Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology

Session 8: Browse by Day

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Monday, 12 November 2001

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6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Monday, 12 November 2001


Mon 12 Nov

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 12 November 2001


Conference Registration

Tuesday, 13 November 2001

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 13 November 2001


Tues 13 Nov

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Tuesday, 13 November 2001


Conference Registration Continues through Thursday, 15 November

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 13 November 2001


1
Symposium Introduction
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology

Papers:
  9:00 AM
1.1
Welcoming Remarks
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and S. A. Ferguson

Poster PDF (54.3 kB)
  9:15 AM
1.2
Mike Fosberg Tribute
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA

  9:30 AM
1.3
Opening Prologue
Sue Husari, U.S. Forest Service, Vallejo, CA

  10:00 AM
1.3a
Coffee Break

10:30 AM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 13 November 2001


2
Fire Behavior
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Mark Finney, USDA Forest Service

Papers:
  10:30 AM
2.1
Forecasting diurnal variation in fire intensity for use in wildland fire management applications
Judi A. Beck, Forest Engineering Research Institute of Canada, Hinton, AB, Canada; and M. E. Alexander, S. D. Harvey, and A. K. Beaver

Poster PDF (126.3 kB)
  10:50 AM
2.2
Quantile characteristics of forest fires in Saskatchewan
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and P. Englefield

  11:10 AM
2.3
Measuring Moisture Dynamics to Predict Fire Severity in Longleaf Pine Forests
Julia E. Ruthford, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. A. Ferguson

Poster PDF (375.0 kB)
  11:30 AM
2.4
Airborne infrared observations of wildfire, dynamics, and spread
Lawrence F. Radke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark and R. B. Stull

  11:50 AM
2.5
Case study of an integrated weather/fire spread modeling application
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA

Poster PDF (335.2 kB)
  12:10 PM
2.5a
Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:20 PM: Tuesday, 13 November 2001


3
Numerical Modeling
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service

Papers:
  1:30 PM
3.1
Recent results from two fine-scale models for short-range predictions of residual smoke at night
Gary L. Achtemeier, USDA Forest Service, Juliette, GA

Poster PDF (152.6 kB)
  1:50 PM
3.2
Coupled atmosphere-fire model simulations in various fuel types in complex terrain
Janice L. Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark and D. Latham

Poster PDF (122.6 kB)
  2:10 PM
3.3
Coupled atmosphere-fire modeling and fire behavior sensitivity to atmospheric instability
Mary Ann Jenkins, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada

Poster PDF (214.7 kB)
  2:30 PM
3.4
Studying wildfire behavior using firetec
Rodman Linn, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. Reisner, J. Coleman, and S. Smith

  2:50 PM
3.4a
Coffee Break

3:20 PM-4:40 PM: Tuesday, 13 November 2001


3
Numerical Modeling: Continued
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry

Papers:
  3:20 PM
3.5
Forecasting Santa Barbara Sundowners: application to wildfire management
Charles Jones, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA

 
3.6
Fine scale mesoscale modeling applied to wildfires in British Columbia

  4:00 PM
3.7
MM5 simulations for the period of 2000 Cerro Grande fire in Los Alamos area
Zhong Wu, EarthTech Inc., Concord, MA

  4:20 PM
3.8
Development of a Seasonal Fire Severity Forecast for the Contiguous US: Weather Forecast and Validation
John O. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and F. M. Fujioka and T. J. Brown

Poster PDF (92.5 kB)

5:00 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 13 November 2001


Oral Sessions end for the day

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 13 November 2001


Poster Session 1
Poster Session P1
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Carol Rice, Wildlife Resource Management, Inc.

Papers:
 
P1.1
Florida wildfire initiation and environmental conditions during 1998
Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL; and C. H. Paxton, S. L. Goodrick, D. Sharp, and P. F. Blottman

Poster PDF (221.2 kB)
 
P1.2
Spatial mapping of KBDI for the southeast United States
Michael B. Johnson, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC; and G. Forthun

 
P1.3
Examination and forecasting implications of the April 1995 Craig County Virginia fire

 
P1.4
A potential wildfire feedback mechanism in the Alaskan boreal forest: do fire scars increase lightning activity?
Dorte Dissing, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and S. Chambers and D. L. Verbyla

 
P1.5
GIS and forest fires: case of the domanial forest of kounteidat, Algeria
Bdelkader Missoumia Sr., National Center of Spatial Techniques, Arzew, Algeria

 
P1.6
Study on impacts of local wind and terrain on wildfire
Jiping Zhu, University of Science and Technology, Hefei, Anhui, China; and J. Zhou, Z. Zhong, and C. Lu

Poster PDF (192.1 kB)
 
P1.7
Combustion parameters and characteristics of clearing fires in the Amazonian arc of deforestation
J. A. Carvalho Jr., Universidade Estadual Paulista, Guaratinguetá, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. A. G. Veras, E. C. Alvarado, D. V. Sandberg, E. R. Carvalaho, R. Gielow, and J. C. Santos

Poster PDF (101.3 kB)
 
P1.8
Evaluating the Skill of the Haines Index in the Black Hills National Forest
Andy Bailey, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD

 
P1.9
Comparison of Real-time Particulate Monitors with Gravimetric Samplers
Andy Trent, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT; and M. A. Davies and R. Karsky

 
P1.10
Forest Service RAWS Review and Upgrade Study
Karl F. Zeller, USDA Forest Service, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Zachariassen and T. McClelland

Poster PDF (33.9 kB)
 
P1.11
Applications of MesoWest to Fire Weather
Carol M. Ciliberti, Univ. of Utah and NOAA/CIRP, Salt Lake City, Utah; and J. D. Horel and M. Splitt

http://www.met.utah.edu/jhorel/html/mesonet/

Poster PDF (62.7 kB)
 
P1.12
Impacts of El Nino and La Nina on seasonal U.S. temperature and precipitation with implications for fire danger
Narasimhan Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA

 
P1.13
Demonstration of a Relocatable High-Resolution, Rapid-Response Meteorological Model Suitable for Forest Fire Response Nowcasting
Nelson L. Seaman, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer, A. M. Gibbs, A. Deng, A. J. Schroeder, and G. K. Hunter

Poster PDF (899.6 kB)
 
P1.14
The 2000 Bitterroot Wildfire: Observations and Preliminary Modeling Results
Kenneth Westrick, 3TIER Environmental Forecast Group, Inc, Seattle, WA; and S. A. Ferguson

Wednesday, 14 November 2001

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Wednesday, 14 November 2001


Wed 14 Nov

8:00 AM-10:10 AM: Wednesday, 14 November 2001


4
Climate Analysis
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Jim Brenner, Florida Division of Forestry

Papers:
  8:00 AM
4.1
Spatial and temporal coherence of forest fire and drought patterns in the Western United States
Thomas W. Swetnam, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

Poster PDF (118.1 kB)
  8:20 AM
4.2
Spatial Distribution of Fire Season and ENSO Effects on the Island of Sumatra, Indonesia
Robert Field, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and C. Dymond, W. de Groot, and B. Lee

Poster PDF (257.3 kB)
  8:40 AM
4.3
Examining the Relationship between Snowfall and Wildfire Patterns in the Western United States
Michael J. Medler, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and P. Montesano and D. Robinson

  9:00 AM
4.4
A Brush and Forest Fire Climatology for Massachusetts and Rhode Island: Results from 1964-2000
Alan E. Dunham, NOAA/NWSFO, Taunton, MA; and D. R. Vallee

  9:20 AM
4.5
Development of lightning climatology information over the western U.S
Beth L. Hall, DRI, Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown

Poster PDF (241.3 kB)
  9:40 AM
4.5a
Coffee Break

10:10 AM-12:10 PM: Wednesday, 14 November 2001


4
Climate Analysis: Continued
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Beth L. Hall, DRI

Papers:
  10:10 AM
4.6
The Potential for Smoke to Ventilate from Wildland Fires in the United States
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. McKay, D. Nagel, T. Piepho, M. Rorig, and C. Anderson

http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/seattle/vent4

Poster PDF (67.2 kB)
  10:30 AM
4.7
Climatological and Meteorological Causes and Effects of the 1999 and 2000 Wildfire Seasons in the Western Great Basin
Robert P. Nester, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT

  10:50 AM
4.8
Atmospheric forcing of severe wildfire years in the American Northwest
Ze'ev Gedalof, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. L. Peterson

  11:10 AM
4.9
Spatial patterns of fuels and fire behavior at the “La Malinche” National Park in Central Mexico
Lourdes Villers-Ruiz, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, México City, Mexico; and E. C. Alvarado and J. López-Blanco

  11:30 AM
4.10
Facilitating use of climate information for wildfire decision-making in the U.S. Southwest
Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. J. Morehouse

  11:50 AM
4.10a
Conference Luncheon (Speaker: John Deeming, Wildland Fire Management Consultant; Title: What IS the Problem?)

1:50 PM-3:20 PM: Wednesday, 14 November 2001


5
Decision-Making Tools
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Bryan Lee, Canadian Forest Service

Papers:
  1:50 PM
5.1
Roadmap for a national wildland fire research and development program
Richard Wagoner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Bradley and R. R. Linn

Poster PDF (56.6 kB)
  2:10 PM
5.2
An Integrated GIS Tool for Wildfire Management in the Southwestern United States
Barbara J. Morehouse, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Christopherson, C. Farris, B. Orr, J. T. Overpeck, T. Swetnam, and S. Yool

  2:30 PM
5.3
The 2001 Edition of the NWCG Smoke Management Guide for Prescribed and Wildland Fire
Colin C. Hardy, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT

  2:50 PM
5.3a
Coffee Break

3:20 PM-5:20 PM: Wednesday, 14 November 2001


6
Predictive Services
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Rick Ochoa, National Interagency Fire Center

Papers:
  3:20 PM
6.1
National Weather Service's Onsite Weather Support to Wildfires: Past, Present, Future
Carl J. Gorski, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and G. S. Birch

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)
  3:40 PM
6.2
Operational wildland fire management systems: the Oklahoma example
J. D. Carlson, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK

  4:00 PM
6.3
Storm Prediction Center's Fire Weather Verification
Richard J. Naden, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and P. D. Bothwell and J. L. Peters

Poster PDF (319.8 kB)
  4:20 PM
6.4
The 10 Day Fire Potential Assessment
Paul Werth, Northwest Interagency Coordination Center, Portland, OR; and T. Marsha and M. Fitzpatrick

Poster PDF (66.7 kB)
  4:40 PM
6.5
New tools for fire danger assessment in Florida
Charles H. Paxton, NOAA/NWS, Ruskin, FL; and A. G. Laing

Poster PDF (59.4 kB)
  5:00 PM
6.6
Real-Time Mesoscale Model Forecasts for Fire and Smoke Management: 2001
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Sevice, Seattle, WA

Poster PDF (786.8 kB)

5:20 PM-5:20 PM: Wednesday, 14 November 2001


Sessions end for the day

Thursday, 15 November 2001

Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Thursday, 15 November 2001


Thur 15 Nov

8:00 AM-10:10 AM: Thursday, 15 November 2001


6
Predictive Services: Continued
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Paul Stokols, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  8:00 AM
6.7
Automated, Real-Time Predictions of Cumulative Smoke Impacts from Prescribed Forest and Agricultural Fires
Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and J. Peterson and A. Acheson

Poster PDF (294.9 kB)
 
6.8
A Fire Weather Forecast Preparation Program

  8:40 AM
6.9
A New Approach to Fire Weather Forecasting at the Tulsa WFO
Sarah J. Taylor, NOAA/NWS, Tulsa, OK; and E. D. Howieson

Poster PDF (209.6 kB)
  9:00 AM
6.10
Developing Experimental Fire Weather Products with a Graphical Forecast Editor
Chris V. Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

  9:20 AM
6.11
Operational Weather Support for Fire Management at the DOE's Savannah River Site
Charles H. Hunter, Westinghouse Savannah River Company, Aiken, SC; and R. L. Buckley and D. J. Shea

  9:40 AM
6.11a
Coffee Break

10:10 AM-1:10 PM: Thursday, 15 November 2001


7
Climate Prediction
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Timothy J. Brown, DRI

Papers:
  10:10 AM
7.1
Paper has been moved to Paper Number 7.4A

  10:11 AM
7.2
Statistical forecasts of western wildfire season severity
Anthony L. Westerling, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. Gershunov and D. R. Cayan

Poster PDF (92.2 kB)
  10:31 AM
7.3
A model to predict lightning-caused fire occurrences
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada

  10:50 AM
7.4
Paper has been moved to paper numer 7.1A

  10:51 AM
7.5
Assessing long-term fire danger variability and change from climate model output
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and B. L. Hall

Poster PDF (102.8 kB)
  11:11 AM
7.1a
Fire-Climate Relationships and Long-Lead Seasonal Wildfire for Hawaii (Formerly paper Number 7.4)
Pao-Shin Chu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and W. Yan and F. M. Fujioka

Poster PDF (179.6 kB)
  11:30 AM
7.4a
A novel approach to distinguishing Regime-scale climate signals (Formerly Paper Number 7.1)
Paul F. Hessburg, USDA Forest Service, Wenatchee, WA; and E. E. Kuhlmann and T. W. Swetnam

  11:50 AM
7.5a
Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:20 PM: Thursday, 15 November 2001


8
Fire Danger Indexes
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service

Papers:
  1:30 PM
8.1
Paper move to paper number 8.3A

  1:31 PM
8.2
Developing the Fire Potential Index Model into an operational planning tool
T. P. DeFelice, Raytheon, ITSS, EDC, Sioux Falls, SD; and J. Klaver, G. Xian, J. Golden, and S. Albers

  1:51 PM
8.3
Paper moved to Paper Number 8.1A

  1:52 PM
8.4
The influence of atmospheric instability on fire behaviour in the Northwest Territories, Canada
B. Kochtubajda, MSC, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and M. D. Flannigan, J. R. Gyakum, and R. E. Stewart

Poster PDF (122.8 kB)
  2:12 PM
8.1a
Fire danger and the Standardized Precipitation Index (Formerly Paper number 8.3)
Paul M. Schlobohm, Bureau of Land Management, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown

Poster PDF (78.1 kB)
  2:31 PM
8.3a
Extension of the Fosberg Fire Weather Index to include the impact of precipitation and drought (Formerly Paper number 8.1)
Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL

  2:50 PM
8.4a
Coffee Break

3:20 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 15 November 2001


8
Fire Danger Indexes: Continued
Sponsor: Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology
Organizer: Tom McClelland, USDA

Papers:
  3:20 PM
8.5
Performance of the Haines Index during August 2000 for Montana
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and S. Goodrick

  3:40 PM
8.6
Development of an Improved Haines Index for the Black Hills National Forest
Andy Bailey, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD

  4:00 PM
8.7
The Analysis of the Haines Index Climatology for the Eastern United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico
Paul J. Croft, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and M. Watts, B. E. Potter, and A. Reed

Poster PDF (75.2 kB)
  4:20 PM
8.8
How and why does the Haines Index work: energy and dynamics considerations
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI

  4:40 PM
8.8b
Concluding Remarks

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