Session 16C Tropical Cyclone Intensity VIII: Forecasts

Friday, 20 April 2018: 11:00 AM-1:30 PM
Champions ABC (Sawgrass Marriott)
Host: 33rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Robert F. Rogers, AOML, Miami, FL and Erin Munsell, Laboratory for Mesoscale Atmospheric Processes, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

11:00 AM
Adjoint Sensitivity Diagnosis of the Intensification of Hurricane Harvey
Zoe A. Brooke Zibton, Univ. of Wisconsin−Madison, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan and B. T. Hoover
11:15 AM
11:45 AM
Evaluating the Impact of Storm Structure on Statistical Rapid Intensification Model Skill
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and G. Chirokova, J. Knaff, C. M. Rozoff, M. DeMaria, K. Sellwood, and K. D. Musgrave
12:00 PM
An Operational Rapid Intensification Prediction Aid (RIPA) for the western North Pacific
John A. Knaff, NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research, Fort Collins, CO; and C. R. Sampson and K. D. Musgrave
12:30 PM
Development of Statistical-dynamical Tools for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction in the Southwest Indian Ocean
Marie-Dominique Leroux, Météo-France / LACy, Sainte Clotilde, Reunion; and D. A. Mékiès, J. Meister, and A. L. Dorla
12:45 PM
Applying Infrared Satellite Brightness Temperature to Understand Forecast Errors of Rapid Intensifying Hurricanes
Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. H. Cossuth, R. L. Bankert, J. D. Doyle, and D. R. Ryglicki
1:00 PM
Recent and Upcoming Operational Upgrades at ECMWF Relevant for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Mohamed Larbi Dahoui, ECMWF, Reading, UK; and F. Prates, L. Magnusson, M. Bonavita, and K. Mogensen
1:15 PM
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner