13th Conference on Applied Climatology and the 10th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Session 9: Forecast Evaluation/Verification (Parallel with Session 8)

Wednesday, 15 May 2002: 1:15 PM-5:15 PM
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Organizer:  Barry Clay Roberts, NASA
Papers:
  1:15 PM
9.1
Integrated Turbulence Forecasting Algorithm 2001 Meteorological Evaluation
Jeffrey A. Weinrich, Titan Systems Corporation, Atlantic City, NJ; and D. Sims

Poster PDF (91.7 kB)
  1:30 PM
9.2
Mountain Wave Activity & Turbulence—Aviation Forecasts & Avoidance
Thomas H. Fahey III, Northwest Airlines, Inc., Minneapolis, MN; and M. Pfleiderer and R. Sharman

  1:45 PM
9.3
Verification Results of a Turbulence Index Applied to Low-Levels of the Atmosphere
Gordon R. Brooks, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE; and I. Gotchel, C. M. Stock, J. E. Passner, and D. I. Knapp

Poster PDF (309.1 kB)
 
9.4
Developing and Verifying Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT) Forecasting Indices in Korea

  2:15 PM
9.5
Verification of the In-flight Icing Diagnostic Algorithm (IIDA)
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Mahoney and T. L. Fowler

Poster PDF (88.0 kB)
  2:30 PM
9.6
Analysis of problematic IIDA icing diagnoses in the Pacific Northwest
Michael Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein

Poster PDF (319.5 kB)
  2:45 PM
9.7
Evaluation of low-level aircraft icing forcasts from Mt. Washington summit observations
Rebecca J. Stanley, Plymouth State College, Plymouth, NH; and J. P. Koermer and C. C. Ryerson

Poster PDF (124.7 kB)
  3:00 PM
9.8
The real-time verification system (RTVS) and its application to aviation weather forecasting
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Henderson, B. G. Brown, J. E. Hart, A. Loughe, C. Fischer, and B. Sigren

Poster PDF (88.6 kB)
  3:15 PM
9.9
Verification of RUC Surface Forecasts at Major U.S. Airport Hubs
Barry E. Schwartz, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin

Poster PDF (219.8 kB)
 
9.10
Status of RUC convection forecasts in the 3-6h range

  3:45 PM
9.11
A Comparison of Boundary Layer Wind Estimation Techniques
Rich DeLaura, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and R. E. Cole, N. A. Crook, and J. Sun

Poster PDF (110.7 kB)
  4:00 PM
9.12
The value in probabilities for aerodrome forecasts
Ross Keith, Bureau of Meteorology and James Cook Univ., Townsville, Australia; and I. Mason

http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/qld/inside/AMS_draft_paper.doc

Poster PDF (78.1 kB)
  4:15 PM
9.13
TAF Verification
Glen R. Harris, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom

  4:30 PM
9.14
TAF quality improvement (TQI) efforts in Canada
Alister Ling, MSC, Edmonton, AB, Canada

Poster PDF (46.1 kB)
  4:45 PM
9.15
Uses of Real-Time Verification to Improve Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts
David R. Manning, NOAA/NWSFO, Tulsa, OK; and S. A. Amburn and J. M. Frederick

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)
  5:00 PM
9.16
Statistical Measures of the Skill of Marine Stratus Forecast Models
F. Wesley Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO

  5:15 PM
9.7A
Coffee Break

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