Edward S. Epstein Symposium

Program Chair: Bob Glahn , NOAA/NWS

« Collapse View
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Monday, 3 February 2014

Monday | Wednesday | top

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 3 February 2014

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
14th Presidential Forum: Extreme Weather, Climate, and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools
Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the 14th Presidential Forum; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Superstorm Sandy and the Built Environment: New Perspectives, Opportunities, and Tools; the Stanley A. Changnon Symposium; the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
Moderator: Margaret Davidson, NOAA/Office for Coastal Management
Panelists: Leslie Chapman-Henderson, Federal Alliance for Safe Homes; David Perkes, Mississippi State Univ.; Ellis Stanley, Hammerman & Gainer International, Inc.; David W. Titley, Penn State University; Peter Kareiva, The Nature Conservancy
Speaker: Andy Revkin, Dot Earth blogger, The New York Times, and Senior Fellow for Environmental Understanding, Pace University
  9:00 AM
Welcoming Remarks

  9:05 AM
PL1.1
The New Communication Climate - An exploration of tools and traits that give the best chance of success in facing a fast-forward media landscape and changing climate
Andy Revkin, Dot Earth blogger, The New York Times, and Senior Fellow for Environmental Understanding, Pace University, New York, NY
Recorded Presentation

  9:25 AM
Panel Discussion

  10:25 AM
Concluding Remarks

Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Monday | Wednesday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Edward S. Epstein Symposium, Part I
Location: Room C205 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; and the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Cochairs: Bob Glahn, NOAA/NWS; Dick Hallgren, AMS
  8:30 AM
Opening remarks, introduction of Epstein family, and Ed's early life--Bob Glahn and Dick Hallgren

  9:00 AM
J5.1
Edward Epstein's Stochastic-Dynamic Approach to Ensemble Weather Prediction (Invited Presentation)
John M. Lewis, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

  9:30 AM
J5.2
Review of the Merits of the Stochastic Dynamic Equations and the Monte Carlo Approach in Modeling and Understanding Systems (Invited Presentation)
Rex J. Fleming, Global Aerospace, LLC, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (404.8 kB)

Handout (380.2 kB) Handout (380.2 kB)

  9:45 AM
J5.3
Closure of the Stochastic Dynamic Equations
Rex J. Fleming, Global Aerospace, LLC, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (345.9 kB)

Handout (731.2 kB)

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Edward S. Epstein Symposium, Part II
Location: Room C205 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; and the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Cochairs: Bob Glahn, NOAA/NWS; Dick Hallgren, AMS
  10:30 AM
J6.1
Inspired by the Work of Edward S. Epstein: A Model for Predictive Hurricane Climatology (Invited Presentation)
James Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
Recorded Presentation

  11:00 AM
Panel Discussing the Contributions of Ed Epstein–Dick Hallgren, John Zillman, Eugene Bierly, John Leese, Bob Livezey, and Bob Glahn
Recorded Presentation

  11:30 AM
J6.2
Probability Forecasting, Quantitative Decision Modeling, and the Economic Value of Forecasts (Invited Presentation)
Daniel S. Wilks, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (1.2 MB)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: Georgia Ballroom 1 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Seventh Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
  1:30 PM
L2.1
Elusive Elements of Evaporation and Runoff Behavior Hidden Within Traditional Hydrological Measurements
Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Edward S. Epstein Symposium, Part III
Location: Room C205 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; and the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Cochairs: Dick Hallgren, AMS; Bob Glahn, NOAA/NWS
  1:30 PM
J7.1
On the estimation of climatology using harmonics (Invited Presentation)
Huug van den Dool, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD; and D. A. Unger
Recorded Presentation

  2:00 PM
J7.2
Tracking Climate Change: Ed Epstein's Influence and Mentorship (Invited Presentation)
Robert E. Livezey, NWS Retired, Self-Employed Consultant, Bethesda, MD
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall C3 (The Georgia World Congress Center )

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Edward S. Epstein Symposium, Part IV
Location: Room C205 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; and the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences )
Cochairs: Bob Glahn, NOAA/NWS; Dick Hallgren, AMS
  4:00 PM
J8.1
Climate Change and the Predictability of Extreme Events
Dan C. Collins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and D. A. Unger and E. E. Riddle
Recorded Presentation

  4:15 PM
J8.2
Scoring Systems for Probabilistic Forecasts of Ranked Categories based on the RPS (Invited Presentation)
David A. Unger, NOAA/CPC, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

  4:45 PM
Summary of Symposium and Remarks by Individuals

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Recording files available
Lecture 3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: Room C113 (The Georgia World Congress Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Second Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Impacts on Weather and Climate Extremes; the Second Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Stanley A. Changnon Symposium; the Edward S. Epstein Symposium; the 30th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 28th Conference on Hydrology; the 26th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 26th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 22nd Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Symposium on Education; the 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 18th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 18th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 12th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 12th History Symposium; the 12th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 11th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the Tenth Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Ninth Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; the Seventh Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Sixth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Fifth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Fifth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fourth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Fourth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Second Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Second Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts )
  5:00 PM
L3.1
Fire in the Earth System: Interactions with the Atmosphere
Christine Wiedinmyer, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 5 February 2014


94th AMS Awards Banquet
« Collapse View