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Compact View of Conference

Monday, 24 March 2003
	8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Monday 2003 Session 1 Opening Ceremony
8:30 AM 1.0 Tropospheric biennial oscillation and moisture transport over tropical Indian ocean and Pacific   Natalia A. Vjazilova, Russian Research Institute of Hydrometeorological Information, World Data Center, Obninsk, Russia
	10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday 2003 COFFEE BREAK
	10:30 AM-3:00 PM, Monday 2003 Session 2 Tropical-Extratropical Interactions and Teleconnections over the Southern Hemisphere I
10:30 AM 2.1 Remote features linked to the South Pacific subtropical high   Richard Grotjahn, Univ. of California, Davis, CA 10:45 AM 2.2 An Assessment of GCMs in terms of Daily Circulation Characteristics and the Global Energy Cycle   Waren J Tennant, South African Weather Service, Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa; and B. C. Hewitson 11:00 AM 2.3 Troposphere-Stratosphere Linkage and Teleconnection Associated with Quasi-Stationary Rossby Wave Trains: A Case Study for the Southern Hemisphere Winter   Hisashi Nakamura, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and K. Nishii 11:15 AM 2.4 Persistent positive anomalies in the Southern Hemisphere circulation   James A. Renwick, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand 11:30 AM 2.5 Intraseasonal modes of Variability affecting the SACZ   Christopher A. Cunningham Castro Sr., Center for Weather Forcast and Weather Forecast and Weather Prediction/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and I. F. A. Cavalcanti 11:45 AM 2.6 Modulation of Southern Hemisphere storm track activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation   George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Revell 12:00 PM Lunch Break   1:30 PM 2.7 Heat budgets and poleward atmospheric energy transports   Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Stepaniak 2:00 PM 2.8 Inter-El Niño variability of the Southern Hemisphere circulation Part I: Observational data   Gabriel E. Silvestri, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and V. R. Barros and C. S. Vera 2:15 PM 2.9 Inter-El Niño variability of the Southern Hemisphere circulation. Part II: Generation mechanisms   Carolina S. Vera, CIMA, University of Buenos Aires, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cient, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. A. Alexander, J. D. Scott, G. Silvestri, and V. Barros 2:30 PM 2.10 The Hadley and Walker circulations associated with the ENSO episodes during 1970s, 1980s and 1990s: Impacts on the South American seasonal rainfall   Tércio Ambrizzi, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and E. B. Souza 2:45 PM 2.11 ENSO: the equator and the southern mid-latitudes must work together   David J. Stephens, Department of Agriculture, South Perth, Australia; and M. H. Lamond
	10:30 AM-3:00 PM, Monday 2003 Session 3 The Southern Hemisphere oceans and air-sea interactions I
10:30 AM 3.1 Ten years of high-resolution sea surface temperatures – what have we learned?   Michael J. Uddstrom, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand 10:45 AM 3.2 Large scale pressure coupling between the atmospheric planetary boundary layer and the Southern Ocean   John A. T. Bye, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia 11:00 AM 3.3 A summary of physical oceanography around New Zealand   Philip J. H. Sutton, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and S. M. Chiswell, M. M. Bowen, and M. J. M. Williams 11:15 AM 3.4 Towards an oceanographic climatology of the Aotearoa – New Zealand region   C. Matthew Walkington, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and P. H. Sutton and M. Bowen 11:30 AM 3.5 Air-sea interaction in Wellington Harbour: the effects of wind forcing on turbulent mixing and stratification   Craig L Stevens, NIWA, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. J. Smith, B. Ward, C. J. Lemckert, and J. A. McGregor 11:45 AM 3.6 Actinoform Clouds of the South Pacific: self-organization in the marine boundary layer   Roger Davies, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and M. J. Garay 12:00 PM Lunch Break   1:30 PM Plenary Talk   2:00 PM 3.9 Investigating the role of air-sea coupling on the Madden Julian Oscillation   Andrew Marshall, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and O. Alves, H. Hendon, and D. J. Karoly 2:15 PM 3.10 Concentrations of anthropogenic carbon in the Indian Ocean inferred from WOCE CFC12 data using transit time distributions   Timothy M. Hall, NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and D. W. Waugh, T. W. N. Haine, and P. Robbins 2:30 PM 3.11 An outline of the role of eddies in the New Zealand Subantarctic   Michael Williams, NIWA, Wellington, New Zealand 2:45 PM 3.12 The dynamics of ENSO in a CGCM: Preliminary Results   Lynette Bettio, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and K. Walsh and S. Power
	3:00 PM, Monday 2003 Coffee Break
	3:00 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2003 Poster Session 1 Poster Session
P1.1 New-type Crystal Temperature Sensor For Environment Monitor   He Jin, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China; and Y. Tongyan, S. Peng, and C. Juan   P1.2 On the delivery of the ENSO signal to Africa: clues from the structure of convection in the West Pacific and Indian Ocean   Richard Washington, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; and M. C. Todd   P1.3 Updating Australia’s high-quality annual temperature dataset   Paul M Della-Marta, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and D. A. Collins and K. Braganza   P1.4 Realtime global mapping of lightning using widely space VLF receivers on the ground   Richard L. Dowden, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand; and C. J. Rodger   P1.5 Southern Hemisphere precipitation; a study of model sensitivity to parameter settings   Howard R. Larsen, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and R. Turner, D. S. Wratt, and M. Revell   P1.6 Towards quantifying the distribution and microphysical properties of southern hemisphere cirrus clouds   Steven James Cooper, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and T. L'Ecuyer and G. L. Stephens   P1.7 Modelling the emission and transport of methane from New Zealand   Hamish Struthers, NIWA, Omakau, Central Otago, New Zealand; and B. Connor, M. Uddstrom, P. Andrews, H. Oliver, and S. Petrie   P1.8 Interannual Variability of the Semi-Annual Oscillation in the Southern Hemisphere   Andréa S. Taschetto, University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and I. Wainer, J. Pereira, and M. Raphael   P1.9 Changing seasonality in Australian rainfall   Janette A. Lindesay, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia; and K. M. Johnson   P1.10 Climatic consequences of a large scale desertification in Northeast Brazil   Marcos D. Oyama, Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and C. A. Nobre   P1.11 Diagnose: Real-time research on the nature and causes of climate anomalies   Neville Nicholls, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and P. Powers   P1.12 Estimating the effect of global climate change on orographic precipitation   Howard R. Larsen, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and W. Gray   P1.13 Estimation of Regional Emission of Greenhouse Gases Using Satellite Data   Brian J. Connor, NIWA, Omakau, Central Otago, New Zealand; and H. Struthers, S. W. Wood, C. D. Rodgers, M. Uddstrom, and D. Lowe   P1.14 Impact of high frequency winds on the determination of mean and seasonal stresses over the ocean   Rui M. Ponte, AER, Lexington, MA; and R. D. Rosen   P1.15 Using the Real-time Multivariate Madden Julian Oscillation Indices to predict Rainfall in Queensland   Alexis Donald, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Qld, Australia; and J. Ribbe, R. Stone, M. Wheeler, H. Meinke, G. Harris, and B. Power   P1.16 Some Climatological Characteristics of South American Monsoon System   José A. P. Veiga, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, São Paulo, Brazil   P1.17 SST variability and external forcing of recent climate changes in Southern Africa   Joachim Rathmann, University of Wuerzburg, Wuerzburg, Germany; and J. Jacobeit   P1.18 Warm season daily rainfall in South America using a nested modeling system   Anji Seth, International Research Insititute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY   P1.19 Teleconection between tropical west pacific convection and cold surges in the southern South America   Gabriela V. Müller, Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and T. Ambrizzi, M. N. Nuñez, and S. Ferraz   P1.20 The 1997/98 El Niño Cloud Properties from SAGE II   Pi-Huan Wang, STC/NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA   P1.21 Typical features of the South America monsoon system, and relations with the Low Level Jet and South Atlantic Convergence Zone in a climate AGCM simulation   Iracema FA Cavalcanti, Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos/Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil; and J. A. Marengo   P1.22 An intercontinental teleconnection: Interactions between Africa and South America   Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and J. S. Hseih   P1.23 Design and application of an approach for climate prediction in tropical areas   Omar Baddour, Direction de la Meteorologie Nationale, Morocco, Kenya
	5:00 PM, Monday 2003 Sessions end for the day
Tuesday, 25 March 2003
	8:30 AM-1:30 PM, Tuesday 2003 Session 4 Interdecadal and Longer Term Climate Variability I
8:30 AM 4.1 Low frequency climate variabilities in the South Atlantic Ocean   Roberto A. F. De Almeida, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and E. J. D. Campos, R. J. Haarsma, and R. Bleck 8:45 AM 4.2 Mechanisms of South Atlantic decadal variability in the south Atlantic Ocean: A study with a hierarchy of ocean-atmosphere models   Reindert J. Haarsma, KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands; and E. J. D. Campos, R. A. F. de Almeida, A. R. Piola, and W. Hazeleger 9:00 AM 4.3 North East Brazil rainfall: influences of sea surface temperature on seasonal to century time scales   Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and A. W. Colman, M. K. Davey, D. P. Rowell, and J. R. Knight 9:15 AM 4.4 Modelling and interpretation of oxygen isotope records of tropical climate variability   Josephine Brown, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and I. Simmonds 9:30 AM 4.5 A climate shift in mid-1970's in Northwest Amazonia and Southern Brazil   Guillermo O. Obregón, Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and C. A. Nobre 9:45 AM 4.6 The Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation: modeling and observations   A. Brett Mullan, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and C. K. Folland, B. Bhaskaran, M. J. Salinger, and J. A. Renwick 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:30 AM Plenary Talk   11:00 AM 4.8 Impacts of the tropical South American rainfall by changes in the global circulation   Tsing-Chang (Mike) Chen, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and E. S. Takle, J. H. Yoon, K. J. St. Croix, and P. Hsieh 11:15 AM 4.9 Variations in the South Pacific Convergence Zone and influences on South Pacific Climate   M. James Salinger, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Auckland and Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick and A. B. Mullan 11:30 AM 4.10 Decadal climate variability in the Pacific Ocean   Suwimol Sae-Koe, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia; and K. Walsh and I. Simmonds 11:45 AM 4.11 Changes to the vertical structure of cyclones under global warming   Eun-Pa Lim, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and I. Simmonds 12:00 PM Lunch Break
	8:30 AM-1:30 PM, Tuesday 2003 Session 5 South American Monsoon System I
8:30 AM 5.1 Impact of heat sources in the tropical Americas: role of the non-linear interaction between Kelvin and Rossby Waves   Pedro L. Silva Dias, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil; and C. F. Raupp and I. A. Santos 8:45 AM 5.2 The infuence of the Andes on the Argentine-Uruguayan Pampas summer climate simulated by a General Circulation Model   Silvio N. Figueroa, INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and C. A. Nobre 9:00 AM 5.3 Wintertime precipitation over the South American Altiplano   Patricio Aceituno, Dpt. of Geophysics. Universidad de Chile, Santiago, R.M., Chile; and R. D. Garreaud and J. Ronchail 9:15 AM 5.4 Seasonal and sub-seasonal variability of the South American monsoon   Manoel Alonso Gan, INPE, SãoJosé dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil; and V. E. Kousky and C. F. Ropelewski 9:30 AM 5.5 The relationship of the South American Low-Level Jet to the formation and maintenance of large mesoscale convective systems.   Edward J Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. Nicolini and P. Salio 9:45 AM 5.6 Contribution of mesoscale convective systems to rainfall totals over South America   Galdino Viana Mota, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. J. Zipser 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:30 AM 5.7 Plenary Talk: Biosphere-Atmosphere Interactions in Amazonia: Results of the LBA Experiment   Carlos A. Nobre, INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and M. A. F. D. S. Dias, P. Artaxo, F. Luizão, A. D. Nobre, T. D. A. Sa, R. L. Victoria, and M. M. C. Bustamante 11:00 AM 5.8 Interannual rainfall variability over South America and the South Atlantic   Martin C. Todd, University College London, London, United Kingdom; and R. Washington and T. Ng 11:15 AM 5.9 A positive feedback process for maintaining the precipitation of the SACZ   Yasu-Masa Kodama, Hirosaki Univ., Hirosaki, Aomori, Japan 11:30 AM 5.10 The interannual variability of South American monsoon and rainfall in subtropical South America   Vicente Barros Sr., University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. Gonzalez and M. Doyle 11:45 AM 5.11 Atmospheric circulation anomalies during wet and dry episodes in Uruguay during austral spring and summer   Alvaro F. Díaz, Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay; and P. Aceituno 12:00 PM Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2003 Session 6 Weather and Forecasting I
1:30 PM Plenary Talk   2:00 PM 6.2 Transient eddy forcing of the Southern Hemisphere annular mode variability: Results from NCEP-DOE Reanalysis and a quasi-linear model   Harun A. Rashid, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and I. Simmonds 2:15 PM 6.3 Influence of midlatitude circulation characteristics on extratropical transition in the southwest Pacific Ocean   Mark R. Sinclair, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Prescott, AZ 2:30 PM 6.4 Conceptual models of synoptic-scale cyclones in the New Zealand – Australia area   Peter V. Kreft, Meteorological Service of New Zealand Limited, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. A. Schwarz, G. H. Thompson, and C. S. Webster 2:45 PM 6.5 Climatology of the South American cold fronts   Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and V. E. Kousky 3:00 PM Coffee Break   3:30 PM 6.6 Ocean heat content as a lower boundary condition for numerical weather prediction models   Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia 3:45 PM 6.7 A potential vorticity view of Southern Hemisphere blocking   Stewart C. R. Allen, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia; and D. J. Karoly and M. J. Reeder 4:00 PM 6.8 Interaction between Diffluence and Potential Vorticity in Southern Hemisphere Blocking Cases   Li Dong, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. J. Colucci 4:15 PM 6.9 An operational Definition of El Niño   Phillip A. Reid, Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic, Australia 4:30 PM 6.10 Improved skill of ENSO coupled model probability forecasts by Bayesian combination with empirical forecasts   Caio A. S. Coelho, University of Reading and ECMWF, Reading, Berks, United Kingdom; and S. Pezzulli, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, and D. B. Stephenson 4:45 PM 6.11 Forecast of the October-December 2002 Atmospheric Circulation, Using the UCLA-AGCM and the NCEP forecasted TP-SST, combined with a statistical downscaling to estimate Oct-Dec/02 Precipitation in regions of Uruguay and Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil)   Gabriel Cazes, Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay; and G. Pisciottano
	1:30 PM-5:15 PM, Tuesday 2003 Session 7 The Southern Hemisphere oceans and the cryosphere
1:30 PM 7.1 Plenary Talk: Interannual variability in the Australian sector of the Southern Ocean: Observations and dynamical implications   Stephen R. Rintoul, Antarctic Cooperative Research Centre, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia; and S. Sokolov 2:00 PM 7.3 Simulation of ENSO-like variability with a recent coupled climate model   B Bhaskaran, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Kilbirnie, Wellington, New Zealand; and A. B. Mullan 2:15 PM 7.4 The WCRP Climate and Cryosphere (CliC) project: status and plans   Roger G. Barry, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO 2:30 PM 7.5 An examination of South American snow cover extent and snow mass from 1979-2002 using passive microwave satellite data   J. L. Foster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and A. T. C. Chang, D. K. Hall, and R. Kelly 2:45 PM 7.6 An examination of the precipitation delivery mechanisms at Dolleman Island, Antarctica, from ECMWF re-analysis and ice core data   Andrew Russell, The University of Birmingham, UK, Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom; and G. R. McGregor and G. J. Marshall 3:00 PM Coffee Break   3:30 PM 7.7 Atmospheric thermodynamics responsible for the Antarctic circumpolar wave along the sea ice edge around Antarctica   Warren B. White, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and P. Gloersen and I. Simmonds 3:45 PM 7.8 Precipitation variability over East Antarctic as recorded at Mawson, Casey and Davis   Glenn R. McGregor, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom; and D. M. Bewley and G. Marshall 4:00 PM 7.9 The response of the Southern Hemisphere extratropical, atmospheric circulation to extremes of sea-ice concentration in summer   Marilyn N. Raphael, University of California, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, CA 4:15 PM 7.10 South Atlantic variabitility and the relationship with other global features in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model   Edmo J.D. Campos, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and R. A. F. de Almeida, R. J. Haarsma, and R. Bleck 4:30 PM 7.11 Clouds Over Sea Ice and Open Water in the Southern Ocean: Solar Transmittance and Cloud Radiative Forcing from Shipboard Measurements   Melanie Fitzpatrick, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. G. Warren and R. E. Brandt 4:45 PM 7.12 Recent climate variability in the Antarctic Peninsula region and large-scale origins   Ian Simmonds, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia 5:00 PM 7.13 Neural network applications in West Antarctic meteorology and climatology   David B. Reusch, Penn. State University, University Park, PA; and R. B. Alley
	5:30 PM, Tuesday 2003 Sessions end for the day
Wednesday, 26 March 2003
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday 2003 Session 8 Weather and Forecasting II
8:30 AM 8.1 The Generation of the Morning Glory   Robert A. Goler, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and M. J. Reeder 8:45 AM 8.2 Southern Hemisphere Blocking Onset Mechanisms Associated with Divergence Anomalies in the Upper Troposphere   Francisco Javier Saez de Adana, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. J. Colucci 9:00 AM 8.3 Changes in cloud cover over Antarctica associated with Forbush decreases in galactic cosmic rays   Martin C. Todd, University College London, London, United Kingdom; and D. R. Kniveton 9:15 AM 8.4 A simple hydrological model to estimate runoff and soil moisture on macroscale basins in Brazil.   Javier Tomasella, INPE, 12630-000, SP, Brazil; and D. A. Rodrigues and E. M. Barbosa 9:30 AM 8.5 Evaluation of CPTEC's seasonal ensemble predictions of wet season rainfall over Northeast Brazil   Claudine P. Dereczynski, Federal Univ. of Rio De Janerio, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; and C. Nobre 9:45 AM 8.6 POAMA: New Bureau of Meteorology Operational Coupled Model Seasonal Forecasting System   Oscar Alves, BMRC, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and G. Wang, A. Zhong, N. Smith, F. Tseitkin, and G. Warren 10:00 AM Coffee Break
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday 2003 Session 9 Regional Issues: Australasia and Oceania
8:30 AM 9.1 The Pacific Islands Regional Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) Program   Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Salinger 8:45 AM 9.2 The onset of the monsoon over the maritime continent   Mulyono R Prabowo, School of Geography and Environmental Science, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia; and J. L. McBride and N. J. Tapper 9:00 AM 9.3 The Madden-Julian Oscillation and the Java floods of January/February 2002   Matthew C. Wheeler, BMRC, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia 9:15 AM 9.4 Towards a regional climate model for New Zealand   Frank Drost, NIWA and Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick 9:30 AM 9.5 The international Perlan project: soaring stratospheric mountain waves in New Zealand   Elizabeth J Carter, Firnspiegel LLC, Kings Beach, CA; and E. H. Teets, J. Robinson, and S. N. Goates 9:45 AM 9.6 Climatology of Low-Level Jet east of the Andes as derived from the NCEP-NCAR reanalyses. temporal and Spatial variability   Jose A. Marengo, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and W. R. Soares, C. Saulo, and M. Nicolini 10:00 AM Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-4:45 PM, Wednesday 2003 Session 10 Climate and society in the Southern Hemisphere
10:30 AM Plenary Talk   11:00 AM 10.2 Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the Australian region   David J Karoly, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia 11:15 AM 10.3 Assessment of regional contributions to past and future anthropogenic climate change   Gregory Bodeker, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Omakau, Central Otago, New Zealand; and M. Manning 11:30 AM 10.4 Australian impacts of long-term climate variability and change   William J. Wright, National Climate Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic, Australia 11:45 AM 10.5 Long-term trends in the latitude of the sub-tropical ridge over southeast Australia: climate correlates and consequences   Ronald E. Thresher, CSIRO, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia 12:00 PM Lunch Break   1:30 PM Plenary Talk   2:00 PM 10.7 The SCAR READER project: Antarctic climate change over the last 50 years   John Turner, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom 2:15 PM 10.8 Multiple biosphere-atmosphere equilibria in Brazil under present-day conditions: a GCM simulation study   Marcos D. Oyama, Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies - CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and C. A. Nobre 2:30 PM 10.9 Trans-Tasman Sea larval transport: is Australia a source for New Zealand lobsters?   Stephen M Chiswell, NIWA, Wellington, New Zealand 2:45 PM 10.10 Coral reef, climate variability and vulnerability in the south Pacific island: potential consequences and adaptations   Frederic Bessat, UMR PRODIG-8586, Paris, France 3:00 PM Coffee Break   3:30 PM 10.11 Statistical forecasting of seasonal temperatures in New Zealand   Xiaogu Zheng, NIWA (National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research), Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick 3:45 PM 10.12 Dry and Drier – The Australian 2002 El Niño experience   Andrew B. Watkins, National Climate Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic, Australia 4:00 PM 10.13 Impacts of El Nino 2002-2003: Southern Africa and the Maritime Continent   Anji Seth, International Research Insititute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and B. Lyon 4:15 PM 10.14 Dynamical Downscaling of Climate Information: Evaluation of the Simulated Rainfall Characteristics   Jozef Syktus, Queensland Centre for Climate Applications, Indooroopilly, Queensland, Australia; and G. McKeon and N. Flood 4:30 PM 10.15 Why is UV radiation more intense in the Southern Hemisphere; and why is this not fully reflected in satellite derived estimations   Richard L McKenzie, National Institute for Water and Atmospheric Research, Otago, New Zealand
	10:30 AM-1:30 PM, Wednesday 2003 Session 11 The Southern Hemisphere oceans and air-sea interactions II
10:30 AM 11.1 Plenary Talk: The Argo Project: Broadscale ocean observations in the Southern Hemisphere   Dean Roemmich, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. S. Team 11:00 AM 11.2 Oceanic connection between the Pacific and Indian Oceans south of Australia   Ken Ridgway, CSIRO, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia; and J. Dunn 11:15 AM 11.3 New estimates of continental discharge and oceanic freshwater transport   Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Dai 11:30 AM 11.4 Rainfall anomalies in western South America and the traditional "El Niño" versus "ENSO"   Chet F. Ropelewski, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and B. Lyon and M. Bell 11:45 AM 11.5 Solar forcing and coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamical response over the southern oceans   Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, T. M. L. Wigley, J. M. Arblaster, and A. Dai 12:00 PM Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday 2003 Session 12 Regional Issues: Africa
1:30 PM Plenary Talk   2:00 PM 12.2 Transition from the Southern to the Northern Hemisphere   Raphael E. Okoola, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya 2:15 PM 12.3 Climate and atmospheric circulation changes in Southern Africa during the last 100 years   Joachim Rathmann, University of Wuerzburg, Wuerzburg, Germany; and J. Jacobeit 2:30 PM 12.4 Inter-hemispheric comparison of the dynamics of rain-producing systems in tropical Africa: A study of climate change within the Kalahari and Sahelian transects   J. A. Adedoyin, University of Botswana, Gaborone, Botswana 2:45 PM 12.5 The relationship between southern Africa Rainfall and ENSO events   Washington Zhakata, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa 3:00 PM Coffee Break   3:30 PM 12.6 The role of Indian and Pacific Ocean SSTs in African rainfall variability   Richard Washington, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxon, United Kingdom; and A. Preston and M. C. Todd 3:45 PM 12.7 Climatic variability in central Africa and its link to sea-surface temperatures and the El Nino/La Nina   Natasa Balas, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. Nicholson 4:00 PM 12.8 Intermodel evaluation of GCM boundary conditions for nested RCM downscaling   Bruce Hewitson, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa; and C. Jack and R. Crane 4:15 PM 12.9 Model Output Statistics Applied to Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasts for Southern Africa   Willem A. Landman, South African Weather Service, Pretoria, South Africa; and L. Goddard 4:30 PM 12.10 Seasonal forecasting for southern Africa using HadAM3   Mark Tadross, CSAG, Cape Town, South Africa; and D. Jagadheesha and B. C. Hewitson 4:45 PM 12.11 A 15 year regional model integration for Southern Africa   Chris Jack, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa 5:00 PM 12.12 The role of Indian Ocean SST on East African Short Rains   Charles C. Mutai, Meteorological Department of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya
	5:30 PM, Wednesday 2003 Sessions end for the day
Thursday, 27 March 2003
	9:00 AM-11:30 AM, Thursday 2003 Session 13 Tropical-extratropical interactions and teleconnections over the Southern Hemisphere II
9:00 AM 13.1 Why was September 2001 to September 2002 a year of anomalously low pressures over the Tasman Sea?   Michael J. Revell, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick 9:15 AM 13.2 Variability of Seasonal-mean Fields Arising from Intraseasonal Variability: Application to the Southern Hemisphere Circulation   Carsten S. Frederiksen, BMRC, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and X. Zheng 9:30 AM 13.3 Tropical cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere: influence of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation phenomenon.   Yuriy A. Kuleshov, National Climate Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia 9:45 AM 13.4 A hybrid coupled model study of remote influences over the tropical Atlantic Ocean   Paulo Nobre, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, SP, Brazil; and S. E. Zebiak 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:30 AM Plenary Talk   11:00 AM 13.6 Southern Hemisphere atmospheric low frequency variability in a climate AGCM simulation   Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, Centro de Previsao de Tempo e Estudos Climaticos, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. C. Castro 11:15 AM 13.7 Seasonal Variations in the Southern Hemisphere Storm Tracks and Jet Streams   Hisashi Nakamura, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and A. Shimpo
	9:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2003 Session 14 Atmospheric Chemistry in the Southern Hemisphere
9:00 AM 14.1 Atmospheric methane at Suva, Fiji: The impact of tropical meteorology   David Lowe, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and T. Bromley, B. Allan, and K. Koshy 9:15 AM 14.2 Tropospheric Bromine Explosion Events in the Antarctic: I) Mechanism   Karin Kreher, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Omakau, Central Otago, New Zealand; and R. Schofield and U. Friess 9:30 AM 14.3 Tropospheric BrO Explosion Events in the Antarctic: II) Measurements   Robyn Schofield, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Omakau, Central Otago, New Zealand; and K. Kreher, B. Connor, P. Johnston, A. Thomas, and S. Wood 9:45 AM 14.4 Airborne cycling of nutrients into the Benguela upwelling system off the west coast of South Africa and Namibia   Peter D Tyson, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:30 AM 14.5 Variability in ozone in the tropical troposphere from the SHADOZ (Southern Hemisphere ADditional OZonesondes) network   Anne M Thompson, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. C. Witte, F. J. Schmidlin, S. J. Oltmans, V. W. J. H. Kirchhoff, G. J. R. Coetzee, F. Posny, T. Ogawa, J. P. F. Fortuin, and H. Kelder 11:00 AM 14.6 Variability of atmospheric dimethylsulphide over the southern indian ocean due to changes in ultraviolet radiation   D. R. Kniveton, University of Sussex, Falmer, Brighton, United Kingdom; and M. C. Todd and J. Sciare 11:15 AM 14.7 Transport and mixing in the southern subtropical upper troposphere   Darryn W Waugh, Johns Hopkins UNiversity, Baltimore, MD 11:30 AM 14.8 Characteristics of high ozone events over Africa   Roseanne D Diab, University of Natal, Durban, South Africa, Durban, South Africa; and G. Mahumane, A. Raghanundan, A. M. Thompson, V. Thouret, and J. P. Cammas 11:45 AM 14.9 Modulation of the Southern polar vortex and tropospheric variability by forcing in the tropical stratosphere and implications for ozone   David Noone, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and Y. Yung and R. L. Shia
	12:00 PM, Thursday 2003 Sessions end for the day
Friday, 28 March 2003
	8:30 AM-11:45 AM, Friday 2003 Session 16 Interdecadal and Longer Term Climate Variability II
8:30 AM 16.1 Impacts of mid-Holocene radiative forcing on the Australian palaeoenvironment   Richard Wardle, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and I. Simmonds 8:45 AM 16.2 What the Little Ice Age reveals about the South American Monsoon system, and vice versa.   Anton Seimon, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO, CO 9:00 AM 16.3 Mechanisms driving meridional shifts in the Southern Hemisphere westerlies in extreme climates   Pandora Hope, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and I. Simmonds 9:15 AM 16.4 Atmospheric Response to mid-latitude thermal forcing: a mechanism for changes in climate regimes?   Peter G. Baines, CSIRO, Aspendale, VIC, Australia 9:30 AM 16.5 The influence of the Antarctic circumpolar wave on El Niño from 1950 to 2001   Warren B. White, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. L. Annis 9:45 AM 16.6 A comparison of trends in the Southern Annular Mode from observations and reanalyses   Gareth J. Marshall, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:30 AM 16.7 Trends and variations in South Pacific island and ocean surface temperatures   Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Bracknell, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and M. J. Salinger, N. Jiang, and N. A. Rayner 11:00 AM 16.8 Instrument-and tree-ring based estimates of the Antarctic Oscillation index   Julie M. Jones, GKSS Research Centre, Geesthacht, Germany; and M. Widmann 11:15 AM 16.9 Extratropical cyclone and anticyclone tracks and trends for the Southern Hemisphere: possible ENSO related impacts and climate changes   Alexandre Bernardes Pezza, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and T. Ambrizzi 11:30 AM 16.10 Climate change simulations around the Antarctic Peninsula   Sebastien Conil, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and C. Menendez, C. Vera, and H. Le Treut
	9:00 AM-11:30 AM, Friday 2003 Session 15 Weather and Forecasting III
9:00 AM 15.1 Southern Hemisphere real-time, high resolution satellite rainfall estimation   Gilberto A. Vicente, NASA/GSFC - GMU, Greenbelt, MD 9:15 AM 15.2 Multi-sensor multi-spectral rain-rate retrieval   Aarno V. Korpela, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. J. Uddstrom 9:30 AM 15.3 Identifying heavy rain events along New Zealand’s West Coast using the NCEP Ensemble Prediction System   Tony Simmers, Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd, Wellington, New Zealand 9:45 AM 15.4 Trends and volatility in the accuracy of temperature forecasts   Shoni S. Dawkins, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and H. Stern 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:30 AM Plenary Talk   11:00 AM 15.6 Comparison of the performance of the ECMWF and BFM forecast models in the New Zealand Region   Richard Turner, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and J. Renwick and S. Schroeder 11:15 AM 15.7 Variational mesoscale data assimilation: The New Zealand Limited Area Model (NZLAM-VAR)   Michael J. Uddstrom, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and P. Andrews, H. Oliver, and A. Korpela
	11:45 AM-12:00 PM, Friday 2003 Conference Closing Ceremony

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