| Saturday, 13 January 2001 |
| 7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday
1 Workshop Registration |
| |
| Sunday, 14 January 2001 |
| 9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration |
| |
| Monday, 15 January 2001 |
| 9:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday
Session 1 Climate Modeling: Climate Change (parallel with Session 2) |
Organizer: David Easterling, NCDC, Asheville, NC
|
| 9:00 AM | 1.1 | Ensemble Historical and Climate Change Simulations
Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Dai, J. M. Arblaster, G. A. Meehl, J. W. Weatherly, and A. J. Semtner |
| 9:30 AM | 1.2 | Where’s the heat? Insights from GCM experiments into the lack of Eastern US warming
Walter A. Robinson, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and J. E. Hansen and R. Reudy |
| 9:45 AM | 1.3 | Ensemble Simulations of the 20th and 21st Century Climates by a Coupled GCM
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Meehl, W. M. Washington, and T. M. L. Wigley |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
|
| 10:30 AM | 1.4 | Simulated changes in extreme events of the hydrological cycle under enhanced greenhouse conditions
Reinhard Voss, Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany; and W. May and E. Roeckner |
| 10:45 AM | 1.5 | Sensitivities of SCM models to improved parameterizations of cloud-radiative interactions for tropical cirrus
Greg M. McFarquhar, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. C. J. Somerville, S. F. Iacobellis, and P. Yang |
| 11:00 AM | 1.6 | Development of a cirrus parameterization scheme for use in GCMs: Comparisons with the observation in the tropics
Dance Zurovac-Jevtic, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and G. Zhang and V. Ramanathan |
| 11:15 AM | 1.7 | Common Land Model (CLM) and Its Coupling with the NCAR CCM3
Xubin Zeng, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and Y. Dai, M. Shaikh, R. E. Dickinson, and R. Myneni |
| 11:30 AM | 1.8 | Climate model biases introduced by parameterized orographic gravity wave drag
Huei-Ping Huang, NOAA and CIRES/University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh |
| 11:45 AM | 1.9 | General circulation diagnosis based on the pressure-isentrope hybrid vertical coordinates
Toshiki Iwasaki, Geophysical Institute, Tohoku University, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Japan |
|
| |
| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday
Coffee Break |
| |
| 10:30 AM-2:45 PM, Monday
Session 2 Observed Climate Variability and Change: Proxy Records (Parallel with Session 1) |
Organizer: John Christy, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
|
| 10:30 AM | 2.1 | ENSO during the first half of the twentieth century: Evidence from a proxy record
Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and E. B. Buxton |
| 10:45 AM | 2.2 | Seasonality of precipitation in the American Southwest and cultural changes in the Colorado Plateau in pre-historic times
Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/OAR, Boulder, CO; and D. R. Cayan |
| 11:00 AM | 2.3 | Climate variability since a.d. 1736 as expressed in an ice core from the Saint Elias Mountain Range in northwestern North America
G. W. K. Moore, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and G. Holdsworth and K. Alverson |
| 11:15 AM | 2.4 | The Atlantic Hurricane Database Re-Analysis Project: Results for 1851-1899
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. Anderson, G. Clark, P. Hungerford, C. Neumann, M. Zimmer, and J. Fernandez-Partagas |
| 11:30 AM | 2.5 | Utility of glacier observations in climate change detection and attribution studies
Arthur M. Greene, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and W. S. Broecker |
| 11:45 AM | 2.6 | Evaluating Northern Hemisphere snow cover during the satellite era: variations in extent and associations with temperature
David A. Robinson, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. Bamzai and B. Ramsay |
| 12:00 PM | | Lunch Break
|
| 1:30 PM | 2.7 | Changes in extremes in European records since the 18th century
Philip D. Jones, Climatic Research Unit, Norwich, Norfolk, United Kingdom |
| 1:45 PM | 2.8 | Trends in Climate Change Indicators, 1950–1991
Richard R. Heim Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. Haylock, C. S. Frederiksen, and N. Nicholls |
| 2:00 PM | 2.9 | Variability and Trends in Temperature Threshold Exceedences and Frost Dates in the U.S
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC |
|  | 2.10 | Attribution of twentieth century winter warming over Canada
Barrie R. Bonsal, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and W. D. Hogg |
| 2:15 PM | 2.11 | The Climate of 2000 in Historical Perspective
Jay H. Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Vose, W. Brown, and T. Ross |
| 2:30 PM | 2.12 | The Annual Cycle of Climate Change over the North Atlantic
James W. Hurrell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. K. Folland |
|
| |
| 1:30 PM-4:59 PM, Monday
Session 3 Interannual Variability: I (Parallel with Sessions 2 & 4) |
Organizer: Sumant Nigamy, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD
|
| 1:30 PM | 3.1 | The climatology and variability of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone
Charles Jones, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and L. M. V. Carvalho and B. Liebmann |
| 1:45 PM | 3.2 | The Interannual Variability of Blocking on a Global-Scale: An Update
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and J. M. Wiedenmann |
| 2:00 PM | 3.3 | Seasonal-to-interannual modulations of tropical instability waves and their coupling with the atmosphere
Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and W. T. Liu |
| | 3.4 | Seasonal mean anomalies associated with interannual variability of the Madden-Julian oscillation
Wataru Ohfuchi, Institute for Global Change Research, Frontier System for Global Change Research, Minato, Tokyo, Japan |
| 2:14 PM | 3.5 | Variability in the Atmospheric Annual Cycle
David D. Houghton, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and L. M. Keller |
| 2:29 PM | 3.6 | A linear model of wintertime low-frequency variability
Matthew Newman, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Winkler and P. D. Sardeshmukh |
| 2:44 PM | 3.7 | Effect of the solar cycle on cloud cover variations over the United States
Petra M. Udelhofen, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and R. D. Cess |
| 2:59 PM | | Coffee Break
|
| 3:29 PM | 3.8 | Investigation of a Proposed Solar-Terrestrial Relationship with Potential Monthly and Decadal Implications
Alfred M. Powell Jr., Autometric Inc., Springfield, VA; and P. A. Zuzolo and B. J. Zuzolo |
| 3:44 PM | 3.9 | An evidence of a 11-year solar cycle in the Alaskan climate
R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS |
| 3:59 PM | 3.10 | A Comparison of the Relative Contributions of Solar Variability and CO2 Radiative Forcing to Global Warming
W. F. J. Evans, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, Canada; and E. Puckrin |
| 4:14 PM | 3.11 | The Short-and Long-Term Variability of Selected Midwestern Tornadoes
Matthew D. Chambers, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo and F. A. Akyuz |
| 4:29 PM | 3.12 | Interannual variability of the sources of warm-season precipitation over the Mississippi basin
K. L. Brubaker, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer, A. Sudradjat, and F. Bernal |
| 4:44 PM | 3.13 | The effect of axi-symmetric forcing on the variability of the Antarctic Climate
Tom Lachlan-Cope, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and J. Turner and W. Connolley |
|
| |
| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday
Session 4 Regional Modeling and Downscaling (Parallel with Session 3) |
Organizer: Richard R. Heim, Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
|
| 3:30 PM | 4.1 | Downscaled Climate Change Scenario for the Western U.S. using MAS-SPS model nested within the HadCM2 Scenario
Jinwon Kim, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and N. L. Miller, T. K. Kim, R. A. Arritt, W. J. Gutowski, Z. Pan, and G. Takle |
| 3:45 PM | 4.2 | Regional Climate Modeling of Interannual Variability: EOF Analysis
Jan F. Dutton, Penn State University, Univeristy Park, PA; and E. J. Barron |
| 4:00 PM | 4.3 | Combined statistical-dynamical downscaling of climate simulations
Raymond W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and Z. Pan, W. J. Gutowski, and E. S. Takle |
| | 4.4 | Regional Atmospheric-Oceanic Climate Modeling over Eastern Canada
Manon Faucher, Univ. of Québec, Montréal, PQ, Canada; and D. Caya, R. Laprise, and F. Saucier |
| 4:14 PM | 4.4A | Tropical cyclone sensitivities to differing climate regimes
Jenni L. Evans, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia and Penn State Univ., University Park, PA |
| 4:29 PM | 4.5 | The Community Climate Model (CCM3) Simulation of the West African Rainy Season. Implications for driving Regional Climate Models
Gregory S. Jenkins, Penn State University, University Park, PA |
| 4:44 PM | 4.6 | Climate Sensitivity to Sub-grid Scale Disaggregation of Precipitation
Andrea N. Hahmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. L. Mosor |
| 4:59 PM | 4.7 | Future extreme Weather Patterns over the Great Lakes region
Peter J. Sousounis, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and E. K. Grover |
|
| |
| 5:00 PM, Monday
Oral Sessions end for the day |
| |
| 5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar) |
| |
| 7:00 PM-8:20 PM, Monday
Panel Discussion 1 Town Meeting—Panel Discussion: Future Directions in the U. S. Global Change Research Program |
Panelists: J. Michael Hall, NOAA/OGP; Jack A. Kaye, NASA; Joel D. Scheraga, U.S. EPA, DC; David C. Bader, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC
Moderator: David Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
|
| | PD1.1 | Opening Discussion
Margaret Leinen, NSF, Arlington, VA |
| 7:00 PM | PD1.2 | New Developments in NOAA Climate Resources
J. Michael Hall, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD |
| 7:20 PM | PD1.3 | NASA Earth Science Enterprise Research Strategy
Jack A. Kaye, NASA, Science Mission Directorate, Washington, DC |
| | PD1.4 | Continuing and Shifting Priorities of the USGCRP
Aristides A. Patrinos, U.S. Department of Energy, Germantown, MD |
| 7:40 PM | PD1.4A | U.S. Department of Energy Objectives within the Continuing and Shifting Priorities of the USGCRP
David C. Bader, U.S. Departmet of Energy, Washington, DC |
| 8:00 PM | PD1.5 | Assessing the Consequences of Global Change for the United States: An Overview of the EPA's Global Change Research Program
Joel D. Scheraga, U. S. EPA - Office of Research and Development, Washington, DC; and J. Furlow, J. Gamble, A. Granhsch, S. Herrod-Julius, and C. Rogers |
|
| |
| Tuesday, 16 January 2001 |
| 8:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday
Session 5 Surface-Atmosphere Interactions (Parallel with Session 6 & Joint Session 2) |
Organizer: Michael Crowe, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
|
| 8:00 AM | 5.1 | Resolution and Spatial Compatibility issues in Land Surface Modeling
Jared K. Entin, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. R. Houser, D. Toll, J. Radakovich, and B. Cosgrove |
| 8:15 AM | 5.2 | The potential impact of proper land-surface representation on spring dynamical seasonal predictions
C. Adam Schlosser, COLA, Calverton, MD; and J. Shukla, P. A. Dirmeyer, and L. Tan |
| 8:30 AM | 5.3 | Role of land surface description for regional climate modeling
Loren D. White, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS |
| 8:45 AM | 5.4 | Water vapor tracers as diagnostics for the regional hydrologic cycle
Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Schubert |
| 9:00 AM | 5.5 | Relative Influence of Initial Surface and Atmospheric Conditions on Seasonal Water and Energy Balances
Robert J. Oglesby, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and S. Marshall, J. O. Roads, and F. R. Robertson |
| 9:15 AM | 5.6 | Sensitivity of the observed U.S. water budget to two different precipitation estimates
Evgeney S. Yarosh, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and C. F. Ropelewski |
| 9:30 AM | 5.7 | Changes in snow depth and soil moisture from regional climate model simulations of future scenario climates
Eugene S. Takle, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and Z. Pan, R. W. Arritt, and W. J. Gutowski |
| 9:45 AM | 5.8 | Response of regional hydrology to single- & multi-storm events in Susquehanna River Basin Experiment (SRBEX)
Zhongbo Yu, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, NV; and E. J. Barron, B. Yarnal, M. N. Lakhtakia, R. A. White, D. Pollard, and D. A. Miller |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
|
| 10:30 AM | 5.9 | Impact of land surface heterogeneity on the spatial organization of cumulus clouds
U. S. Nair, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and R. M. Welch, R. O. Lawton, and R. A. Pielke |
| 10:45 AM | 5.10 | Climate sensitivity to land surface variability from minutes to years
Paul A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and O. Reale and C. A. Schlosser |
| 11:00 AM | 5.11 | Providing Realistic Vegetation Phenological Description for Regional Climate Simulations
Lixin Lu, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. Shuttleworth |
| 11:15 AM | 5.12 | Effects of free-air carbon dioxide enrichment (FACE) and water stress on the energy balance and evapotranspiration of sorghum
Jonathan M. Triggs, USDA/ARS, Phoenix, AZ; and B. A. Kimball, M. M. Conley, T. J. Brooks, R. L. LaMorte, P. J. Pinter, G. W. Wall, and C. C. O'Brien |
| 11:30 AM | 5.13 | Climate lessons from the study of the boreal forest
Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT; and J. H. Ball and J. H. McCaughey |
| 11:45 AM | 5.14 | Prescribed versus dynamic leaf area index in simulating surface energy and water budgets: experiments with NCAR LSM and CLM using field data from an agriculture site
Zong-Liang Yang, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Y. Niu |
|
| |
| 8:30 AM-4:43 PM, Tuesday
Joint Session 2 Climatology of Precipitation Extremes: Observed Characteristics, Trends and Impacts (Joint with the 12th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations and the Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses) |
Organizer: Greg Johnson, USDA-NRCS, Portland, OR
|
| 8:30 AM | J2.1 | Orographic Thunderstorms and extreme floods along the western margin of the central appalachians
James A. Smith, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and M. L. Baeck, N. S. Hicks, and Y. Zhang |
| 9:00 AM | J2.2 | Storm Precipitation Structure in the Eastern United States: Part I, Spatial Changes
Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and J. R. Angel and S. E. Hollinger |
| 9:15 AM | J2.3 | Storm Precipitation Structure in the Eastern United States: Part II, Temporal Changes
James R. Angel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and M. A. Palecki and S. E. Hollinger |
| 9:30 AM | J2.4 | Analysis of Seasonal, Climate, and Elevation Effects on Times Between Storms
James V. Bonta, USDA/ARS, Coshocton, OH; and C. T. Hanson and T. Keefer |
| 9:45 AM | J2.5 | Using PRISM to Map Extreme Precipitation Events
Christopher Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and G. H. Taylor |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
|
| 10:30 AM | J2.6 | Very heavy precipitation over the contiguous United States: Climatology, trends, and relationship with high streamflow and cloudiness
Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Knight, T. R. Karl, and B. Sun |
| 11:00 AM | J2.7 | Midwest U.S. Trends in Precipitation Extremes and Event Return Periods
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL |
| 11:15 AM | J2.8 | Trend and Shift Statistics on Annual Maximum Precipitation in Ohio River Basin over the Last Century
Bingzhang Lin, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and L. T. Julian |
| 11:30 AM | J2.9 | SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN THE UNITED STATES
Stanley A. Changnon, ISWS, Champaign, IL |
| 12:00 PM | | Session Adjourns for Lunch
|
| 12:15 PM | | Conference Luncheon
|
| 2:15 PM | J2.10 | NOAA Atlas 14—New Precipitation Frequencies for the United States
Lesley T. Julian, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 2:45 PM | J2.11 | It Is Time To Update The NOAA Precipitation Frequency Information
Nolan J. Doesken, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO |
| 3:00 PM | J2.12 | Development of a New Storm Generator Model and Associated Precipitation Studies
James V. Bonta, USDA/ARS, Coshocton, OH |
| 3:15 PM | J2.13 | Characteristics of Extreme Precipitation and Associated Streamflow in the Reynold's creek Experimental watershed, Idaho
Clayton L. Hanson, USDA/ARS, Boise, ID; and F. B. Pierson |
| 3:30 PM | | Coffee Break
|
| 4:00 PM | J2.14 | Paleohydrologic estimates of convective rainfall in the Rocky Mountains
Robert D. Jarrett, U.S. Geological Survey, Lakewood, CO |
| | J2.15 | Extreme Precipitation and Hydrometeorology Investigations and Needs
John F. England Jr., U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO |
| 4:14 PM | J2.16 | Creative Re-Construction of Historical Extreme Convective Precipitation Events using Radar, Cloud-to-Ground Lightning and Conventional Observations
John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO |
| 4:29 PM | J2.17 | Generalized and Site-Specific Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) Studies for Dam safety evaluations
Edward M. Tomlinson, Applied Weather Associates, Monument, CO |
| | J2.18 | Application of a stochastic precipitation model to estimate the inflow frequency of extreme floods to Folsom Dam on the American River Basin, near Sacramento, California
David M. Goldman, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Davis, CA; and M. Schaefer and B. Barker |
|
| |
| 8:45 AM-12:15 PM, Tuesday
Session 6 Regional Integrated Assessment Co-Sponsored by the Committee on Societal Impacts (Parallel with Session 5 & Joint Session 2) |
Organizer: Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD
|
| 8:45 AM | 6.1 | The NOAA-OGP Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments Program: Informing the development of placed-based services in responding to environmental stresses
Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD |
| 9:00 AM | 6.2 | Climate assessment for the Southwest project: an integrated approach
Roger C. Bales, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. J. Morehouse |
| 9:15 AM | 6.3 | A vertically integrated assessment of climate impacts on water supply in Arizona
Barbara J. Morehouse, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. F. Glueck, R. C. Bales, A. C. Comrie, R. H. Carter, P. R. Sheppard, and G. M. Garfin |
| 9:30 AM | 6.4 | Climate variability and water in the Interior West
S. K. Avery, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Dole |
| 9:45 AM | 6.5 | Integrated regional assessment: the South Platte Basin
William E. Riebsame, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado; and Western Water Assessment Team |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
|
| 10:30 AM | 6.6 | An Operational Program for Applications of Climate Information: A Cooperative Venture with Florida's Agricultural Extension System
James W. Jones, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and P. Hildebrand, S. Jagtap, F. Zazueta, J. J. O'Brien, D. Zierden, D. Letson, and G. P. Podestá |
| 10:45 AM | 6.7 | Application of Seasonal Climate Forecasts to Agriculture in the Southeastern United States
James W. Jones, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and J. J. O'Brien, G. P. Podesta, and D. Letson |
| 11:00 AM | 6.8 | Overview of the California Applications Program (CAP)
Daniel R. Cayan, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA |
| 11:15 AM | 6.9 | An Integrated Assessment of Climate Impacts on the Pacific Northwest
Edward L. Miles, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and N. J. Mantua, P. W. Mote, A. F. Hamlet, and A. K. Snover |
| 11:30 AM | 6.10 | The Impacts of Climate Variability and Climate Change on the Water Resources of the Columbia River Basin
Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet |
| 11:45 AM | 6.11 | Vulnerabity, sensitivity, and adaptability of Columbia Basin water resources to natural and anthropogenic climate change
Edward L. Miles, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. K. Snover, A. F. Hamlet, D. P. Lettenmaier, B. Callahan, and D. Fluharty |
| 12:00 PM | | Lunch Break
|
|
| |
| 10:00 AM-2:00 PM, Tuesday
Exhibit Hours |
| |
| 12:15 PM, Tuesday
Annual Meeting Luncheon |
|
| |
| 2:30 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday
Session 7 Climate Modeling: AMIP (Parallel with Session 8) |
Organizer: Richard R. Heim, Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
|
| 2:30 PM | 7.1 | Preliminary results from the AMIP II experiment
Justin J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and B. D. Santer |
| 2:45 PM | 7.2 | Assessment of modeled snow cover from General Circulation Models
Anne W. Nolin, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. Frei and S. Pitter |
| 3:00 PM | 7.3 | Evaluation of tropospheric humidity in AMIP II simulations
Rebecca J. Ross, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Gaffen |
| 3:15 PM | 7.4 | An examination of the sensitivity of a GCM to a coupled and uncoupled mode
Justin J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. Boyle, B. D. Santer, M. Wehner, and B. Govindasamy |
|
| |
| 2:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday
Session 8 Observed Variability and Change: Upper Air (Parallel with Session 7, 9 & Joint Session J2) |
Organizer: Tom Peterson, NOAA, Asheville, NC
|
| 2:30 PM | 8.1 | Global temperature variations and trends above the surface
John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL |
| 2:45 PM | 8.2 | isparity of temperature trends (1979–99) of atmosphere and surface: can we trust the surface data?
S. Fred Singer, Science & Environmental Policy Project, Fairfax, VA |
| 3:00 PM | 8.3 | Detection and analysis of rapid temperature changes over a large pole-centered spatial domain
Lee Burns, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Christy |
| 3:15 PM | 8.4 | The Comprehensive Aerological Reference Dataset (CARDS): Current Status and Future Objectives
Amy R. Holbrooks, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC |
| 3:30 PM | | Coffee Break
|
| 4:00 PM | 8.5 | Effect of volcanoes on the vertical temperature profile
Melissa Free, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and J. K. Angell and A. Robock |
| 4:15 PM | 8.6 | Decadal variations in the tropical tropopause: Implications for stratospheric water vapor
Dian J. Gaffen, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Ross, J. K. Angell, and G. C. Reid |
| 4:30 PM | 8.7 | Interannual Variability and Long-Term Trends in Upper Tropospheric Humidity
John J. Bates, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO |
| 4:45 PM | 8.8 | Interannual-to-interdecadal changes in the atmospheric moisture over the global tropics
Igor I. Zveryaev, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and P. S. Chu |
|
| |
| 3:30 PM-7:00 PM, Tuesday
0a Exhibit Hours |
| |
| 4:00 PM-5:15 PM, Tuesday
Session 9 North American Monsoon (Parallel with Session 8 & Joint Session J2) |
Organizer: Henry Diaz, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO
|
| 4:00 PM | 9.1 | Modelling the effects of land surface forcing on the North American Monsoon System
David S. Gutzler, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and J. Stalker, P. J. Fawcett, and D. Henderson |
| 4:15 PM | 9.2 | Influence of interannual variation in snow mass in modulating the onset and intensity of the North American monsoon circulation.
Fiona A. Lo, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Clark |
| 4:30 PM | 9.3 | Effects of synoptic events on modulating seasonal variations in the North American Monsoon System
Eileen A. Hall-McKim, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. W. Nolin, M. P. Clark, F. Lo, and M. C. Serreze |
| 4:45 PM | 9.4 | Mechanisms limiting the poleward extent of the summer monsoon: South America, North America and Africa
Chia Chou, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and H. Su |
| 5:00 PM | 9.5 | North American Monsoonal Moisture Sources and Climatic Teleconnections Revealed Using Precipitation Stable Isotope Timeseries.
William E. Wright, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and A. Long, A. C. Comrie, S. W. Leavitt, T. Cavazos, and C. Eastoe |
|
| |
| 5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Tuesday
Grand Poster Night |
| |
| 5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Tuesday
Poster Session 1 Global Change and Climate Variations Poster Session |
| | P1.1 | Assessing regional change and vulnerability
William E. Riebsame, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. Huff, R. Platt, D. Theobald, and T. Dickinson |
| | P1.2 | Climate impacts on water supply and demand zones in the South Platte
Klaus Wolter, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Hoerling, M. Medovaya, C. Anderson, J. Eischeid, C. A. Woodhouse, G. Bates, and M. P. Clark |
| | P1.3 | Use of ENSO information in improving seasonal water supply outlooks.
Martyn P. Clark, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Hoerling, K. Wolter, A. J. Ray, M. C. Serreze, and G. J. McCabe |
| | P1.4 | Development of short-term streamflow forecasts for specific management applications: Case study of flow augmentation requirements for the maintenance of endangered fish habitat.
Martyn P. Clark, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. E. Hay, J. Pitlick, A. J. Ray, D. R. Cayan, M. Dettinger, M. Meyer-Tyree, and G. H. Leavesley |
| | P1.5 | Dendrohydrologic reconstructions: Applications to water resource management
Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA - National Geophysical Data Center and Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. M. Meko |
| | P1.6 | Implications of climate variability for low flows and dilution of discharges from point sources
James F. Saunders III, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Lewis |
| | P1.7 | User studies in the Interior West: investigating current uses of climate information and user needs
Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb and J. D. Wiener |
| | P1.8 | Value of Climate/Streamflow Forecasts for Non-Firm Energy Production in the Columbia River Basin
Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Huppert and D. P. Lettenmaier |
| | P1.9 | An Analysis of the Influence of El Nino and La Nina on Tornado Occurrence in the United States
Adam C. Rosensweet, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith |
| | P1.10 | Is the warming trend in eastern China due to the high absorbing aerosols?
Shaocai Yu, Duke University, Durham, NC; and J. Dong |
| | P1.11 | The effects of land use change on snowcover and the resulting influences on weather and regional climate
John E. Strack, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. E. Liston and R. A. Pielke |
| | P1.12 | Satellite Retrieval algorithm for Atmospheric Water Budget of Gulf of Mexico-Caribbean sea Basin: Seasonal Variability
Pablo Santos Jr., NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and E. A. Smith |
| | P1.13 | Regional Climate Variations with Increasing CO2 in East Asia
Ki-Ho Chang, Meteorological Research Institute, Seoul, South Korea; and C. U. Huh, J. H. Choi, J. H. Oh, and J. Kim |
| | P1.14 | Investigation of the North Pacific Sea Ice Anomalies in the Context of Atmospheric and Oceanic Variability
Adrienne Tivy, Frontier Research System for Global Change and University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and U. S. Bhatt |
| | P1.15 | A detailed study of the April observational data for the Mt. Washington area over the past 45 years
Timothy O. Markle, Plymouth State College, Plymouth, NH; and N. C. Witcraft, J. P. Koermer, B. D. Keim, and M. K. Politovitch |
| | P1.16 | Trends in climate extremes in Southeast Asia, the South Pacific, and Australasia
Neville Nicholls, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and M. Haylock and T. Kestin |
| | P1.17 | EOFs of Climate Variability in Finite Interval and its Application in Climate signal Detection
Qigang Wu, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. R. North |
| | P1.18 | Revised U.S. Climate Change Indices
Byron E. Gleason, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. R. Easterling |
| | P1.19 | Sensitivity of Climate Simulations to Land-surface Complexity: Beginning AMIP Diagnostic Subproject No. 12
Parviz Irannejad, Environment, Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and A. Henderson-Sellers, T. J. Phillips, and K. McGuffie |
| | P1.20 | Development of a catchment-based hydrometeorological forcing data set for land surface modeling applications
Aaron A. Berg, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and J. S. Famiglietti, J. P. Walker, and P. R. Houser |
| | P1.21 | A time-slice experiment with the ECHAM AGCM at high resolution: The impact of horizontal resolution on the simulation of climate change
Wilhelm May, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark; and E. Roeckner |
| | P1.22 | Estimation of anthropogenic signals in atmospheric GCMs using the General Linear Model and an efficient experimental design
David M. H. Sexton, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and H. Grubb |
| | P1.23 | Spring to Summer Transitions in the Missouri Ozarks Region
Christopher W. Ratley, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo and M. A. Baxter |
| | P1.24 | Potential impacts of climate change on winter survival of perennial forage crops in the QuÉbec region of Canada
Andrew Bootsma, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and G. Bélanger, P. Rochette, Y. Castonguay, and D. Mongrain |
| | P1.25 | The US CLIVAR Program
David M. Legler, US CLIVAR Office, Washington, DC |
| | P1.26 | Decadal Variability in Tropical Broadband Radiation Budget
Takmeng Wong, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and B. A. Wielicki and D. F. Young |
| | P1.27 | Comparison of two-dimensional cloud resolving model simulations with shipboard radar observations during TOGA COARE
Scott J. Carpenter, Aeromet, Inc., Kwajalein, Marshall Islands; and S. A. Rutledge, X. Wu, and M. W. Moncrieff |
| | P1.28 | Assessing the importance of snowmelt in distributed hydrologic simulations
C. Adam Schlosser, COLA, Calverton, MD; and W. J. Capehart and D. M. Mocko |
| | P1.29 | The Asian Monsoon and the TBO in the NCAR CCSM
Johannes Loschnigg, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI |
|
| |
| Wednesday, 17 January 2001 |
| 8:00 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday
President's Symposium |
| |
| 10:00 AM, Wednesday
President's Symposium Continued |
| |
| 1:30 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday
Session 10 Weather Risk and Derivatives (Parallel with Sessions 11 & 12) |
Organizer: Bob Dischel, Consultant Meteorologist, New York, NY
|
| 1:30 PM | 10.1 | Advancements in meteorological issues for the weather risk market.
Bob Dischel, Consultant Meteorologist, New York, NY |
| 2:00 PM | 10.2 | Advances in climate data collection, processing and distribution
Michael Crowe, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. R. Karl |
| 2:30 PM | 10.3 | Forecasts of weather probabilities
R. E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD |
| 3:00 PM | | Coffee Break
|
| 3:30 PM | 10.4 | Seasonal Forecasts for Use in Weather Risk Management
Ants Leetmaa, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD |
| 4:00 PM | 10.5 | European climate data and forecasting
Harry A. F. Otten, Meteo Consult, Wageningen, Netherlands |
| | 10.6 | Weather and Risk Management
Barbara J. Richardson, United Kingdom Metrological Office, London, United Kingdom |
|
| |
| 1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Wednesday
Session 11 Climate Forcing (Parallel with Sessions 10 & 12) |
Organizer: Bruce Baker, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
|
| 1:30 PM | 11.1 | Top of Atmosphere Radiant Fluxes and Climate Classification
Anne C. Wilber, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and P. W. Stackhouse |
| 1:45 PM | 11.2 | Interannual Variance of Earth Radiation
Kathryn A. Bush, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and T. D. Bess |
| 2:00 PM | 11.3 | An apparent multi-decadal trend in shortwave cloud forcing over the tropical Pacific
Richard C. J. Somerville, SIO/University of California, La Jolla, CA; and G. L. Potter, M. Kanamitsu, J. J. Hnilo, and J. Woolen |
| 2:15 PM | 11.4 | Simulation of radiative transfer through broken cloud fields using a stochastic approach
Dana E. Lane, SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville and S. F. Iacobellis |
| 2:30 PM | 11.5 | Cloud and surface radiative properties over the Antarctic Plateau from AVHRR data
Dan Lubin, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Berque and R. C. J. Somerville |
| 2:45 PM | 11.6 | Evaluation of cloud and radiation parameterizations using a long-term data set produced by a single-column model forced with NCEP GSM data
Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville |
| 3:00 PM | | Coffee Break
|
| 3:30 PM | 11.7 | Tropical cloud radiative forcing and the tropical Hadley/Walker circulation: a simple model
Baijun Tian, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan |
| 3:45 PM | 11.8 | Aerosol Radiative Forcing Observed from Natural and Anthropogenic Sources
Andrew M. Vogelmann, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and V. Ramanathan |
| 4:00 PM | 11.9 | Changes in cirrus cloudiness and their relationship to contrails
Patrick Minnis, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and J. K. Ayers, R. Palikondra, D. R. Doelling, U. Schumann, and K. Gierens |
| 4:15 PM | 11.10 | The Effects of Amazonian Deforestation on Regional and Global Climate
David Werth, Rutger University, New Brunswick, NJ; and R. Avissar |
| 4:30 PM | 11.11 | Influence of Phytoplankton on Climate
Karen M. Shell, SIO/University of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. Frouin, S. F. Iacobellis, and R. C. J. Somerville |
| 4:45 PM | 11.12 | North Pacific Sea Ice and its Associated Atmospheric Variability
Uma S. Bhatt, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and S. Häkkinen |
|
| |
| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday
Session 12 Precipitation Analysis: Satellite and Surface (Parallel with Sessions 10 & 11) |
Organizer: Jenni L. Evans, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
|
| 1:30 PM | 12.1 | Data and products available at the Surface Reference Data Center
Michael D. Klatt, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. L. Morrissey and J. S. Greene |
| 1:45 PM | 12.2 | Global Precipitation: A 50-Year Analysis Based on Interpolation and Reconstruction of Gauge Observations
Mingyue Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, and P. A. Arkin |
| 2:00 PM | 12.3 | Interannual variability of tropical precipitation: how well do climate models agree with current satellite estimates?
Franklin R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and S. Marshall, J. Roads, R. J. Oglesby, and D. Fitzjarrald |
| 2:15 PM | 12.4 | Rainfall Estimates over WestAfrica from TRMM PR, TRMM Merged, CMAP, SSM/I: A Comparison of the Interannual Variability for 1998 and 1999
Andrea M. Sealy, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and G. S. Jenkins |
| 2:30 PM | 12.5 | Space-Time Characteristics of Rainfall Diurnal Variations
Song Yang, JCET/Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and C. Kummerow, W. Olson, and E. Smith |
| 2:45 PM | 12.6 | Variability and Mean States of rainfall in West Africa (1998-2000) as inferred from TRMM PR: Vertical Cross Sections
Gregory S. Jenkins, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and S. C. Walford |
|
| |
| 3:30 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday
Session 13 Seasonal Prediction (Parallel with Sessions 11 & 14) |
Organizer: Chester F. Ropelewski, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
|
| 3:30 PM | 13.1 | Dynamical seasonal prediction including the effects of land surface anomalies
Paul A. Dirmeyer, COLA, Calverton, MD; and J. Shukla, C. A. Schlosser, and L. Tan |
| 3:45 PM | 13.2 | Seasonal predictability of African summer rainfall
Wassila Mamadou Thiaw, NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD |
| 4:00 PM | 13.3 | Are extratropical seasonal anomalies more predictable during El Niño than La Niña ?
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo and C. Penland |
| 4:15 PM | 13.4 | Verification of Hindcasts Made by the Astronomical Climatic Prediction
John C. Freeman, Weather Research Center, Houston, TX; and J. F. Hasling |
|
| |
| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Wednesday
Session 14 Observed Variability and Change: Surface Part I (Parallel with Sessions 11 & 13) |
Organizer: David Robinson, Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ
|
| 3:30 PM | 14.1 | Planetary circulation and Canadian temperature trends
Xuebin Zhang, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and J. Sheng and W. D. Hogg |
| 3:45 PM | 14.2 | The Influence of the Atmospheric Circulation on Diurnal Temperature Range Trends
Imke Durre, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace |
| 4:00 PM | 14.3 | An Assessment of the Magnitude of Urban Heat Islands
Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC |
| 4:15 PM | 14.4 | Assessing the spatial representativeness of air temperature records
Michael J. Janis, Southeast Regional Climate Center, Columbia, SC |
| 4:30 PM | 14.5 | A Further Examination of Regional Temperature Trends in Atlantic Canada
Karen M. Sutherland, MSC/EC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and G. S. Lines |
| 4:45 PM | 14.6 | Assessing observed temperature and cloud amount trends for China over the last half of the Twentieth Century: What can the sunshine duration record tell us?
Dale P. Kaiser, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN |
|
| |
| 5:00 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day |
| |
| 6:00 PM, Wednesday
Reception (Cash Bar) |
| |
| 7:30 PM-9:00 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet |
| |
| Thursday, 18 January 2001 |
| 8:15 AM-2:15 PM, Thursday
Joint Session 1 Global Climatology of Aerosols (Joint with the Millennium Symposium on Atmospheric Chemistry and the 12th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations) |
Organizer: Donald J. Wuebbles, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL
|
| 8:15 AM | J1.1 | The GOCART Model Study of Aerosol Composition and Radiative Forcing
Mian Chin, Georgia Tech, Atlanta, GA and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. Ginoux, B. Holben, M. D. Chou, S. Kinne, and C. Weaver |
| 8:30 AM | J1.2 | Satellite Aerosol Climatology Using AVHRR Channel 1 and 2 Radiances: An Update of the GACP Algorithm
Igor V. Geogdzhayev, Columbia University and NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and M. I. Mishchenko and W. B. Rossow |
| 8:45 AM | J1.3 | Inference of aerosol optical depth over land through the retrieval of surface BRDF parameters from the AVHRR pathfinder atmosphere data set
Kenneth R. Knapp, CIRA-NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and L. L. Stowe |
| 9:00 AM | J1.4 | Global Climatology of Aerosol Optical Thickness and Size for the Period of NOAA-9 Observations
Michael I. Mishchenko, NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and I. V. Geogdzhayev |
| | J1.5 | Discriminating dust and clouds using AVHRR data
Qingyuan Han, GHCC, Huntsville, AL; and J. Chou, T. Berendes, and R. M. Welch |
| 9:14 AM | J1.6 | Variability of Aerosol Properties as Determined by Long-term Surface Observations
David J. Delene, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Ogren |
| 9:29 AM | J1.7 | Determination of an Asian dust radiative signature over the North Pacific Ocean and Hawaii from surface and satellite observations in UV and visible wavelengths
Ana Lía Quijano, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and I. N. Sokolik, B. A. Bodhaine, E. G. Dutton, J. A. Ogren, and B. J. Huebert |
| 9:44 AM | J1.8 | Characterizing the radiative effects of smoke from large scale vegetation fire events using radiometric surface observations, satellite retrievals and trajectory modeling
Paul W. Stackhouse Jr., NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and S. J. Cox, M. Chiacchio, B. A. Baum, R. B. Pierce, and V. L. Harvey |
| 9:59 AM | | Coffee Break
|
| 10:00 AM | | Exhibit Hours 10:00 a.m.–1:30 p.m.
|
| 10:29 AM | J1.9 | Aerosol Climatology of the Pacific: Production, Transport, Evolution and Mixing Evident in Two Decades of Aerosol Measurements
Antony D. Clarke, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and V. N. Kapustin |
| 10:44 AM | J1.10 | A Summary and Comparison of Aerosol Properties Measured during Recent International Field Campaigns (ACE 1, ACE 2, TARFOX, and INDOEX)
Patricia K. Quinn, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and T. S. Bates, D. J. Coffman, D. S. Covert, P. Sheridan, J. Livingston, and P. Durkee |
| 10:59 AM | J1.11 | Possible effects of aerosol-induced ice clouds
Ulrike Lohmann, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada |
| 11:14 AM | J1.12 | Characterization of the optical properties of irregular mineral dust aggregates combining individual particle analysis and modeling
Olga V. Kalashnikova, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and I. N. Sokolik and J. R. Anderson |
| 11:29 AM | J1.13 | Derivation of surface and TOA direct radiative forcing due to boreal forest fires using satellite retrievals and surface observations
Stephen J. Cox, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and P. W. Stackhouse, B. A. Baum, and M. Chiacchio |
| 11:44 AM | J1.14 | INDOEX Aerosol Optical Depths and Radiative Forcing Derived from AVHRR
W. R. Tahnk, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and J. A. Coakley |
| 11:59 AM | | Lunch Break
|
| 1:29 PM | J1.15 | Limits to the Aerosol Indirect Radiative Forcing Derived from Observations of Ship Tracks
James A. Coakley Jr., Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and C. D. Walsh |
| 1:44 PM | J1.16 | A COMPARISON OF SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND ECHAM4-GCM EXPERIMENTS AND ITS RELEVANCE TO THE INDIRECT AEROSOL EFFECT
Beate G. Liepert, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY |
| | J1.17 | Role of Sulfate Aerosols in Modifying the Regional Climate through Cloud-Mediated Radiative Forcing
V.K. Saxena, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Menon, P. Durkee, B. N. Wenny, and K. Nielsen |
| 1:58 PM | J1.18 | Changes in the vertical temperature structure associated with carbonaceous aerosols
Yang Zhang, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and J. E. Penner, C. C. Chuang, B. D. Santer, and K. Taylor |
|
| |
| 8:15 AM-2:59 PM, Thursday
Session 15 Interannual Variability: II |
Organizer: Matthew A. Barlow, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
|
| 8:15 AM | 15.1 | The spatial and temporal signatures of low-frequency Pacific variability
Mathew A. Barlow, Columbia University, Palisades, NY |
| 8:30 AM | 15.2 | A simple atmosphere-ocean coupled model for the north Pacific interdecadal variability
Soon-Il An, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI |
| 8:45 AM | 15.3 | Western U.S. Inversions and the link to Pacific Climate Variability
Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. R. Cayan |
| 9:00 AM | 15.4 | Implications for the next decade of different views of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Robert E. Livezey, Climate Services Division/OCWWS/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and T. M. Smith |
| 9:15 AM | 15.5 | A Indo-Pacific SST teleconnection pattern during ENSO
Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and C. R. Mechoso |
| 9:30 AM | 15.6 | The evolution of tropical and extratropical precipitation during ENSO events
W. R. Scott Curtis III, JCET/Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and R. F. Adler |
| | 15.7 | Simulating Historical Precipitation Variability Associated With ENSO
Brian J Soden, GFDL, Princeton, NJ |
| 9:44 AM | 15.8 | Surface heating, upper ocean heat content, and the magnitude of El Nino warming
De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO |
| 9:59 AM | | Coffee Break
|
| 10:29 AM | 15.9 | Variety of El Nino and La Nina in the 2oth Century
Chung-Chieng A. Lai, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and Z. Huang |
| 10:44 AM | 15.10 | Summer drought in northern China
Hengyi-yi Weng, SAIC/General Sciences Co., Greenbelt, MD; and K. -. M. Lau |
| 10:59 AM | 15.11 | Sensitivity of tropical climate to SST forcing
Hui Su, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and C. Chou |
| 11:14 AM | 15.12 | The climate diagnostics of Asian summer monsoon
P.L.S. Rao, IBM India Research Laboratory, New Delhi, India |
| 11:29 AM | 15.13 | The Variability of Wintertime Precipitation in the Northern Coast of Egypt and Its Relationship with the North Atlantic Oscillation
Y. Y. Hafez, Cairo University, Giza, Cairo, Egypt; and H. M. Hassanean |
| 11:44 AM | | Lunch Break
|
| 1:29 PM | 15.14 | On intergyre dynamic communication
Huijun Yang, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL |
| 1:44 PM | 15.15 | Arctic oscillation and variations in wintertime jetstreams
Julian X. L. Wang, NOAA/OAR/ARL, Silver Spring, MD |
| 1:59 PM | 15.16 | A non-linear response of the Antarctic Oscillation to stratospheric ozone depletion
David M. H. Sexton, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom |
| 2:14 PM | 15.17 | A study of Arctic Oscillation induced by a positive feedback between the polar vortex and baroclinic instability
H. L. Tanaka, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan; and H. Tokinaga |
| 2:29 PM | 15.18 | The Arctic Frontal Zone as Seen in the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis
Mark C. Serreze, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. H. Lynch and M. P. Clark |
| 2:44 PM | 15.19 | Natural and Anthropogenic Climate Variations in the Arctic
John W. Weatherly, U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab, Hanover, NH; and C. Bitz |
|
| |
| 9:00 AM-11:44 AM, Thursday
Session 16 Observed Variability and Change: Surface Part II (Parallel with Session 15 & Joint Session J1) |
Organizer: Jay H. Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
|
| 9:00 AM | 16.1 | Global warming and the surface air temperature trend in polar regions
Petr Chylek, NOAA/ERL/ARL and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada; and G. Lesins, E. C. Weatherhead, and J. DeLuisi |
| 9:15 AM | 16.2 | Decadal, Interannual, and Annual Variations of Water Levels on the Great Lakes
Jose A. Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY |
| 9:30 AM | 16.3 | Decade-Scale Precipitation and Streamflow Variations in the Kansas-Nebraska Region
J. Garbrecht, USDA/ARS, El Reno, OK; and F. Rossel and J. Schneider |
| 9:45 AM | 16.4 | Trends in Global Monsoon Circulations: Evidence for a Diminished Hydrological Cycle?
Thomas N. Chase, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Knaff and R. A. Pielke |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
|
| | 16.5 | Global Warming, Precipitation trends and the Hydrologic Cycle: An Assessment
Madhav L. Khandekar, Unionville Consulting Meteorologist, Unionvilleo, ON, Canada |
| 10:29 AM | 16.6 | Variability and Trends in the Hydro-Climatology of the Major Eurasian Arctic Drainages
Andrew J. Etringer, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. C. Serreze, M. P. Clark, R. G. Barry, and D. H. Bromwich |
| 10:44 AM | 16.7 | Tropical cyclone precipitation and dry spell mitigation
Byron E. Gleason, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. R. Easterling |
| 10:59 AM | 16.8 | Vegetation and Drought Monitoring of the Mongolia using Satellate and Meteorological data
Bayarjargal U. Yunden, Jacob Blaustein International Desert Research Institute, Sede Boqer, Midrashat, Negev, Israel |
| 11:14 AM | 16.9 | The Contrast of Structure and Analysis of Cause for China¡¯s Temperature Fields in Two Periods During The Last 100 Years
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and Q. Tu |
| 11:29 AM | 16.10 | Research on LFV of global and south-north mean temperature in last 150 years
Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and Q. Tu and N. Shi |
|
| |
| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break |
| |
| 3:00 PM-6:00 PM, Thursday
0b Exhibit Hours |
| |
| 5:00 PM-6:00 PM, Thursday
Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar) |
| |
| 5:00 PM, Thursday
Conference ends |
| |
| 6:30 PM, Thursday
Closing Keynote Address |
|
| |
| 7:30 PM-9:30 PM, Thursday
Fiesta |
| |