Session 3 Forecasting Climate Variability

Tuesday, 16 January 2001: 8:00 AM-5:30 PM
Host: Climate Variability, the Oceans, and Societal Impacts
Organizer:
Ants Leetmaa, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD

Papers:
8:00 AM
3.1
8:30 AM
3.3
ENSO—Past, Present, and Future
Mark Cane, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY

9:00 AM
3.4
IRI/NCEP/Applied Research Center Collaborative Projects in Seasonal Prediction
Steve Zebiak, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY

9:30 AM
3.5
10:00 AM
3.6
Spring 2000 Drought Forecast
Ants Leetmaa, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and D. Lecomte, M. Kanamitsu, and H. Vandendool

10:15 AM
3.7
ECPC’s Weekly to Seasonal Global Forecasts
John O. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA

10:30 AM
3.8
An empirical-dynamical extended range forecast model incorporating tropical diabatic forcing
Christopher R. Winkler, NOAA/CDC and CIRES/Univ. of Boulder, Boulder, CO; and M. Newman and P. D. Sardeshmukh

10:45 AM
3.9
NOAA's Extended-Range Atlantic Hurricane Outlooks
Gerald Bell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Chelliah, C. W. Landsea, S. Goldenberg, L. A. Avila, and R. Pasch

11:00 AM
3.10
Tropical Cyclones and the Thermohaline Circulation
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

11:15 AM
3.11
Atlantic basin tropical storms—interannual variability and nonparametric simulation of tracks
Upmanu Lall, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and R. Balaji, K. Yochanan, and M. Jennifer

11:30 AM
3.12
Representation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: a tough test for a coupled model
Peter M. Inness, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and J. M. Slingo

11:45 AM
3.13
NWS/NOAA climate prediction services: evolution and new directions
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

12:15 PM
3.15
African drought monitoring and estimation of Malaria vulnerability
Mathew A. Barlow, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY; and B. L. Lyon and C. B. Ropelewski

12:30 PM
3.16
Improving the interactions between users and producers of climate forecasts
Neville Nicholls, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and T. Kestin and G. Hammer

1:00 PM
3.18
1:15 PM
3.5A
Coffee Break

1:45 PM
3.12A
Conference Luncheon

3:45 PM
3.12B
Intermission

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner