Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013

Program Chairs: Tanja Fransen , NOAA/NWS ; Michael Ferrari , Coca Cola

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Tuesday, 4 February 2014

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 1
Global Weather and Major Floods 2013
Location: Georgia Ballroom 1 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013
Chair: Michael Ferrari, Coca Cola

This session will have a summary of the major global weather impacts that occurred in 2013, as well as some significant floods that had widespread impacts.
  8:30 AM
1.1
Global Weather Summary 2013 (Invited Presentation)
Klaus Wolter, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
  9:00 AM
1.2
THE UTTARAKHAND INDIA FLOODS: JUNE 2013
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and V. E. Toma and K. Shrestha
  9:30 AM
1.4
Historical Flooding in Colorado in 2013 (Invited Presentation)
Robert Henson, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Kelsch and R. S. Schumacher

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Spouses' Coffee

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 2
US Weather Impacts
Location: Georgia Ballroom 1 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013
Chair: Tanja Fransen, NOAA/NWS

Place holder depending on the types of abstracts we receive
  11:00 AM
2.1
  11:15 AM
2.2
  11:30 AM
2.3

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Lunch Break

Stanley a. Changnon Luncheon
Location: Room B401 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 3
Tornadoes and Impacts in 2013
Location: Georgia Ballroom 1 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013
Chair: Tanja Fransen, NOAA/NWS

This session will include topics on Major Weather Impacts of 2013 in the US. It will end with presentations on the Oklahoma tornadoes in May 2013. That will lead into the final session of the day, a panel discussion on the Tornadoes of 2013 from 330 pm to 530 pm.
  2:15 PM
3.4
Oklahoma City Flash Flooding - 31 May 2013
Race Clark III, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. J. Gourley and M. Kelsch
  2:30 PM
3.5
Damage Survey of the El Reno, OK Tornado
Roger Wakimoto, NSF, Arlington, VA; and N. T. Atkins, K. M. Butler, and H. Bluestein

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room C103 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
May 2013 Oklahoma Tornado Outbreaks: Science, Service, Communication, Preparedness, Mitigation and Resiliency
Location: Georgia Ballroom 1 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Host: Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013
Moderators: Doyle Rice, USA Today; Andrew Freedman, Climate Central
Panelists: Russell Schneider, NOAA/NWS/SPC; Roger Wakimoto, NSF; Mike Bettes, The Weather Channel; Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co.; David L. Andra Jr., NOAA/NWS/Weather Forecast Office; David O. Prevatt, University of Florida
Cochairs: Michael Ferrari, Coca Cola; Tanja Fransen, NOAA/NWS

This panel of experts, many with personal connections to the events of May 2013 will discuss topics posed to them by the Moderators in regards to: 1.) User-Driven impact based forecasts/warnings 2.) Integration of social and natural sciences into services 3.) Service delivery across the weather enterprise 4.) Community planning and impacts mitigation. The audience will also be able to ask questions and engage in the discussion as well.
 
This session will be moderated by Doyle Rice from USA Today, and Andrew Freedman from Climate Central, asking our invited guest panelists questions regarding the significant tornado events that impacted Oklahoma in May 2013. The questions will focus on the following topics relevant to the 2013 Annual AMS theme: -User driven impact-based forecasts/warnings -Integration of social and natural sciences into services -Service delivery across the weather enterprise -Community planning and impacts mitigation The audience will have a chance to interact and ask questions with the moderators and panel speakers.

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Recording files available
Session 1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: Room C106 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Stanley A. Changnon Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
  5:00 PM
L1.1
Towards a general theory of global monsoons (Invited Presentation)
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

Wednesday, 5 February 2014

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room C103 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Lunch Break

Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon: A Conversation about the Future
Location: Room C112 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


94th AMS Awards Banquet

Thursday, 6 February 2014

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


2
The President's Hurricane Sandy Rebuilding Strategy
Location: Georgia Ballroom 2 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Superstorm Sandy and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; and the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013 )
Moderator: William Hooke, AMS
Panelists: Holly Bamford, NOS; Tamara Dickinson, OSTP; Josh Sawislak, HUD; H. Michael Goodman, NASA/MSFC; Kevin Werner, NOAA

On December 7, 2012, President Obama issued an Executive Order forming the Hurricane Sandy Rebuilding Task Force, directed to coordinate recovery efforts across the federal government as well as with state, local, and tribal governments. The Task Force developed the Hurricane Sandy Rebuilding Strategy to address current and future vulnerabilities and provide long-term risk management strategies. Scientists from several federal science agencies and departments - including the NOAA, NASA, USGS, DHS – contributed to the Task Force with a focus on science and technology (S&T) through the Task Force Science Coordination Group. In addition, the White House National Science and Technology Council (NSTC) Subcommittee on Disaster Reduction (SDR) also mobilized a post-Sandy effort to determine lessons learned from Superstorm Sandy and identify new opportunities where the federal government's S&T resources could be utilized for future disaster events. The SDR produced a series of recommendations for the Science Coordination Group, with a particular focus on geospatial and remote sensing data for natural hazards. The panel includes invited speakers from the Hurricane Sandy Rebuilding Task Force, the Task Force Science Coordination Group, and the White House NSTC SDR. The panelists will discuss the recommendations for better utilizing federal S&T resources as well as the strategies developed to reduce current and future vulnerabilities to natural hazards.
  8:30 AM
TJPD2.1
  8:45 AM
TJPD2.2

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


Themed Joint Poster Session 2
Poster Session on Hurricane Sandy and the Built Environment
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Superstorm Sandy and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; and the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013 )
Cochairs: Tanja Fransen, NOAA/NWS; Randy A. Peppler, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma; Kimberly E. Klockow, AAAS
 
856
NWS and CDC - Working Together to Communicate Weather-Related Health Hazards
Michelle D. Hawkins, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Carpenter, F. Horsfall, V. Abrams Siegel, L. Briseno, and C. Scheel

 
857
SUPERSTORM SANDY AND VOTER VULNERABILITY IN THE 2012 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
Neil Debbage, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia; and N. Gonsalves, J. M. Shepherd, and J. A. Knox

Handout (5.8 MB)

 
858
Public Perception and Response to Superstorm Sandy
Lindsay Rice, Univ. of South Florida, Tampa, FL; and J. M. Collins, H. Gladwin, and B. Morrow

 
862
Analyzing U.S. fatalities from Superstorm Sandy using Socioeconomic and Exposure Metrics
Craig A. Ramseyer, University Of Georgia, Athens, GA; and Y. Wang, J. Vanexel, J. M. Shepherd, and J. A. Knox

Handout (4.6 MB)

 
863
Superstorm Sandy's Social Media Surge in Twitter: A Three-Dimensional Analysis
Craig A. Ramseyer, University Of Georgia, Athens, GA; and J. A. Knox, J. Rackley, and A. W. Black

 
865
SCOOP - the National Data Buoy Center's “Game Changer” for Ocean Observations
Helmut H. Portmann, NOAA/NDBC, Stennis Space Center, MS

 
866
Satellite Products to Monitor and Predict Hurricane Sandy – Current and Emerging Products
Michael J. Folmer, Univ. of Maryland, Elkridge, MD; and M. DeMaria and R. R. Ferraro

 
867
Using real-time retrievals from multiple hyperspectral sounders in the analysis of Superstorm Sandy
Elisabeth Weisz, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. Smith Sr. and N. Smith

 
868
The Nor'easter That Wasn't: Extratropical Cyclogenesis Without Hurricane Sandy
Steven G. Decker, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ

Handout (2.7 MB)

 
870
The Mid-level Contribution of Hurricane Rafael to the Genesis of Hurricane Sandy
Charles N. Helms, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and P. T. Duran, P. P. Papin, and L. F. Bosart

 
871
 
872
The influence of outflow layer asymmetries on the structure and intensity of Superstorm Sandy
Eric Rappin, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY

 
873
Forecast Performance of an Operational Mesoscale Modeling System for Post- Tropical Storm Sandy in the New York City Metropolitan Region
Anthony P. Praino, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and J. Cipriani and L. Treinish

 
874
Electric Power Delivery and Transit Infrastructure Performance Models for Sandy
Dorothy A. Reed, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. J. Friedland, R. Zimmerman, and S. Wang
Manuscript (72.3 kB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 12
Weather and Climate Perspectives of Superstorm Sandy
Location: Georgia Ballroom 2 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Superstorm Sandy and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; and the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013 )
Chair: David A. Robinson, Rutgers University and NJ State Climatologist
  11:00 AM
TJ12.1
Were Sandy's track and intensity changes unusual?
Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. Gopalakrishnan and H. Chen
  11:15 AM
TJ12.2
On Providing the Climate Risk Information that supported New York City's Special Initiative for Rebuilding and Resiliency
Daniel Bader, Columbia University, New York, NY; and C. Rosenzweig, R. M. Horton, V. Gornitz, and W. Solecki
  11:30 AM
TJ12.3
Will the future atmospheric circulation favor the landfall of Sandy-like superstorms?
Elizabeth A. Barnes, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and L. M. Polvani and A. H. Sobel
  11:45 AM
TJ12.4
Was Sandy caused by global warming?
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and T. M. Hall, D. Shaevitz, S. J. Camargo, and U. S. CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 13
Societal Impacts Related to Superstorm Sandy
Location: Georgia Ballroom 2 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Superstorm Sandy and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; and the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013 )
Chair: Tanja Fransen, NOAA/NWS
  1:30 PM
TJ13.1
New Jersey State Climate Office Services and Sandy
David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ; and D. P. Fittante, M. R. Gerbush, E. Namendorf, J. Read, C. Shmukler, N. Stefano, and D. A. Zarrow
  1:45 PM
TJ13.2
Post-Tropical Cyclone Sandy: Preparation, Impact, and Response by The Consolidated Edison Company of New York
Brandon Hertell, Consolidated Edison Company of New York, New York, NY; and R. Derech
  2:00 PM
TJ13.3
Deaths Associated with Hurricane Sandy: October–November 2012
Rebecca S. Noe, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Chamblee, GA; and M. Murti, E. Yard, A. Wolkin, and M. Casey-Lockyer
  2:15 PM
TJ13.4
  2:30 PM
TJ13.5
The Economics of Climate Adaptation (ECA) Methodology: Application and a Case Study of New York City
Megan E. Linkin, Swiss Re America Holding Corporation, Armonk, NY; and D. N. Bresch, M. Way, and L. Mueller
  2:45 PM
TJ13.6
After Sandy—Who's Next?
William Read, Former Director, National Hurricane Center, League City, TX

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: Room C103 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 14
Modeling of Superstorm Sandy
Location: Georgia Ballroom 2 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Superstorm Sandy and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; and the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2013 )
Chair: William Read, National Hurricane Center
  3:30 PM
TJ14.1
Genesis of Hurricane Sandy (2012) Simulated with a Global Mesoscale Model
Bo-Wen Shen, UMCP/ESSIC and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. DeMaria, J. L. Li, and S. Cheung

Handout (3.0 MB)

  3:45 PM
TJ14.2
Intensification of Hurricane Sandy (2012) through Extratropical Warm Core Seclusion
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Davis and M. A. Shapiro
  4:00 PM
TJ14.3
Multi-Scale Predictability Aspects of Superstorm Sandy
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. Langland, P. A. Reinecke, and C. M. Amerault
  4:15 PM
TJ14.4
Superstorm Sandy: A Perfect Testbed for Integrated Impact Forecasting using Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean-Surge Models
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and M. Curcic, B. Kerns, and C. Y. Lee

  4:30 PM
TJ14.5
Modeling and Dissecting Hurricane Sandy's Storm Surge and Overland Inundation
Alan Blumberg, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ; and P. Orton and N. Georgas
  4:45 PM
TJ14.6
High Resolution Ensemble Storm Surge Predictions for Superstorm Sandy Around the New York City Region
Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and J. Kuang, H. Bowman, M. J. Bowman, C. Flagg, F. Zhang, Y. Weng, and E. B. Munsell

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 6 February 2014


AMS 94th Annual Meeting Adjourns