Symposium on Observations, Data Assimilation, and Probabilistic Prediction

Session 5

 other methods for statistical analysis and probabilistic predictions
 Organizer: Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD
3:30 PM5.1Operational calibrated probability forecasts from the ECMWF ensemble prediction system - implementation and verification  extended abstract
Kenneth R. Mylne, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and C. Woolcock, J. C. W. Denholm-Price, and R. J. Darvell
3:45 PM5.2Inverse Modeling of a Multiplicative Stochastic System  
Cecile Penland, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM5.3Error growth in uncertain systems  extended abstract
Petros J. Ioannou, University of Athens, Athens, Greece; and B. F. Farrell
4:15 PM5.4A High Resolution, Local Point Forecast Model  
Ken Reeves, AccuWeather, Inc., State College, PA; and M. Steinberg
4:30 PM5.5End-to-end ensemble forecasting: Ensemble interpretation in forecasting and risk management  extended abstract
Mark S. Roulston, Pembroke College, Oxford, United Kingdom; and L. A. Smith
4:44 PM5.6Paper has been moved to Joint Poster Session 1, new paper number JP1.30  
4:45 PM5.7State estimation using reduced rank Kalman filters  extended abstract
Brian F. Farrell, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and P. J. Ioannou
5:00 PM5.8Predictability of linear stochastic dynamics  extended abstract
Michael K. Tippett, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and P. Chang

Wednesday, 16 January 2002: 3:30 PM-5:15 PM

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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