.7A
Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 10:00 A.M.-2:15 P.M.)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Session 4
Special President's Session on Environmental Applications
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: George Frederick, Radian Corporation
10:30 AM
4.1
Emerging Environmental Issues: A Global Perspective (Walter Orr Roberts Award Lecture)
R. E. Munn, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

11:15 AM
4.2
Meteorology and the Environment - The WMO Perspective
John W. Zillman, President, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland

12:15 PM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


1
Conference Luncheon. Speaker: D. James Baker, Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere, Administrator for NOAA, Sliver Spring, MD

2:15 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


Session 5
Ecosystem and natural resource management
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: David Matthews, DOI/U. S. Bureau of Reclamation
2:15 PM
5.1
Decision support systems for river system management in the Colorado and Rio Grande Basins
Terry Fulp, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and S. Hansen, D. King, and D. Matthews

2:30 PM
5.2
The Modular Modeling System (MMS)—The Physical Process Modeling Component of a Database-Centered Decision Support System for Water and Ecosystem Management
George H. Leavesley, U.S. Geological Survey, Denver, CO; and S. L. Markstrom and R. J. Viger

2:45 PM
5.3
Agricultural Water Resources Decision Support System
Curtis L. Hartzell, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and L. A. Brower, R. W. Stodt, and S. P. Meyer

3:00 PM
5.4
Evapotranspiration Toolbox for the Upper Rio Grande Water Operations Model
L. Albert Brower, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and C. L. Hartzell and S. P. Meyer

3:15 PM
5.5
Ecosystem management in the Upper Colorado basin: can climate information help provide water for ecosystems?
Andrea J Ray, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO

3:30 PM
5.6
Air and water quality modeling system: application to the Los Angeles metropolitan area
Michael Brown, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and S. Burian, T. McPherson, G. Streit, K. Costigan, and J. Turin

3:45 PM
5.7
A Proposed Solar-Terrestrial Coupling Mechanism for Inducing Weekly to Monthly Synoptic Changes and Decadal Climate Variations
Alfred M. Powell Jr., Autometric Inc., Springfield, VA; and P. A. Zuzolo

4:00 PM
5.8
The Effects of Daily and Interannual Climate Variability on Peanut Crop Production in Córdoba, Argentina
Marta G. Vinocur, Univ. of Rio Cuarto, Rio Cuarto, Cordoba, Argentina; and L. O. Mearns

4:15 PM
5.9
Spatial variation in growing season heat sums within northern hardwood forest canopy gaps
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and P. J. Croft

4:30 PM
5.10
Analysis and Modeling of Morro Bay, Califorina
Zhen-Gang Ji, Tetra Tech, Inc., Fairfax, VA; and M. R. Morton

4:45 PM
5.11
Satellite Analysis of Gulf Coast Atmospheric Moisture and Tropospheric Aerosols
Paul J. Croft, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS

5:00 PM
5.5A
Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 3:30-7:00 P.M.)

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 January 2000


1
Sessions end for the Day

Wednesday, 12 January 2000

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

8:15 AM-4:29 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


Session 6
Economic & Societal Impacts of Wx
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: R. Nick Keener, Duke Energy Corp.
8:15 AM
6.1
Prediction in Atmospheric Sciences
Roger A. Pielke Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO

9:00 AM
6.2
A twentieth century history of flooding in the U.S. and what the future might hold
Frank Richards, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

9:30 AM
6.3
Convective storms and their impact
Joseph T. Schaefer, NOAA/NWS/Storms Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks

10:00 AM
6.4
Using long range seasonal forecasts to improve prediction of Oklahoma wheat yield
Rebecca House, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Greene, E. Cook, and E. Maxwell

10:30 AM
6.5
Impacts of Weather on Emergency Management Agencies
Armond T. Mascelli, American Red Cross National Headquarters, Falls Church, VA

11:00 AM
6.6
Seasonal climate forecasts and their value to society
David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and S. A. Changnon Jr.

11:15 AM
6.7
Assessing the Hail Risk to Crops and Property in the United States
Stanley A. Changnon Jr., Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL

11:30 AM
6.8
Financial and operational implications of weather forecasts at an airline
Warren L. Qualley, American Airlines, Inc., Ft. Worth, TX

6.9
Impact of Weather on the Retail and Manufacturing Sectors

12:00 PM
6.10
New technologies for demonstrating environmental science impacts to society
Phillip A. Zuzolo, Autometric Incorporated, Springfield, VA; and A. M. Powell Jr.

12:15 PM
6.11
Early detection and warning of cloud-to-ground lightning at a point of interest
Martin J. Murphy, Global Atmospherics, Inc., Tucson, AZ; and K. L. Cummins

12:30 PM
6.12
Panel Discussion-The Widening Role of Private Sector Weather Services in Supporting the Needs of Industry and Society
William S. Weaving, Strategic Weather Services, Inc., Wayne, PA; and J. Myers, A. Eustis, P. Leavitt, and T. Anderson

2:00 PM
6.3A
Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 10:00 A.M.-1:30 P.M.)

2:30 PM
6.7A
Lunch Break

4:00 PM
6.11A
Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 3:00-7:30 pm)

2:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


Session 7
Transportation [Including meteorological aspects of the Intelligent Transportation System (ITS)] (Parallel with Session 6)
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Douglas Jonas, Matrix Management Corp.
2:00 PM
7.1
The DoT ITS Program
Christine Johnson, DOT, Washington, DC

2:30 PM
7.2
Delivering surface transportation weather information: Borrowing from aviation weather experience
Gary G. Nelson, Mitretek Systems, Inc., Washington, DC; and R. A. Wagoner

2:45 PM
7.3
Development of Surface Transportation Weather Decision Support Requirements
Gary G. Nelson, Mitretek Systems, Washington, DC; and S. M. Holt and P. Pisano

3:00 PM
7.4
The social and economic impact of weather information: a case study of surface transportation industries
Christopher R. Adams, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. J. Berri

3:15 PM
7.5
Societal value of improved precipitation forecasts: A case study in surface transportation
Thomas R. Stewart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. Nath, R. A. Pielke Jr., and M. W. Downton

3:30 PM
7.6
Contribution to a baseline understanding of the impact of weather on airline carrier operations
Thomas A. Seliga, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and J. A. Shorter

3:45 PM
7.7
Challenges and opportunities for using weather information to support transportation
Michael A. Rossetti, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and Thomas A Seliga, Volpe National Transportation System Center, Cambridge, MA and Basav Sen, Volpe National Transportation System Center, Cambridge, MA

4:00 PM
7.3A
Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 3:00-7:30 P.M.)

5:00 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


Sessions end for the day

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 January 2000


AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Thursday, 13 January 2000

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Thursday, 13 January 2000


Session 8A
Special Session
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
8:30 AM
8A.1
Cooperation Between WMO and Environmental Actors
Michel Jarraud, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 13 January 2000


Session 8
Applied Climatology
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: David Easterling, NOAA/NCDC
9:00 AM
8.1
Modern Climatic Data Applications
Michael Crowe, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. R. Karl

9:30 AM
8.2
Development of Regional Abnormality Climate Indices for Southern Quebec, Canada
Alain Bourque, Environment Canada, Montreal, PQ, Canada

9:45 AM
8.3
The National Climate Extremes Committee
Andrew Horvitz, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Leffler, M. Changery, and G. Taylor

10:00 AM
8.4
Applications for the NOAAPort Data Archive and Retrieval System (NDARS) at the National Climatic Data Center
Glenn K. Rutledge, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and A. Stanley, E. Page, L. Spayd, and J. Brundage

10:15 AM
8.5
Exploring the Use of Geographic Information System technology for quality control and climatological analysis of radar and rain gage data
Claude E. Duchon, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. J. Menne

10:30 AM
8.3A
Coffee Break

9:00 AM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000


1
Exhibit Hours

10:30 AM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000


Session 9
Insurance
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Lee Branscome, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc.
10:30 AM
9.1
Extreme Weather Events and the Insurance Industry: Opportunities and Challenges for the Atmospheric Sciences Community
John L. Keller, Applied Insurance Research, Inc., Boston, MA

11:00 AM
9.2
Climate Science and Insurance Risk: Making Academia-Industry Partnerships that Work
Anthony F. Michaels, Univ. of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Close

11:30 AM
9.3
Regional climate variability & management of long-term weather risk
Lee E. Branscome, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Palm Beach Gardens, FL

11:45 AM
9.4
Climatological risk of strong and violent tornadoes in the United States
Peggy R. Concannon, Northern Illinois Univ., Dekalb, IL; and H. E. Brooks and C. A. Doswell III

12:00 PM
9.4A
Lunch Break

1:30 PM-4:45 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000


Session 10
Wx Derivatives
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Bob Dischel, WxPx.com
1:30 PM
10.1
The Challenge to Meteorologists in the Weather risk market
Bob Dischel, WxPx.com, New York, NY

2:00 PM
10.2
Reducing weather derivative risk
Aaron Studwell, Reliant Energy Wholesale Group, Houston, TX

2:15 PM
10.3
Weather Derivatives-Weather Impacts and the World of Finance
Jon B. Davis, Salomon Smith Barney, Chicago, IL

2:30 PM
10.4
Weather derivatives Data: Practical Considerations and Technical Solutions
David A. Portman, AER, Cambridge, MA

2:45 PM
10.5
Developing and Tracking climate indices for the weather derivatives market
Michael Crowe, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. R. Karl

3:00 PM
10.6
Worldwide weather, water and climate data: the key drivers in past and future derivatives trading
Susan Zevin, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. C. Eustis

3:15 PM
10.7
Development of standardized data sets for weather derivatives
Richard J. Murnane, Bermuda Biological Station for Research, St. George's, Bermuda

3:30 PM
10.8
Weather Derivatives Pricing and the Market Forecast
Kevin D. Green, Castlebridge Weather Markets, Chicago, IL

3:45 PM
10.9
Panel Discussion: Critical Issues in the Weather Market
Bob Dischel, WxPx, New York, NY

4:00 PM
10.4A
Coffee Break

4:15 PM-4:15 PM: Thursday, 13 January 2000


1
Sessions end for the day

Friday, 14 January 2000

Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Friday, 14 January 2000


Session 11
Energy use and design
Host: Second Symposium on Environmental Applications
Organizer: Robert Swanson, Climatological Consulting Corporation
8:30 AM
11.1
Future Electric Energy Sources and Production in the U.S
C. McGowian, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA

8:45 AM
11.2
The Use of Meteorological Information In Support of 21st Century Environmental Applications to Nuclear Energy
Carl A. Mazzola, Stone & Webster Engineering Corporation, Evans, GA

9:00 AM
11.3
Renewable Energy: The Status of Wind Energy at the Beginning of the New Decade
Edward F. McCarthy, Wind Economics & Technology, Inc., Martinez, CA

9:15 AM
11.4
Advances in Hydrologic Forecasting and their Impact on Water Management
Larry E. Brazil, Riverside Technology, Inc., Fort Collins, CO; and G. N. Day and D. J. Epstein

9:30 AM
11.5
Surface solar energy and meteorological data available for renewable energy use
John O. Olson, Computer Sciences Corporation, Hampton, VA; and C. Whitlock, A. Carlson, N. A. Ritchey, D. Brown, and W. Chandler

9:45 AM
11.6
A dynamical-statistical atmospheric modeling system designed to simulate wind-generated power production rates
John W. Zack, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and K. T. Waight, G. E. Van Knowe, and M. D. Bousquet

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Friday, 14 January 2000


1
Symposium ends
« Collapse View