Session 11A Ensembles I

Thursday, 4 August 2005: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
Ambassador Ballroom (Omni Shoreham Hotel Washington D.C.)
Host: 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair:
Maria A. Perone, AER, Lexington, MA
CoChair:
William Bua, UCAR/COMET

Papers:
8:00 AM
11A.1
The North American Ensemble Forecast System
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. Lefaivre, G. Brunet, Y. Zhu, B. Cui, P. L. Houtekamer, L. J. Wilson, R. Verret, R. Hogue, R. Wobus, D. Unger, E. Olenic, B. A. Gordon, and G. Pellerin
Recorded presentation

8:15 AM
11A.2
Recent Upgrades to the NCEP Short Range Ensemble Forecasting System (SREF) and Future Plans
Jeffery T. McQueen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, B. Zhou, G. Manikin, B. Ferrier, H. Y. Chuang, G. DiMego, and Z. Toth
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (114.0 kB)

8:30 AM
11A.3
An Evaluation of Short-Term MOS and Short-Term Ensemble MOS Temperature Forecasts
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and R. Holmes and J. Villani
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (147.0 kB)

8:45 AM
11A.4
Evaluation of a mesoscale short-range ensemble forecast system over the Northeast United States
Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Jones and J. S. Tongue
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (284.5 kB)

9:00 AM
11A.5
COAMPS® ocean ensemble forecast
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Bishop
Recorded presentation

9:15 AM
11A.6
An Evaluation of Ensemble MOS Temperature Forecasts from the Medium Range Ensemble Forecast System
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and J. Villani and R. Hart
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (149.3 kB)

9:30 AM
11A.7
Wind Energy Forecasting Using Time Lagged Ensembles
Kevin J. Brundage, NOAA/FSL, Boulder and CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. Schwartz, S. G. Benjamin, and M. Schwartz
Recorded presentation

9:45 AM
11A.8
An ensemble strategy for road weather applications
Paul Schultz, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO
Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (109.6 kB)

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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