Poster Session 3B Forecasting Techniques: Verification of Severe Weather

Wednesday, 9 November 2016: 3:00 PM-4:30 PM
Broadway Rooms (Hilton Portland )
Host: 28th Conference on Severe Local Storms
Cochairs:
Jana B. Houser, Ohio Univ., Geography, Athens, OH and James Marquis, Univ. of Colorado, ATOC, Boulder, CO

Papers:
108
Verification and Analysis of Impact-Based Warnings: Assessing the Performance of Quantitative Hazard Forecasts in the Transition toward the FACETs Paradigm
C. A. M. Gerlach, NSSL, Norman, OK

109
Forecasting Tornadoes by Combining Climatological Frequencies with the NSSL-WRF Ensemble
Burkely T. Gallo, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, B. T. Smith, R. L. Thompson, I. L. Jirak, H. E. Brooks, and S. R. Dembek

110
Verification of Severe Weather Proxies from the NSSL-WRF for Hail Forecasting
Nathan A. Wendt, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak and C. J. Melick
Manuscript (5.9 MB)

Handout (4.2 MB)

111
A Multi-year Evaluation of NSSL-WRF Surrogate Severe Thunderstorm Forecasts
Nathan M. Hitchens, Ball State University, Muncie, IN; and R. A. Sobash and A. J. Clark

Handout (12.7 MB)

112
Mapping the Convective Watersheds: Assessing the Predictability of Convective Evolution with Idealized Numerical Simulations
John R. Lawson, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and M. Krocak

113
NEWS-e: Evaluation of Real-Time Warn-on-Forecast Precipitation Forecasts

114
Quantifying Reporting Biases in the SPC Tornado Database
Corey K. Potvin, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. Broyles, P. S. Skinner, and H. E. Brooks

115
Verification of 10-Meter Wind Forecasts from NSSL-WRF in Predicting Severe Wind-Producing MCSs
Jeffrey M. Milne, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks, I. L. Jirak, and R. M. Hepper
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

116
Forecastability of Meso-γ-scale, Localized, Extreme, Heavy Rainfalls during the Warm Season in Japan using High-resolution Precipitation Nowcasts
Ryohei Kato, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Tsukuba, Japan; and S. Shimizu, K. I. Shimose, T. Maesaka, K. Iwanami, and H. Nakagaki

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