Session 12B Tropical cyclone track forecasting I (Parallel with Sessions 12A and 12C)

Friday, 26 May 2000: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
Host: 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer:
Les Carr, NPS, Monterey, CA

Papers:
8:00 AM
12B.1
Evaluation of Dynamical Track Predictions for Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific: Extensions to Other Years and Dynamical Models
George M. Dunnavan, NPS, Monterey, CA; and L. E. Carr III, R. L. Elsberry, and M. A. Boothe

8:30 AM
12B.3
Performance of the Typhoon Forecast System of the Central Weather Bureau in Taiwan
K.-N. Huang, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. C. Yeh, D. S. Chen, and M. S. Peng

8:45 AM
12B.4
A review of the UK Met. Office global model tropical cyclone forecasting performance 1990–2000
Julian T. Heming, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom

9:00 AM
12B.5
Evaluation of dynamical track predictions for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic during 1995–98
David S. Brown, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. A. Boothe, L. E. Carr III, and R. L. Elsberry

9:15 AM
12B.6
Comparison of the performance of the GFDL hurricane model, using the AVN, UKMET and NOGAPS analysis
Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and J. T. Heming and R. Stocker

9:30 AM
12B.7
An Analysis of the Track and Intensity Errors of Operational Global and Regional Models
Timothy P. Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, NWS/NCEP, and SAIC, Princeton, NJ; and R. E. Tuleya and S. J. Lord

9:45 AM
12B.8
Geographic distribution of hurricane model track forecast errors
Jeremy T. Pennington, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

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