| Saturday, 28 January 2006 |
| 7:30 AM-7:31 AM, Saturday
Short Course and Student Conference Registration |
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| Sunday, 29 January 2006 |
| 7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration |
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| 9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration |
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| Monday, 30 January 2006 |
| 7:30 AM-6:00 PM, Monday
Registration Continues through Thursday, 2 February |
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| 10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer (M1) |
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| 12:00 PM-1:10 PM, Monday
Plenary Session 1 AMS Forum Kick-Off Luncheon (Cash & Carry available in the Meeting Room Foyer) |
Chairs: Sue Grimmond, King's College, London United Kingdom; Steven Hanna, Harvard Univ., Boston, MA; Mark Andrews, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
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| 12:00 PM | PL1.1 | Forum opening
Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and M. Andrews, C. S. B. Grimmond, and S. R. Hanna |
| 12:10 PM | PL1.2 | How should we compare and evaluate urban land surface models?
Martin Best, Met Office, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom |
| 12:40 PM | PL1.3 | THUNDERSTORM IMPACTS: A MIX OF CURSES AND BLESSINGS
Stanley Changnon, Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL |
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| 1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, A311
Joint Session 1 Advances in Understanding of Lightning and Potential Economic and Societal Benefits (Joint with Second Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data and Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges) |
Organizers: Walter A. Petersen, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (M2) |
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| 4:00 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, A311
Session 1 Hazards and disasters: Socioeconomic Impacts & the Decision making process: Part 1 |
Chair: Greg Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
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| 4:00 PM | 1.1 | Superstorms in the 1990's: Can seasons of superstorms be far behind?
Liam M. Cavanaugh, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. H. Glantz, R. E. Morss, E. Gruntfest, and J. Tribbia |
| 4:15 PM | 1.2 | Tracking and evaluating U.S. billion dollar weather disasters, 1980–2005  
J. Neal Lott, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. F. Ross |
| 4:30 PM | 1.3 | The Utility Of Surface Roughness Datasets in the Modeling of United States Hurricane Property Losses
Kimberly Mueller, Risk Management Solutions, Newark, CA; and C. Miller and A. Boissonade |
|  | 1.4 | Decision-Making during Hazards and Disasters: An Introductory Survey of Linkages between the Meteorological and Local Public Safety/Emergency Response Communities
Dale A. Morris, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK |
| 4:45 PM | 1.5 | The Role of Meso-γ-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction and Visualization for Weather-Sensitive Decision Making
Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and A. P. Praino |
| 5:00 PM | 1.6 | Assessing the human experience of weather and climate: A further examination of weather salience
Alan E. Stewart, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA |
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| 5:30 PM, Monday
Sessions end for the day (M) |
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| 5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar) |
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| 7:30 PM, Monday
Holton Symposium Banquet |
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| Tuesday, 31 January 2006 |
| 8:30 AM-12:15 PM, Tuesday, A311
Joint Session 2 Low-level transport in urban and complex terrain (Joint with 14th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorolgy with the A&WMA and AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges) |
CoChair: Allen B. White, NOAA/ETL/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
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| 8:30 AM | J2.1 | A wind profiler trajectory tool for air quality transport applications
Allen B. White, NOAA/ETL/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and C. Senff, A. N. Keane, D. Ruffieux, and S. J. McDonnel |
| 8:45 AM | J2.2 | Simulation of mesoscale uban transport processes with numerical models: guidelines to accurate simulations
R. Bornstein, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA |
| 9:00 AM | J2.3 | Multiscale plume transport from collapse of the World Trade Center on September 11, 2001
Georgiy L. Stenchikov, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ; and N. Lahoti, P. J. Lioy, P. G. Georgopoulos, D. Diner, and R. Kahn |
| 9:15 AM | J2.4 | Meteorological Uncertainty Effects in Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling: A Demonstration
L. Joel Peltier, Penn State Univ., State College, PA; and S. E. Haupt, J. C. Wyngaard, D. R. Stauffer, A. Deng, and F. Kredensor |
| 9:30 AM | J2.5 | High Fidelity Modeling of Urban Features
L. Joel Peltier, Applied Research Laboratory/Penn State Univ., State College, PA; and S. E. Haupt and J. C. Wyngaard |
| 9:45 AM | | Formal Poster Viewing With Coffee Break
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| 11:00 AM | J2.6 | An Intercomparison of Four Computational Fluid Dynamics Models: Transport and Dispersion Around Madison Square Garden
Fernando E. Camelli, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and W. J. Coirier, A. H. Huber, O. R. Hansen, S. Kim, S. R. Hanna, and M. J. Brown |
| 11:15 AM | J2.7 | Comparison of WRF and MM5 Simulations for Air-Quality Applications
Sara A. Michelson, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao |
| 11:30 AM | J2.8 | The Kansas City, Missouri, ground level ozone (GLO) project: A community-based field experiment to characterize spatial gradients of air pollution
Joan F. Steurer, Univ. of Missouri, Kansas City, MO; and C. M. Green, M. T. Willoughby, and J. O. Adegoke |
| 11:45 AM | J2.9 | The Partnership for Environmental Research and Community Health (PERCH) Phase III, Part 1: Community-scale risk assessment in greater Pensacola, Florida
Rama Mohana R. Turaga, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. A. Gesser, M. E. Chang, A. G. Russell, and A. Bostrom |
| 12:00 PM | J2.10 | The Partnership for Environmental Research and Community Health (PERCH) Phase III, Part 2: Source apportionment analyses for fine particulate matter, ozone, and mercury in greater Pensacola, Florida
Ryan A. Gesser, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and A. G. Russell, Y. Hu, and S. Napelenok |
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| 11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday
Exhbits Open (T) |
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| 11:15 AM-12:15 PM, Tuesday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1
Joint Panel Discussion 3 Hurricane Impacts (Joint with the AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges and the Symposium on Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year) |
Moderator: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
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| 11:15 AM | JPD3.1 | Meteorological Aspects of the 2005 Hurricane Season
Max Mayfield, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL |
| 11:25 AM | JPD3.2 | Hurricanes and Science Policy (Invited Presentation)
Amy Carroll, US House of Representatives, Washington, DC |
| 11:35 AM | JPD3.3 | Health Effects of 2005 Hurricanes
Anna Marie, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA |
| 11:45 AM | JPD3.4 | Impact on Marine Ecosystems and Fishing Industry
John Oliver, National Marine Fisheries Service, Silver Spring, MD |
| 11:55 AM | JPD3.5 | Impact of the Nations Economy
Daniel Bachman, Office of Policy Development, Washington, DC |
| 12:05 PM | | Discussion
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| 12:15 PM, Tuesday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 2&3
Panel Discussion 4 Panel Discussion on Weather and Climate Impacts (joint with Impact Weather 2005) |
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| 12:15 PM, Tuesday
Plenary Session Presidential Forum with Boxed Lunch (Lunch will be available for purchase outside the meeting room.) |
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| 1:45 PM-2:35 PM, Tuesday, Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1
Joint Panel Discussion 4 Weather, Energy, and the Economy (Joint with the AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges and the Symposium on Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year) |
Moderator: Roger S. Pulwarty, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO
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| 1:45 PM | JPD4.1 | Strong Space Weather in 2005
Joseph Kunches, NOAA/Space Environment Center, Boulder, CO |
| 1:55 PM | JPD4.2 | Weather Impacts on the Aviation Industry
A. Bruce Carmichael, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 2:05 PM | JPD4.3 | Petroleum & Natural Gas: Hurricane and Temperature Impacts
Paul Janish, Merrill Lynch Commodities, Inc., Houston, TX |
| 2:15 PM | JPD4.4 | The Changing Landscape in Insurance
Jeffrey Rouch, Nationwide Insurance, Washington, DC |
| 2:25 PM | | Discussion
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| 1:45 PM-6:00 PM, Tuesday, A311
Joint Session 3 Future Delivery of Aviation Weather Services (Joint With 12th Conference on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology, 22nd International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, and Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges) |
Organizers: Timothy L. Wilfong, Sr., ENSCO, Inc, Boulder, CO; David Pace, SAIC, Washington, DC
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| 1:45 PM | J3.1 | Weather information in the next generation air transportation system
K. Johnston |
| 2:00 PM | J3.2 | Network-centric dissemination of aviation weather information
Ken Leonard, FAA, Washington, DC |
| 2:15 PM | J3.3 | Implications of a Successful Benefits Demonstration for ATM/Weather System Development and Testing
James Evans, MIT, Lexington, MA |
| | J3.4 | Future delivery of weather products and services in the NAS
Don Zarefoss, Lockheed Martin Air Traffic Management, Rockville, MD |
| 2:30 PM | J3.4A | Challenges and Opportunities in the Architecture of the Next-Generation Aviation Weather Dissemination System
Rich DeLaura, MIT, Lexington, MA |
| 2:45 PM | | Discussion
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| 3:00 PM | | Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall
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| 3:30 PM | J3.5 | FLYSAFE - meteorological hazard nowcasting, driven by the needs of the pilot
R. W. Lunnon, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and T. Hauf, T. Gerz, and P. Josse |
| 3:45 PM | J3.6 | Delivery of Aviation Weather Services in Canada
Richard E. Jones, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada |
| 4:00 PM | J3.7 | National Weather Service Graphical Hazards for Aviation
Jack May, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and S. Albersheim |
| 4:15 PM | J3.8 | Atlanta Holding Case Study: Identifying a need for the Advancement of En Route Meteorology Programs
Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA; and S. Sellars |
| 4:30 PM | J3.9 | Hub Forecast Prototype Test
Dave Rodenhuis, Air Traffic Organization/FAA, Herndon, VA; and D. Torbert |
| 4:45 PM | J3.10 | Real Time Aviation Forecasting at WSI
Peter J. Sousounis, WSI Corporation, Andover, MA; and J. Menard |
| 5:00 PM | J3.11 | Prototyping Tactical Decision Aids for the Aviation Forecast Preparation System
Michael Graf, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Peroutka, T. Boyer, G. Trojan, M. Oberfield, and T. Amis |
| | J3.12 | Common Situational Awareness: the strategic and tactical value of aviation weather information
Michael A. Rossetti, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and T. A. Seliga |
| 5:15 PM | P1.5 | Effective Retrieval Performed by DIMES with the Application of Lucene
Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and Y. Zhao and M. Kafatos |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (T2) |
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| 5:30 PM, Tuesday
Sessions end for the day (T) |
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| 7:00 PM-8:00 PM, Tuesday, A305
Joint Panel Discussion 5 2005 Gulf Coast Hurricanes: Where Do We Go from Here? (Joint with the AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges and the Symposium on Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year) |
Moderator: Gregory S. Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
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| 7:00 PM | JPD5.1 | Preparedness
Shirley Laska, Center for Hazards Assessment, New Orleans, LA |
| 7:10 PM | JPD5.2 | Mitigation of Flood Impacts
Lisa Jones, South Carolina Department of Natural Resources, State Association of Flood Plain Managers, Columbia, SC |
| 7:20 PM | JPD5.3 | Mitigation of Structural Damage
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Houston, TX |
| 7:30 PM | JPD5.4 | Media Coverage
Bob Breck, WVUE-TV, New Orleans, LA |
| 7:40 PM | JPD5.5 | Policy and Preparedness (Invited Presentation)
Tom Jones, Senate Sub-Committee on Disaster Prevention and Prediction, Washington, DC |
| | JPD5.6 | Role of Climate Change in Hurricanes—Two Sides of the Issue
William M. Gray, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO |
| | JPD5.7 | Role of Climate Change in Hurricanes–Two Sides of the Issue
Greg J. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 7:50 PM | | Discussion
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| 9:00 PM, Tuesday, A305
Joint Panel Discussion 6 Live Coverage of Hurricanes from a Meteorologists Perspective (Joint with the AMS Forum: Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges and the Symposium on Impacts of 2005's Weather: Major Stories of the Year) |
Panelists: James Cantore, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; Jeff Morrow, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; Stephanie Abrams, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
Moderator: Stuart Ostro, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
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| Wednesday, 1 February 2006 |
| 8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, A410
Joint Session 4 Joint Session: Past and Future Climatology of Severe Convective Storms (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium) |
Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA
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| 9:30 AM, Wednesday, A410
Joint Panel Discussion 1 What Might Climate Change Mean for the Future Distribution and Frequency of Severe Convective Storms? (Joint between the 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges, and the Severe Local Storms Special Symposium) |
Panelists: Pasha Groisman, NCDC, Asheville, NC; Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN
Moderator: Paul Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer (W1) |
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| 11:00 AM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Exhibits Open (W) |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (W) |
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| 1:30 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday, A410
Joint Panel Discussion 2 The Production and Communication of Severe Weather Warnings to the Public (Joint between the Special Symposium on Severe Local Storms and the AMS Forum on Environmental Risks and Impacts on Society: Success and Challenges) |
Panelists: Dennis McCarthy, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; Michael Smith, Weather Data, Inc., Wichita, KS; Charles A. Doswell, III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Michael A. Magsig, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; Eve Gruntfest, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Moderator: Erik N. Rasmussen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
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| 1:30 PM | JPD2.1 | The Production and Communication of Severe Weather Warnings to the Public
Charles A. Doswell III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK |
| 2:30 PM | JPD2.2 | What is the Private Sector's role in the warning process
Michael R. Smith, WeatherData, Inc., Wichita, KS |
| 3:30 PM | JPD2.3 | Panel Discussion: Gruntfest
Eve Gruntfest, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (W2) |
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| 3:45 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day (W) |
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| 5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Reception in the Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar) |
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| 7:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet |
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| Thursday, 2 February 2006 |
| 8:30 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday, A403
Joint Session 8 Flood Warning Systems (Joint with 20th Conference on Hydrology and Forum on Managing our Physical and Natural Resources and Forum: Environmental Risk and Impacts on Society: Successes and Challenges) |
Cochairs: Sue Grimmond, Kings College, London United Kingdom; Greg Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; Chandra R. Kondragunta, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
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| 8:30 AM | J8.1 | Flash Flood Forecasting in Urban Drainage Basins
James A. Smith, Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ |
| 9:00 AM | J8.2 | Flash flood warning operations during tropical rainfall in low relief terrain
Richard J. Lanier, NOAA/NWS, Tallahassee, FL; and J. D. Suk and D. S. Berkowitz |
| 9:15 AM | J8.3 | Flash Flood Forecasting: The Probabilistic Prediction of Excessive Precipitation by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center
James E. Hoke, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Eckert |
| 9:30 AM | J8.4 | Use of 4 km, 1 hr, precipitation forecasts to drive a distributed hydrologic model for flash flood prediction
Seann Reed, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Fulton, Z. Zhang, and S. Guan |
| 9:45 AM | | Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
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| 11:00 AM | J8.5 | Comparing the operational capabilities of the site specific hydrologic predictor (SSHP) and a fully distributed hydrological model (Mike SHE) using WSR-88 radar rainfall inputs over a small basin in Florida
Harry J. Cooper, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. J. Lanier, H. E. Fuelberg, and A. I. Watson |
| 11:15 AM | J8.6 | Satellite, lightning, sounding, and model data for nowcasting heavy rainfall from Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS's)
Roderick A. Scofield, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and R. J. Kuligowski and S. Qiu |
| 11:30 AM | J8.7 | Results of short fuse weather warning surveys in Austin, TX and Denver, CO
Lindsey R. Barnes, Univ. of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO; and E. Gruntfest, C. Benight, M. H. Hayden, C. C. Jenkins, M. Q. Thurman, and E. Williams |
| | J8.8 | The Implementation of a River Forecasting System in Romania
Jeff Vukovich, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC., Raleigh, NC; and J. McHenry, D. Widener, J. Condrey, and T. Burnet |
| 11:45 AM | J8.9 | Flash Flood Disaster and Flash Flood Warning in China
Lingli Wang, George Mason Univ., fairfax, VA; and J. Qu |
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| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Th1) |
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| 11:00 AM-4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Open (Th) |
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| 12:15 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) (Th) |
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| 1:30 PM-2:45 PM, Thursday, A311
Session 2 Hazards and disasters: Socioeconomic Impacts & the Decision making process: Part 2 |
Chair: Greg Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
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| 1:30 PM | 2.1 | Emissions Scenario-Based Analyses of Projected Extreme Heat and Energy Costs in Southwestern United States
Norman L. Miller, Univ. California, Berkeley, CA; and K. Hayhoe |
| 1:45 PM | 2.2 | Local implementation and the decision process - a challenge
James Giraytys, SHENAIR Institute, James Madison Univ., Winchester, VA; and C. J. Brodrick |
| 2:00 PM | 2.3 | The Re-Invasion of Aedes aegypti in southern Arizona/northern Mexico
Mary H. Hayden, Univ. of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO; and C. Uejio, C. R. Janes, and R. Moreno-Sanchez |
| 2:15 PM | 2.4 | Environmentally risky unseasonal warm and dry spells in the subtropics of Brazil
Prakki Satyamurty, INPE, São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil; and C. K. Padilha |
| 2:30 PM | 2.5 | Calculating drought hazard at the country-level in Asia
Mathew A. Barlow, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and H. Cullen, B. Lyon, and O. Wilhelmi |
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| 3:00 PM, Thursday
Registration Desk Closes |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday
Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall and AMS IPOD Raffle (Th2) |
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| 4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibit Close |
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| 5:30 PM, Thursday
Conference Ends |
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| 6:00 PM, Thursday
Lilly Symposium Banquet |
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