Session 13B Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting II (Parallel with Sessions 13A and 13C)

Friday, 26 May 2000: 10:30 AM-11:59 AM
Host: 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Organizer:
Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ

Papers:
10:30 AM
13B.1
An Initialization Scheme for a Hurricane Prediction System
Houjun Wang, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank

13B.2
Initialization of a hurricane vortex

10:45 AM
13B.3
PV diagnostics of the impact of model initialization on the performance of a typhoon prediction system
Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. S. Huang, K. N. Huang, and T. C. Yeh

11:00 AM
13B.4
Two initialisation (bogussing) techniques used at Meteo-France to improve tropical cyclone tracks forecasting
Isabelle Soulan, Météo-France, Université de La Réunion, Sainte Clotilde, Réunion, France; and J. M. Willemet, M. Bessafi, and R. El Khatib

11:15 AM
13B.5
Regionally bred modes and ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone motion
Kevin K. W. Cheung, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China

11:30 AM
13B.6
Quantifying tropical cyclone track forecast uncertainty using an ensemble of dynamical models
James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA

11:45 AM
13B.7
Applying clustering and ensemble prediction concepts to consensus Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting
Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA; and L. E. Carr III

13B.8
Multi-model superensemble forecasts: Part II. Hurricane prediction

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