Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Thursday, 10 January 2013: 9:45 AM-11:00 AM
Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction
Organizer:  Barbara G. Brown, Research Applications Program, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Papers:
 
862
An approach for addressing Non-Gaussian error in microphysical parameterization
Marcus van Lier-Walqui, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and T. Vukicevic and D. J. Posselt

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

 
865
A multi-model approach to operational NWP bias correction
Rob Davis, Pelmorex - The Weather Network, Oakville, ON, Canada; and I. Russell

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

 
866
An Improvement of NAEFS SPP 2nd Moment Adjustment
Hong Guan, Systems Research Group Inc./Environmental Modeling Center, NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu and B. Cui

 
867
Forecasting Ozone Exceedances in the Mid-Atlantic using Ensemble Statistical Models
Gregory G. Garner, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and A. M. Thompson and W. F. Ryan

 
868
Statistical Downscaling of Daily Wind Speed Variations
Megan Kirchmeier, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. J. Lorenz and D. J. Vimont

 
869
Optimum Usage of Prior Forecast Information for Bias Correction
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and B. Cui
Manuscript (851.7 kB)

Poster PDF (851.7 kB)

 
870
Objective Climatological Analysis of Warm Season Extreme Events during the North American Monsoon
Jeremy J. Mazon, Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program, Tucson, AZ; and C. L. Castro, H. I. Chang, M. Leuthold, and J. J. Brost

 
871
 
872
Evaluating severe weather composite indices as diagnostic variables and forecast parameters
Chad M. Shafer, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and M. W. Stanford

 
873
Verification of Extreme Precipitation Events
John C. Schaake, Consultant, Annapolis, MD; and R. Hartman

 
874
Probabilistic Flash Flood Forecasting using Stormscale Ensembles
Jill D. Hardy, University of Oklahoma, Ijamsville, MD; and J. J. Gourley, J. S. Kain, A. J. Clark, D. Novak, and Y. Hong

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)

 
875
New developments of the real-time operational NCAR-ATEC ensemble-RTFDDA (E-4DWX) forecasting system
Linlin Pan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, J. Knievel, G. Roux, W. Wu, Y. Wu, J. C. Pace, S. F. Halvorson, and F. W. Gallagher

 
876
Assessing Numerical Weather Prediction Uncertainty in Warm-Season Rainfall Ensemble Simulations
Andrew E. Mercer, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS; and J. Dyer

 
877
Prediction of Extreme Rainfall in the Tropical Southwest Pacific using a Poor Man's Ensemble
Timothy Hume, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Docklands, Victoria, Australia; and S. Nguyen

Poster PDF (4.0 MB)

 
879
Application of a Random Forest Approach to Model Output Statistics for use in Day Ahead Wind Power Forecasts
Edward J. Natenberg, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and D. J. Gagne II, J. W. Zack, J. Manobianco, G. E. Van Knowe, and T. Melino

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

 
881
The Use of Analog Ensembles to Improve Short-Term Wind Forecasting
Steven H. Young, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and J. W. Zack

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

 
883
Two Types of Statistical Climate Index Prediction
Peter C. Chu, NPS, Monterey, CA

 
884
Dynamical-important Monte-Carlo method in climate system
Jing-Dong Bao, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China