Session 5 |
| | other methods for statistical analysis and probabilistic predictions |
| | Organizer: Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD
|
| 3:30 PM | 5.1 | Operational calibrated probability forecasts from the ECMWF ensemble prediction system - implementation and verification 
Kenneth R. Mylne, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and C. Woolcock, J. C. W. Denholm-Price, and R. J. Darvell |
| 3:45 PM | 5.2 | Inverse Modeling of a Multiplicative Stochastic System
Cecile Penland, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO |
| 4:00 PM | 5.3 | Error growth in uncertain systems
Petros J. Ioannou, University of Athens, Athens, Greece; and B. F. Farrell |
| 4:15 PM | 5.4 | A High Resolution, Local Point Forecast Model
Ken Reeves, AccuWeather, Inc., State College, PA; and M. Steinberg |
| 4:30 PM | 5.5 | End-to-end ensemble forecasting: Ensemble interpretation in forecasting and risk management
Mark S. Roulston, Pembroke College, Oxford, United Kingdom; and L. A. Smith |
| 4:44 PM | 5.6 | Paper has been moved to Joint Poster Session 1, new paper number JP1.30
|
| 4:45 PM | 5.7 | State estimation using reduced rank Kalman filters
Brian F. Farrell, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and P. J. Ioannou |
| 5:00 PM | 5.8 | Predictability of linear stochastic dynamics
Michael K. Tippett, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and P. Chang |