84th AMS Annual Meeting

Session 4: Bayesian Probability Forecasting (Room 602/603)

Wednesday, 14 January 2004: 8:30 AM-9:30 AM
Room 602/603
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Cochairs:  Daniel S. Wilks, Cornell University and Barbara G. Brown, NCAR
Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
Calibrated probabilistic mesoscale forecasting with ensembles via Bayesian model averaging
Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Balabdaoui and T. Gneiting

  8:45 AM
4.2
Bayesian Processor of Output: A New Technique for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA

Poster PDF (127.1 kB)
  9:00 AM
4.3
Bayesian Processor of Output for Probabilistic Forecasting of Precipitation Occurrence
Coire J. Maranzano, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Krzysztofowicz

Poster PDF (210.9 kB)
  9:15 AM
4.4
Bayesian approach to decision making using ensemble weather forecasts
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Ehrendorfer

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