Poster Session Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction

Thursday, 10 January 2013: 9:45 AM-11:00 AM
Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Research Applications Program, Boulder, CO

An approach for addressing Non-Gaussian error in microphysical parameterization
Marcus van Lier-Walqui, Columbia Univ. & NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and T. Vukicevic and D. J. Posselt

Handout (2.3 MB)

A multi-model approach to operational NWP bias correction
Rob Davis, Pelmorex - The Weather Network, Oakville, ON, Canada; and I. Russell

Handout (1.1 MB)

An Improvement of NAEFS SPP – 2nd Moment Adjustment
Hong Guan, EMC/NCEP/NOAA, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu and B. Cui

Forecasting Ozone Exceedances in the Mid-Atlantic using Ensemble Statistical Models
Gregory G. Garner, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and A. M. Thompson and W. F. Ryan

Statistical Downscaling of Daily Wind Speed Variations
Megan Kirchmeier, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. J. Lorenz and D. J. Vimont

Optimum Usage of Prior Forecast Information for Bias Correction
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and B. Cui
Manuscript (851.7 kB)

Handout (851.7 kB)

Objective Climatological Analysis of Warm Season Extreme Events during the North American Monsoon
Jeremy J. Mazon, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. Castro, H. I. Chang, M. Leuthold, and J. J. Brost

Evaluating severe weather composite indices as diagnostic variables and forecast parameters
Chad M. Shafer, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and M. W. Stanford

Verification of Extreme Precipitation Events
John C. Schaake, Consultant, Annapolis, MD; and R. Hartman

Probabilistic Flash Flood Forecasting using Stormscale Ensembles
Jill D. Hardy, University of Oklahoma, Ijamsville, MD; and J. J. Gourley, J. S. Kain, A. J. Clark, D. Novak, and Y. Hong

Handout (1.3 MB)

New developments of the real-time operational NCAR-ATEC ensemble-RTFDDA (E-4DWX) forecasting system
Linlin Pan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, J. Knievel, G. Roux, W. Wu, Y. Wu, J. C. Pace, S. F. Halvorson, and F. W. Gallagher

Assessing Numerical Weather Prediction Uncertainty in Warm-Season Rainfall Ensemble Simulations
Andrew E. Mercer, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS; and J. Dyer

Prediction of Extreme Rainfall in the Tropical Southwest Pacific using a Poor Man's Ensemble
Timothy Hume, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Docklands, Victoria, Australia; and S. Nguyen

Handout (4.0 MB)

Application of a Random Forest Approach to Model Output Statistics for use in Day Ahead Wind Power Forecasts
Edward J. Natenberg, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and D. J. Gagne II, J. W. Zack, J. Manobianco, G. E. Van Knowe, and T. Melino

Handout (1.7 MB)

The Use of Analog Ensembles to Improve Short-Term Wind Forecasting
Steven Young, AWS Truepower LLC, Troy, NY; and J. W. Zack

Handout (1.7 MB)

Two Types of Statistical Climate Index Prediction
Peter C. Chu, NPS, Monterey, CA

Dynamical-important Monte-Carlo method in climate system
Jing-Dong Bao, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner