Joint Session 6 Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact

Program Chairs: Mike Pritchard , University of California ; Angela K. Rowe , Univ. of Washington

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Monday, 23 January 2017

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 23 January 2017


Coffee Break (6th Floor Foyer)
Location: Washington State Convention Center

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 1
Simulating the MJO
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 2 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
Cochairs: Samson M. Hagos, PNNL; Mike Pritchard, University of California
11:15 AM
1.2
MJO Simulation in CMIP5 Climate Models: MJO Skill Metrics and Process-Oriented Diagnostics (Invited Presentation)
Daehyun Kim, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. S. Ahn, K. R. Sperber, I. S. Kang, E. D. Maloney, D. E. Waliser, and H. H. Hendon
11:45 AM
1.4

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Recording files available
Lecture 1
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: Conference Center: Tahoma 2 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 33rd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 31st Conference on Hydrology; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 26th Symposium on Education; the 21st Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface; the 19th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 15th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 15th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; the 14th Conference on Space Weather; the 13th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Major Weather Impacts of 2016; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Ninth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the Eighth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Eighth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Seventh Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Fifth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the Second Symposium on US-International Partnerships; and the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment )
Speaker: Cynthia Rosenzweig, Columbia University
1:30 PM
L1.1

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 2
MJO Mechanisms
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 2 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
Cochairs: Michael S. Pritchard, University of California, Irvine; Justin P. Stachnik, University of Kansas
2:00 PM
2.3
Stratospheric Control of Organized Tropical Deep Convection during Boreal Winter
Seok-Woo Son, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and Y. Lim, C. Yoo, H. H. Hendon, and J. Kim

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )

Poster Session 1
Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction, and Impact
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
Cochairs: Angela Rowe, University of Washington; Michael S. Pritchard, University of California, Irvine
328
Response of the Equatorial Ocean to Convective and Stratiform Rains During Wind Bursts
Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern University, Dania Beach, FL; and C. W. Dean

329
Diurnal Cycle of Cloudiness and Precipitation During DYNAMO
Naoko Sakaeda, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and S. W. Powell, G. Kiladis, and J. Dias

332
333
Investigating Model Bias and Its Impact on MJO Hindcast Skill in the NASA GEOS-5 AGCM
Hailan Wang, NASA, Hampton, VA; and D. Achuthavarier, Y. Chang, and S. Schubert

335
Examining the Predictability of the Dual-MJO Events of November 2011 Using Coupled 30-day NAVGEM and COAMPS Simulations
William A. Komaromi, NRL, Monterey, CA; and X. Hong, C. A. Reynolds, M. Janiga, and J. D. Doyle

336
Modulation of Air-Sea interaction on the MJO Propagation Through Maritime Continent
Sue Chen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Flatau, J. Schmidt, J. Tsu, and C. Reynolds

337
Numerical Simulations of the Madden-Julian Oscillations During DYNAMO Field Campaign Using the Taiwan CWB Global Model
Ming-Jen Yang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. H. Lin, J. H. Chen, M. Y. Chang, C. H. Sui, M. M. Lu, and B. J. Tsuang

339
MJO Event Sensitivities to Tropical SSTs in Observations, Low-Order, and Global Climate Models
Justin P. Stachnik, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and D. E. Waliser, A. J. Majda, S. N. Stechmann, S. Thual, and H. R. Ogrosky

340
341
The MJO in a Warmer World—Projection Using a MJO-resolving Coupled Model ECHAM5-SIT
Chiung-wen June Chang, Chinese Cultural University, Taipei, Taiwan; and W. L. Tseng, H. H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, C. Y. Tu, B. J. Tsuang, and J. Y. Yu

346
Thoughts on the Basic Physics of the MJO
David Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and Z. Fuchs

352
Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillations in the MJO Skeleton Model with Observation-Based Forcing
H. Reed Ogrosky, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA; and S. N. Stechmann and A. J. Majda

353
Mixed Rossby-Gravity Waves: A Revisit
Jie Sun, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

354
Tracking Tropical Intraseasonal Convective Anomalies: A New Algorithm
Bohar Singh, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. L. Kinter III

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017

Recording files available
Session 3
Observing the MJO
Location: Conference Center: Chelan 2 (Washington State Convention Center )
Host: Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact
Cochairs: Angela Rowe, University of Washington; Scott W. Powell, Colorado State University
4:30 PM
3.3
Vertical Structure of Radiative Heating Rates of the MJO during DYNAMO
Karen M. Shell, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and S. P. de Szoeke, M. Makiyama, and Z. Feng
5:00 PM
3.5
Cold Pools and Entrainment Dominate Surface Air Temperature in the Central Indian Ocean
S. P. de Szoeke, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and E. D. Skyllingstad, A. S. Chandra, and P. Zuidema

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 23 January 2017


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: 4AB (Washington State Convention Center )

Wednesday, 25 January 2017

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: 602 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the Second Symposium on Multi-scale Atmospheric Predictability; the Observation Symposium: Progress, Problems, and Prospects; the 33rd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 26th Symposium on Education; the 21st Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface; the 19th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 15th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 15th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography; the 14th Conference on Space Weather; the 13th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Major Weather Impacts of 2016; the 13th Symposium of the Urban Environment; the 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Ninth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; the Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Eighth Conference on Environment and Health; the Eighth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Eighth Conference on the Meteorological Application of Lightning Data; the Seventh Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the 31st Conference on Hydrology; the Fifth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fifth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the Third Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Greening the Built Environment; and the Events )
Organizer: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers
Lecturer: Hoshin V. Gupta, University of Arizona
Cochairs: Michael Ek, NOAA; David J. Gochis, NCAR; John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC
1:30 PM
L2.1

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 25 January 2017

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Linking the MJO to the Energy Sector: Decision Support Applications
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center )
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; and the Fifth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact )
Chair: Heidi Centola, Schneider Electric