Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice

Program Chairs: Rebecca Adams-Selin , AER ; Kandis Boyd , OAR

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Sunday, 12 January 2020

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4:00 PM-6:30 PM: Sunday, 12 January 2020


Presidential Forum, Annual Meeting Welcome, Annual Review and Awards Ceremony
Location: Ballroom East (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Monday, 13 January 2020

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8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 13 January 2020

Recording files available
Session 1
Model Center Progress and Future Vision
Location: 258B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice
Cochairs: Kandis Boyd, OAR; Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS
8:30 AM
1.1
ECMWF: 2019–20 Update and Our Vision for the Future of Forecasting and Model Development
Jennifer M. A. Rourke, ECMWF, Reading, UK
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
1.2
USAF Weather Modeling: Status Update and Future Plans for New and Enhanced Model Capabilities
Michael Farrar, U.S. Air Force, Washington, DC
Recorded Presentation

Handout (738.9 kB)

9:00 AM
1.3
Leveraging Community Modeling in NOAA to Advance Operational Environmental Prediction
Brian Gross, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
1.4
Overview of the Navy Coupled Atmospheric and Ocean Modeling Systems
William Burnett, NOAA/NDBC, Stennis Space Center, MS
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
1.5
Current Status and Vision of Future Met Office NWP Capabilities
Dale Barker, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 13 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Monday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Panel Discussion: Transitions from Research to Operations, Operations to Research, and Operations to Practice (Centennial)
Location: 258B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; and the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )
Chair: Rebecca Adams-Selin, AER
Moderator: Kandis Boyd, OAR
Panelists: Louisa B. Nance, NCAR; Patrick Harr, Jupiter Intelligence; John S. Kain, NOAA; Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma; Evan Kuchera, 557th Weather Wing; Laura Myers, Center for Advanced Public Safety. The Univ. of Alabama
PD1.1
The Weather Enterprise Wants to Know How to Improve Protective Action
Laura Myers, Center for Advanced Public Safety, Univ. of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL

PD1.2
Improving the Decision Requires More than Improving the Forecast
Evan Kuchera, 557th Weather Wing, Offutt AFB, NE
Recorded Presentation

PD1.3
One Perspective on the Key Elements of Successful R2O and O2R within NOAA
John S. Kain, NOAA, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

10:30 AM
Transitioning the "Valley of Death" by Patrick Harr
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Lunch Break (Monday)

2:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Panel Discussion 2
NWA/AMS Ronald W. Przybylinski Research Operations Nexus (RON) Meetup
Location: 205C (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); and the 10th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )
Chair: Gregory J. Stumpf, CIRA/Colorado State University and NOAA/NWS/Meteorological Development Laboratory
CoChair: Rebecca Adams-Selin, AER
Facilitator: Gregory J. Stumpf, CIRA/Colorado State University and NOAA/NWS/Meteorological Development Laboratory

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Mon)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

6:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Exhibits Opening and Reception
Location: Hall A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Tuesday, 14 January 2020

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8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 3
Future Challenges in Weather Analysis and Forecasting (Centennial)
Location: 257AB (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice; the Eighth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Eighth AMS Conference for Early Career Professionals )
Moderators: Stephen Bieda III, NWSFO; Ryan A. Lagerquist, CIMMS
Panelists: Louis Uccellini, NOAA; Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia; Yvette Richardson, Pennsylvania State Univ.; Peter Neilley, The Weather Company, an IBM Business; Betty Davis, CIMMS; Neil A. Jacobs, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
8:30 AM
Centennial Panel Discussion
Stephen Bieda III, NWSFO, Amarillo, TX
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
Memorial for Bill Lapenta (Centennial)
Stephen Bieda III, NWSFO, Amarillo, TX
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Exhibit Hall (Tuesday)
Location: Hall A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Wednesday, 15 January 2020

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8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Panel Discussion 3
Development of Automated Forecasting Tools: Types and the Human Role in Their Design
Location: 258B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice
Moderators: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS; Robert Hoffman, Florida Institute of Human & Machine Cognition
Panelists: Gregory West, University of British Columbia; Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/GSD; Patrick Market, University of Missouri; Falko Judt, NCAR
Facilitators: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS; Robert Hoffman, Florida Institute of Human & Machine Cognition

9:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Exhibit Hall (Wed)
Location: Hall A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Wednesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Panel Discussion 4
The Evolving Role of the Human in Weather Prediction and Communication: Use of Automated Forecasting Tools versus Humans
Location: 258B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice
Moderators: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS; Robert Hoffman, Florida Institute of Human & Machine Cognition
Panelists: Gail Hartfield, NOAA/NWS; Bruce Telfeyan, 557 Weather Wing; Jeffrey Fries, 557 Weather Wing; Jerry Shields, 1st Weather Group (ACC)
Facilitators: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS; Robert Hoffman, Florida Institute of Human & Machine Cognition

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Lunch Break (Wednesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Panel Discussion 5
The Evolving Role of the Human in Weather Prediction and Communication: Training and Proficiency for Future Forecasting
Location: 258B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice
Moderators: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS; Robert Hoffman, Florida Institute of Human & Machine Cognition
Panelists: Gary Lackmann, North Carolina State University; Harold Brooks, Univ. of Oklahoma School of Meteorology; Paul Roebber, University of Wisconsin−Milwaukee; Teresa Bals-Elsholz, Valparaiso Univ.
Facilitators: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS; Robert Hoffman, Florida Institute of Human & Machine Cognition

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Wednesday)
Location: Boston Convention and Exhibition Center

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Panel Discussion 6
The Evolving Role of the Human in Weather Prediction and Communication: Envisioning the Future Forecast Process
Location: 258B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice
Moderators: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS; Robert Hoffman, Florida Institute of Human & Machine Cognition
Panelists: Daniel DePodwin, AccuWeather; Katie A. Wilson, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL; Elliot Abrams, AccuWeather Inc.; Holly Obermeier, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA Global Systems Division
Facilitators: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS; Robert Hoffman, Florida Institute of Human & Machine Cognition
Recording files available
Joint Session 51
Challenges in Communication and Decision Support throughout the Research-to-Operations Nexus
Location: 257AB (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP); the 10th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; and the Special Symposium on the Future of Weather, Forecasting, and Practice )
Chair: Gregory J. Stumpf, CIRA/Colorado State University and NOAA/NWS/Meteorological Development Laboratory
3:00 PM
J51.1
A Summary of the Research Operations Nexus (RON) Meetups at NWA and AMS
Gregory J. Stumpf, CIRA/Colorado State University and NOAA/NWS/Meteorological Development Laboratory, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

J51.2
Decision Support—What We Say and How We Say It Makes a Difference: A Look at Effective Communication toward Appropriate Partner Preparedness

3:15 PM
J51.2A
Decision Calendar for West Coast Water Management: Connecting Science and Interrelated Decisions for Water Supply, Flooding, Fisheries, and Coastal Management
Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/Earth System Research Lab, Boulder, CO; and L. E. Johnson
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
J51.3
Communicating Rip Current Risk with a Virtual Reality Video Game
Jase Bernhardt, Hofstra Univ., Hempstead, NY; and G. Dusek and A. Hesse
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
J51.4
Updates to the Winter Storm Severity Index for 2019/20
Joshua Kastman, NOAA/NWS, College Park, MD; CIRES, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Nelson Jr.
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Wed)
Location: Hall B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Exhibit Hall Networking Reception
Location: Hall A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
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