Session: Summer Storms (Poster session) (The 81st AMS Annual Meeting)

P2.1

HPVCI—Convective Initiation

Paul J. Croft, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and D. Lu, J. Hafner, P. J. Fitzpatrick, and R. S. Reddy

P2.2

The sensitvity of West African squall line development to land cover changes

Karen I. Mohr, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Baker, W. K. Tao, and J. S. Famiglietti

P2.3

Cloud physical process in heavy rainfall of Mei-yu frontal system in South China

Peng-Yun Wang, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and J. Yang, Z. Ruan, and S. Z. Yang

P2.4

The contribution of orographic rainfall to the extreme precipitation in Southeastern Africa in Spring 2000

Chris C. Funk, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and R. F. MacCracken

P2.5

The Relationship between intense, short-duration precipiation and flash floods

Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO

P2.6

Diurnal variations of summer precipitation between wet and dry years in the central U.S

Zaitao Pan, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and M. Segal, R. W. Arritt, and T. C. Chen

P2.7

Characterization Of The Distribution Of Cloud Spectra For Thunderstorms In The Western Mediterranean Area

Jose L. Sánchez, University of Leon, Leon, Spain; and E. García and J. L. Marcos

P2.8

Extreme precipitation frequency in the Semiarid Southwest

Lesley T. Julian, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. L. Vogel

P2.9

A Global Climatology of Thunderstorm, Hail, and Tornado Days

Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO

P2.10

Numerical Sensitivities in Convective/Nonconvective Cloud Interactions in MM5

Carlie J. Coats Jr., MCNC North Carolina Supercomputing Center, Research Triangle Park, NC; and J. N. McHenry

P2.11

Extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America and relationships with the South Atlantic Convergence Zone

Leila M. V. Carvalho, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. Jones and B. Liebmann

P2.12

Predictability of heavy precipitation induced by mesoscale convective vortices

Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. B. Trier, D. A. Ahijevych, and R. E. Carbone

P2.13

The sensitivity of simulated supercell precipitation to microphysical parameters

Susan C. van den Heever, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton

P2.14

Potential vorticity streamers and their role in the development of mesoscale convective systems, part III: numerical weather simulations

Adrian Marroquin, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and F. Caracena and E. I. Tollerud

P2.15

Soil moisture and mesoscale convective complex development during the 1993 Midwest flood: Results from the MM5-PLACE atmosphere/land-surface model

R. David Baker, Austin College, Sherman, TX; and Y. Wang, W. K. Tao, and P. Wetzel

P2.16

Front Range severe flash flooding and El-Niño

P2.17

October 1998 Extreme Rains Over South Central Texas

Robert A. Blaha, NOAA/NWS, New Braunfels, TX

P2.18

Overview of the 7 May 2000 extreme rain event in Missouri

Patrick S. Market, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo, C. E. Halcomb, F. A. Akyüz, and P. Guinan

P2.19

Analysis Of Heavy Precipitation In The Region Of Valencia (Spain) By Means Of Ir Images From The Meteosat

Jose L. Sánchez, University of Leon, Leon, Spain; and M. V. Fernández, F. Pastor, and M. J. Estrela

P2.20

Synoptic and spatial variability of the rainfall along the northern Peruvian coast during the 1997–8 El Niño event

Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. Peña, N. Ordinola, L. Flores, and J. Boustead

P2.21

Big Thompson, 1976 to Buffalo Creek, 1996: Evolutions in emergency reponse to extreme preciptiation events

John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO

P2.22

The extreme east-central Missouri flash flood of 6–7 May 2000

Fred H. Glass, NOAA/NWS, St. Charles, MO; and J. P. Gagan and J. T. Moore

P2.23

MM5 Simulations of the Las Vegas flash flood of 8 July 1999: The role of SSTs

Dorothea C. Ivanova, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. L. Mitchell and R. Rabin

P2.24

The Role of Dual Cold Fronts Aloft in a Major Tornado and Flash Flooding Event

Steven E. Koch, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. Mitchem

P2.25

Regional climate model simulation of a multi-week heavy precipitation episode in the central U.S

Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and X. Z. Liang

P2.26

Numerical simulation of the 17–18 July 1996 Chicago flood

Steven E. Peckham, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson

P2.27

Capabilities and Characteristics of Rainfall Estimates from Geostationary- and Geostationary+ Microwave-Based Satellite Techniques

Joe Turk, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. S. Liou, S. Qiu, R. A. Scofield, M. B. Ba, and A. Gruber

P2.28

Three-Dimensional Features of Summer Monsoon Precipitation Seen from TRMM/PR and Latent Heat Release over South Asia

Akiyo Yatagai, Solar-Terrestrial Environment Laboratory, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan

P2.29

Comparison of TRMM and Rain Gage Rain Rates over New Mexico

Long S. Chiu, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD and George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and Z. Liu, W. L. Teng, G. Serafino, S. Morain, A. Budge, C. Bales, and T. Wulff

P2.30

Regional climate modeling of the monsoon season over the Rio Grande Basin

James R. Stalker, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and K. R. Costigan, J. M. Reisner, and D. L. Langley

P2.31

Colorado High Elevation Flash Flood Producing Thunderstorms: Radar, Rainfall and Atmospheric Characteristics

John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO

P2.32

On the use of Radar data to verify the long term performance of the UK Met Office Mesoscale Model precipitation forecasts

Martin Goeber, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and S. F. Milton

P2.33

An AMBER playback of the Kansas City, Missouri flash flood of 05 October 1998

Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA

P2.34

Satellite observations of Pacific moisture surges associated with the North American Monsoon

Donald M. Anderson, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and W. K. Berg and J. J. Bates

P2.35

Issues and Advances in WSR-88D Rainfall Estimation of Flash Flood Events in Complex Terrain

P2.36

National Basin Delineation and Flash Flood Database Creation

Gina M. Cox, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. T. Arthur, D. Slayter, and N. Kuhnert

P2.37

QIWI—A Web-Based Flash Flood Monitoring Tool

P2.38

Seasonal Variation in Multi-Radar Coverage for WSR-88D Precipitation Estimation in a Mountainous Region

Jay P. Breidenbach, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Seo, P. Tilles, and C. Pham

P2.39

Evaluation of the Areal Mean Basin Estimated Rainfall (AMBER) Flash Flood Algorithm at the Tulsa, OK and Sterling, VA NWSFOs

Ami T. Arthur, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. W. Howard

P2.40

Assessment of quantitative precipitation estimates using weather radar and a distributed hydrologic model

P2.41

Rainfall Estimation from WSR-88D Reflectivities Using Artificial Neural Networks

Seth E. Snell, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM

P2.42

On the uncertainty of a flood forecasting tool for small and medium size basins

P2.43

A new methodology of rainfall retrievals from indirect measurements

Aleksandr Falkovich, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Lord and R. Treadon

P2.44

Ensemble simulations of regional flood and drought climates

Zhiwei Yang, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt

P2.45

Development of a mesoscale 4-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) system at JMA

Yoshihiro Ishikawa, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan

P2.46

Short Range Mesoscale Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation over the Southwest United States during the Summer Convective Season

David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS, Tucson, AZ; and S. L. Mullen and R. A. Maddox

P2.47

The impact of model resolution and ensemble population on the detection of intense precipitation events

Frederic Atger, Meteo-France, Toulouse, France

P2.48

Estimating extreme precipitation at high elevations in Colorado through mesoscale ensemble modeling

William R. Cotton, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. L. McAnelly and C. T. Ashby

P2.49

Short-to-medium range forecasting of midlatitude weather systems using a mesoscale global model with uniform and variable resolution

Stephane Belair, MSC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and J. Mailhot and M. Desgagne

P2.50

Impact of improved initialization of mesoscale features on convective system QPF in 10 KM ETA Simuations

William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and M. Segal, I. Jankov, and S. Aves

P2.51

Precipitation forecasts using the Battlescale Forecast Model

Jeffrey E. Passner, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and T. Henmi

P2.52

Some aspects of severe weather in the Metropolitan Area of São Paulo

Augusto José Pereira, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and M. T. L. Barros and J. B. N. Romeiro

P2.53

Hybrid short-range weather forecast systems

P2.54

The effect of different initial conditions on short-term rainfall prediction

Ana M. B. Nunes, Centro de Previsão do Tempo e Estudos Climáticos, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil

P2.55

Impact of soil moisture initialization on a simulated flash flood

C. Travis Ashby, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton and R. L. McAnelly

P2.56

Quantitative precipitation forecasting of extreme synoptic-mesoscale events

Milton S. Speer, Bureau of Meteorology, Darlinghurst, NSW, Australia; and L. M. Leslie

P2.57

Short-range forecasts of rainfall amount from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing multiple remote sensor observations

David H. Kitzmiller, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. D. Vibert and F. G. Samplatsky

P2.58

Anticipating heavy rainfall: Climatological aspects

Robert Hart, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and R. H. Grumm

P2.59

Forecasting heavy rainfall in the Middle Atlantic region

Paul G. Knight, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and M. S. Evans

P2.60

Criteria For Selecting Meteorological Variables To Be Used In Statistical Models For A Short-Term Forecast Of Thunderstorms And Hailstorms

Jose L. Sánchez, University of Leon, Leon, Spain; and J. L. Marcos, J. T. Fernandez, and E. García

P2.61

Extracting hydrologic information from high-resolution rainfall forecasts

John W. Nielsen-Gammon, CIAMS, College Station, TX

P2.62

Use of surface mesonets, radiosondes and profilers to predict basin-specific QPF and flash floods in complex terrain

John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO

P2.63

Evolutions in emergency reponse to extreme preciptiation events: hope for the future?

John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO

P2.64

Application of an updraft warm layer depth QPF technique to June 2000 flash floods in the NWS Central and Southern Regions

John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO

P2.65

Flash floods in the Caribbean: Environmental conditions and Mitigation

Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL

P2.66

Post-Fire Flash Flood Prediction: A Difficult Challenge

John F. Henz, Henz Meteorological Services, Littleton, CO

P2.67

California Flood Damage and The El Niño-Southern Oscillation

Preston S. Heard Jr., Indiana University, Bloomington, IN; and R. A. Pielke, Jr.

P2.25a

Simulation of a mid-latitude convective storm initialized with bistatic Doppler radar data

Thibaut Montmerle, McGill University, Montreal, PQ, Canada; and D. Caya and I. Zawadzki

P2.61a

On the Use of NEXRAD Stage IV Data in the Multimedia Modeling of Pollutant Transport

Brian K. Eder, NOAA/ARL, Research Triangle Park, NC; and S. K. LeDuc, A. B. Gilliland, and P. L. Finkelstein

Poster Session 2 Summer Storms (Poster session)