Session 8 Resilient Business Decisions in the Midst of Weather and Climate Uncertainty

Wednesday, 10 January 2018: 1:30 PM-3:45 PM
Room 15 (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Host: Ninth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Heidi Centola, AMS BEED, Phoenix, AZ; Lawrence C. Gloeckler III, Riskpulse, Austin, TX and Michael Dettinger, USGS, Carson City, NV

Businesses face many weather, climate, and other uncertainties in their planning and operations. These uncertainties are likely to increase in the future as infrastructure ages, temperatures increase, precipitation patterns change and intensify, populations grow, and economies change. While probabilistic information and uncertainty have always been an integral part of planning, design, and management, future changes in natural and human systems are forcing reassessments of how we understand and manage weather and climate risks. This session focuses on businesses that are embracing and addressing these uncertainties and scientists who work in partnership with them to develop ways to support adaptive management and resilient planning in this increasingly uncertain world. We seek innovators, both business representatives and scientists, who are working to bridge the research−business gulf and welcome examples focused on improving business planning and operations, as well as examples of research activities transitioning into, or enabled by, business-centered operations.

1:30 PM
Transforming Risk Communication with Probability Forecasts for Energy—Weeks to a Century or More
John A. Dutton, ClimBiz Ltd and Prescient Weather Ltd., State College, PA; and R. P. James and J. D. Ross
2:00 PM
The Climate Resilient Grid: A Report on the Forum on Energy, Climate, and the Grid
Marjorie McGuirk, CASE Consultants International, Asheville, NC; and J. Dissen and S. Herring
2:15 PM
Effects of Climate Change on Renewable Energy Distribution in New York State
Jason M. Covert, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. M. Freedman, R. Perez, A. Dai, A. Stevens, J. Manobianco, D. B. Kirk-Davidoff, J. W. Zack, and K. Pennock
2:30 PM
Assessing Resilience of Electricity Generation System Under Changing Climate
Eugene Yan, ANL, Argonne, IL; and Z. Zhou, G. Betrie, and T. Veselka
2:45 PM
Austin Water: Climate Resilience and Adaptation Strategies
Greg Meszaros, Local Municipal Government, Austin, TX; and D. Slusher
3:15 PM
Panel Discussion
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