20th Conference on Probability and Statistics Poster Session

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Wednesday, 20 January 2010: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)
Host: 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Chair:  Barbara G. Brown, Research Applications Program, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Probability distributions of apparent temperature from ensemble MOS
Matthew Peroutka, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and G. Zylstra, T. Huntemann, and J. Wagner

Handout (499.8 kB)

Probabilistic forecasts of winter thunderstorms around Amsterdam Airport Schiphol
Maurice J. Schmeits, KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands; and A. B. A. Slangen

Handout (308.8 kB)

Poster 516 moved. New paper number J10.1A

Comparison of artificial intelligence and statistical techniques for probabilistic forecasting of sky condition
Timothy J. Hall, The Aerospace Corporation, Silver Spring, MD; and C. N. Mutchler, G. J. Bloy, R. N. Thessin, S. K. Gaffney, and J. J. Lareau

Handout (1.3 MB)

Bayesian Processor of Ensemble: A Gaussian-Gamma Model
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA

MOGREPS ensemble-based Clear Air Turbulence products
Lisa J. Murray, UK Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and P. Gill, P. Buchanan, and K. Mylne

Handout (340.6 kB)

NAEFS Probabilistic Forecast and Future Expansion
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and B. Cui and Z. Toth

Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling for Post-processing of Data from Numerical Weather Prediction Systems
Hongfei Li, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and L. A. Treinish

The role of model bias in the multi-model ensemble approach
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Li

Linkage between pseudo-precipitation and precipitation distribution
Huiling Yuan, CIRES and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and P. Schultz, Z. Toth, and J. C. Schaake

NOAA Local 3-Month Temperature Outlook Performance Evaluation
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Hollingshead, S. Handel, M. Ou, J. Gottschalck, M. J. Menne, and C. N. Williams Jr.

Verification of convective initiation patterns and coverage
Paul J. Croft, Kean University, Union, NJ; and T. Skic and A. M. Cope

Performance of a Probabilistic Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Prediction Algorithm
Valliappa Lakshmanan, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. L. Cintineo and T. M. Smith

Handout (865.9 kB)

Evaluation of Experimental Forecasts from the 2009 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment Using Both Traditional and Spatial Methods
Tara Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and B. Brown, M. Coniglio, J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, and L. Nance

Handout (522.6 kB)

Nonlinear Optical Flow for Verification
Caren Marzban, APL, Seattle, WA; and S. Sandgathe

Handout (1.2 MB)

Poster 529 moved. New paper number 5.4

Verification of European Storm Forecast Experiment forecasts
Alex Kowaleski, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and H. Brooks

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