Session: Numerical Modeling IV: Operational Forecasts and Evaluation (32nd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology)

Friday, 22 April 2016: 8:00 AM-10:30 AM

Ponce de Leon C (The Condado Hilton Plaza)

Host: 32nd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair:

Falko Judt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Meteorology and Physical Oceanography, Miami, FL

Papers:

8:00 AM

17D.1

A Preliminary Study on the Application of High-frequency Cycling Updating Approaches to the GRAPES-TYM Model System

Xiaowei Tan, Numerical Weather Prediction Center of CMA, Beijing, Beijing, China

8:15 AM

17D.2

Evaluation of the NAVGEM analyses and forecasts of tropical cyclones and comparison with GFS analyses and WRF high-resolution numerical simulations

Yafan Yu, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City; and Z. Pu and C. A. Reynolds

8:30 AM

17D.3

The Importance of Storm-storm Interactions in the Real-time Tropical Cyclone Forecast System

Xuejin Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and G. J. Alaka Jr. and S. G. Gopalakrishnan

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

17D.4

Telescopic Nesting and Impact on Hurricane Forecast Skill

Thomas Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and S. Trahan, Y. C. Kwon, V. Tallapragada, X. Zhang, S. Gopalakrishnan, Z. Janjic, Z. Zhang, and D. Jovic

9:00 AM

17D.5

Evaluation of Uniformly High-Resolution Hurricane Forecasts Using NMM-B

Javier Delgado, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and S. Gopalakrishnan, R. Atlas, T. Quirino, and S. W. Diaz

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

17D.6

The Capability of regional NMMB for Rapid Intensification Forecast: Insights from Hurricane Patricia

Weiguo Wang, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and L. Zhu, S. Trahan, T. Black, Q. Liu, Z. Zhang, B. Liu, M. Tong, J. Sippel, S. Abarca, D. Sheinin, H. S. Kim, K. Wu, and V. Tallapragada

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

17D.7

Effects of boundary layer vertical diffusion on forecasts of tropical cyclone rapid intensification

Jun A. Zhang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. F. Rogers, V. Tallapragada, and W. Wang

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

17D.8

An Analysis of Model Track Forecast Errors in Hurricane Joaquin (2015)

Michael J. Brennan, NHC, Miami, FL; and A. B. Penny and S. J. Majumdar

Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM